News for hackers. Stuff that matters.
Re:IMF working paper suggests using browsing history in cred... by cube00 on Tuesday August 24, 2021 @09:32AM (#28288609)
From the IMF blog post[1]:

> Even a well-paid expatriate moving to the United States can be caught in the conundrum of not getting a credit card for lack of credit record, and not having a credit record for lack of credit cards.

> Fintech resolves the dilemma by tapping various nonfinancial data: the type of browser and hardware used to access the internet, the history of online searches and purchases.

I enjoy the framing of this; give us the keys to the kingdom and we'll give you even more credit (to get yourself further into debt!)

Of course it won't stop there, better pay down that mortgage before you search or buy the "wrong" thing if you want to keep your house (they won't take it outright, just raise the interest rate on your loan because you now represent a higher risk based on "new information")

[1] https://blogs.imf.org/2020/12/17/what-is-really-new-in-finte...

Re:IMF working paper suggests using browsing history in cred... by jart on Tuesday August 24, 2021 @10:04AM (#28288995)
The fact that the IMF thinks your choice of operating system should impact your creditworthiness is something I've been warning people about for months because it shows why we need cosmopolitan software. Since it's nice to have the ability to pick up and move our apps elsewhere should we discover we're using the "wrong" one. Because political winds change, but good engineering endures. https://github.com/jart/cosmopolitan
Re:IMF working paper suggests using browsing history in cred... by nanis on Tuesday August 24, 2021 @11:04AM (#28289780)
> The fact that the IMF thinks your choice of operating system should impact your creditworthiness is something

At some point in the past or maybe in another universe, a well known accommodation booking site might or might not have been offering better rates to people using Linux than OSX. Not confirmed, obviously.

Re:IMF working paper suggests using browsing history in cred... by ivirshup on Tuesday August 24, 2021 @12:20PM (#28290902)
I think this counts as confirmed (it was kayak/ orbitz)[1]. Pretty sure I heard one of the engineers talking about it in an interview too?

[1]: https://www.wsj.com/articles/SB10001424052702304458604577488...

Re:IMF working paper suggests using browsing history in cred... by fxtentacle on Tuesday August 24, 2021 @11:20AM (#28290000)
I think it's the other way around. People who demonstrate that they have lots of money by showing off their "OS X" user agent get the tourist rebate.

BTW, I also believe that flight prices magically increase on iOS...

Re:IMF working paper suggests using browsing history in cred... by 35mm on Tuesday August 24, 2021 @04:20PM (#28294442)
It’s well known amongst marketing people that targeting iOS users results in ‘better leads’
Re:IMF working paper suggests using browsing history in cred... by bakuninsbart on Tuesday August 24, 2021 @12:31PM (#28291080)
I've tested this multiple times with friends who use an IPhone, and indeed I got better rates on Android. Might do course also been other aspects involved, maybe they analysed my data realised I'm a penny pincher.
Re:IMF working paper suggests using browsing history in cred... by derefr on Tuesday August 24, 2021 @11:49AM (#28290427)
I think the thought there is just that STEM nerds tend to have stable high-paid jobs and thus good credit, and so OSes/browsers that nobody but nerds use / would tolerate using, are signals of having good credit.
Re:IMF working paper suggests using browsing history in cred... by pc86 on Tuesday August 24, 2021 @12:21PM (#28290920)
This just sounds like including income in credit score with extra steps.
Re:IMF working paper suggests using browsing history in cred... by derefr on Tuesday August 24, 2021 @03:38PM (#28293837)
Income, or even 6mo income history, doesn't predict how likely you'll be to get another job if you lose your job. What lenders really want to know is how in-demand you are in the market, and so what they should predict as the "floor" on your future income.

Add to that how likely someone with your personality-type is to just decide to take a few months/years off between jobs living off of savings, and you've got a heuristic nearly as predictive of loan-repayment as all the rest of the information lenders use today put together.

Re:IMF working paper suggests using browsing history in cred... by LargoLasskhyfv on Tuesday August 24, 2021 @07:24PM (#28296256)
Time to link to https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Price_tag and because of where it came from, maybe to https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nontheist_Quakers
Re:IMF working paper suggests using browsing history in cred... by zionic on Tuesday August 24, 2021 @10:16AM (#28289146)
That is a horrifying idea... eliminate fixed rate interest mortgages and the banks can target and de-home people at will.
Re:IMF working paper suggests using browsing history in cred... by forgingahead on Tuesday August 24, 2021 @11:31AM (#28290168)
To be fair, the fixed interest rate mortgage is uniquely American, and is not seen in most other countries of the world. It's a great deal if you can get it! But obviously someone has to backstop the other end of this deal, and in the US it's basically the government.
Re:IMF working paper suggests using browsing history in cred... by crummybowley on Tuesday August 24, 2021 @12:12PM (#28290772)
I have a mortgage that is fixed interest and not backed by the government in anyway... So I think you might be wrong on how the risk is calculated.

I can't see how any new risk is added in a fixed rate. In fact I can't see how a non fixed rate would really be good for anybody, and would keep the risk fluctuating for all parties involved.

Re:IMF working paper suggests using browsing history in cred... by aabaker99 on Tuesday August 24, 2021 @12:21PM (#28290921)
If you have a fixed rate mortgage, the bank bears an interest rate risk. If the interest rate goes up, the bank could be getting more money in interest, but they aren't.

If you have an adjustable-rate mortgage, you bear the interest rate risk.

Re:IMF working paper suggests using browsing history in cred... by crummybowley on Tuesday August 24, 2021 @02:00PM (#28292620)
No, the bank has at risk the capital loaned, which they payed out. A risk is not a "loss" in a hypothetical amount of money that maybe could be had in the future given market conditions which are not predictable.
Re:IMF working paper suggests using browsing history in cred... by aabaker99 on Tuesday August 24, 2021 @04:00PM (#28294162)
> A risk is not a "loss" in a hypothetical amount of money that maybe could be had in the future given market conditions which are not predictable.

This is incorrect. It is very common for investors (yes, including commercial banks) to frame risk in the way I described. This link to investopedia will expound upon my admittedly short description of interest rate risk [1]. Another obvious risk in this context is prepayment risk [2]. Note that both of these risk models are not about whether or not the bank is losing the money used to pay for the home, but are about factors that could affect the return on investment. You can find even more examples of risk models exactly like this on investopedia.

[1] https://www.investopedia.com/terms/i/interestraterisk.asp [2] https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/prepaymentrisk.asp

Re:IMF working paper suggests using browsing history in cred... by BizarroLand on Thursday August 26, 2021 @05:16PM (#28320908)
Is it just me or is a prepayment risk effectively moot for large loan investment companies like banks?

After all, even though their calculations were counting on the profits of that money, having it back now means they can loan it out again, and possibly will receive a lager return if interest rates have risen.

For instance, my mortgage is at 2.49%. Right now interest rates are at 3.04%, so if I paid my mortgage off today the bank should be able to find a borrower who would pay over 20% more for the same money, right?

I get that this could go in the opposite direction, though, so I know it's not a perfect answer.

Re:IMF working paper suggests using browsing history in cred... by da_big_ghey on Tuesday August 24, 2021 @12:36PM (#28291199)
and for its trouble and for its more risk bank is getting a higher rate than variable. bank run numbers so it receive acceptable level of risk.
Re:IMF working paper suggests using browsing history in cred... by Sanzig on Tuesday August 24, 2021 @12:11PM (#28290755)
We have fixed interest rate mortgages in Canada, but the fixed rate is only valid for a specific period (typically 5 years). After this, the mortgage needs to be either renewed for another term at then-current rates, or transferred to a new lender.
Re:IMF working paper suggests using browsing history in cred... by forgingahead on Tuesday August 24, 2021 @12:23PM (#28290953)
Sure, fixed term for a short period is normal everywhere. But a fixed term for the entire length of the mortgage, whereby mortgage terms are commonly 30 years long, are only seen in the US and Denmark.

Here's some more detail on this: https://www.netinterest.co/p/financing-the-american-home

Re:IMF working paper suggests using browsing history in cred... by irishsultan on Wednesday August 25, 2021 @03:35AM (#28298964)
> But a fixed term for the entire length of the mortgage, whereby mortgage terms are commonly 30 years long, are only seen in the US and Denmark.

Strange, because I have a fixed term for the entire length of my mortgage and I'm not living in those countries. Admittedly it's for a length of time shorter than 30 years, but even at that timeframe it would be possible to get one.

There is however one additional modifier in the statement of the article: "fully prepayable", that may not exist anywhere outside of Denmark and the USA (but still, your source doesn't really explain where it got it's list of countries that have it, so I have no way to know it's correctness).

Re:IMF working paper suggests using browsing history in cred... by jacquesm on Thursday August 26, 2021 @09:44AM (#28314838)
You can add the Netherlands and many other European countries to that list.
Re:IMF working paper suggests using browsing history in cred... by pc86 on Tuesday August 24, 2021 @12:22PM (#28290941)
We have these in the US too, they're called adjustable-rate mortgages.
Re:IMF working paper suggests using browsing history in cred... by sgerenser on Tuesday August 24, 2021 @02:44PM (#28293124)
Yes, but hardly anyone uses them because fixed rate mortgages are so much better of a deal in most cases. The government owned guarantors (Fannie/Freddie mainly) are the main reason that 30 year mortgages can be offered at such low rates in the U.S.
Re:IMF working paper suggests using browsing history in cred... by pc86 on Tuesday August 24, 2021 @04:05PM (#28294226)
My point was that the things they're calling fixed-rate mortgages are in fact not fixed-rate mortgages.
Re:IMF working paper suggests using browsing history in cred... by brundolf on Tuesday August 24, 2021 @11:19AM (#28289992)
The credit catch-22 is real, but my company is tackling it in a way that's up-front and doesn't invade people's privacy (and we're hiring!):

https://www.self.inc/

Re:IMF working paper suggests using browsing history in cred... by lsllc on Tuesday August 24, 2021 @04:27PM (#28294547)
The quote is not entirely true, you can get a letter of good credit (i.e. a reference) from your bank in your home country. it won't get you a $25K credit line, but it'll get you up and running with the basics.