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Re:Economic costs of war by SteveNuts on Monday August 16, 2021 @08:11PM (#28204557)
What you say is true, but I think people get pissed off when comparing US Military spending vs... basically the entirety of the world

https://www.pgpf.org/chart-archive/0053_defense-comparison

This is so far beyond overkill it's sickening.

Re:Economic costs of war by sgregnt on Monday August 16, 2021 @08:21PM (#28204632)
Not sure how this relates to what I wrote? Apparently USA voters do think the spending is adequate... or do you have a better way to decide on this? On a tangential: We can also try to compare the cost of 1 mile of subway in NY vs 1 mile in Shanghai. I didn't check but I would assume NY cost would be more than double. Services in US cost a lot. US innovates and a lot of other countries copy... while it seems that China spending is not that far behind US.
Re:Economic costs of war by mikem170 on Monday August 16, 2021 @10:48PM (#28205615)
> Apparently USA voters do think the spending is adequate

I'm not sure how well the federal government reflects the will of the people, given how campaigns are funded here, using means which are illegal in most other countries. Not to mention the gerrymandering, where politicians are choosing voters instead of the other way around. I don't know if the federal government was originally meant to be responsive to the people. That's why there's no facility for the people to directly propose amendments or vote on referendums at the federal level, like there is in other more democratic countries. For a long time state legislators elected members of congress and the president, not the people.

You mentioned U.S. voters... Perhaps it is a good idea to have a national referendum before launching a war. Democracy is a good thing, right? I believe other countries would do this, Switzerland for example. Maybe even go one better, and have a GoFundMe to pay for it. And volunteer soldiers to fight. It would then be interesting to see how many people want to waste their money and lives halfway across the world killing people who just want to be left alone, but are in the way of someone over here making more money.

Re:Economic costs of war by sgregnt on Monday August 16, 2021 @11:10PM (#28205763)
Some say, democracy is very bad, yet it is still better than any other alternative. So, for the lack of a better alternative I have only so much data points.

Yes, referendums etc.. could be a reasonable propose, things evolve so maybe one day we will have something of this sort in the US as well. Time will show!

Re:Economic costs of war by azurezyq on Monday August 16, 2021 @09:49PM (#28205196)
I don't think 1/3 is "not far behind". https://www.statista.com/chart/16878/military-expenditure-by...

Actually you don't need US's level of spending if you are not "actively" into wars like ones in the middle east.

Re:Economic costs of war by sgregnt on Monday August 16, 2021 @10:55PM (#28205667)
"Actually you don't need US's level of spending if you are not "actively" into wars like ones in the middle east."

That's your believe but sorry, I don't want to take this claim on the face value. Maybe you're right, maybe not, I believe that's a complicated issue for sure...

One could claim you would need to spend much more were you not involved in these conflicts... each war has it's own reason and own goals and the decision to enter a war is weighted in geopolitically economically etc..and then the elected president makes this decision. Now, what I do have an evidence for, is that politically, the votes are probably split since there is pretty much status quo on that for many years and many administrations...

Re:Economic costs of war by smegger001 on Monday August 16, 2021 @09:46PM (#28205174)
do they? is there a transparent way to vote against it when both parties big parties support it tacitly if not publicly. I vote third party every election but they never when because they don't have the money that comes from donations of big lobbying industries like military contractors oil pharma etc
Re:Economic costs of war by sgregnt on Monday August 16, 2021 @10:48PM (#28205612)
Lobbying is only so much effective as the benefits outweigh the damage to a politician. In our tight election cycles the marginal differences are important, I would believe that politicians would jump to grab as much votes as possible to tilt the balance only even slightly. Maybe there is actually more support for large military spending than it appears to you?
Re:Economic costs of war by smegger001 on Monday August 16, 2021 @11:29PM (#28205891)
Nope its not a wedge issue so they wont fight over it especally as they profit from it. The left will pay lip service to halting forever wars, but will sign the next military procurement bill because it ostensibly brings in vague nonspecific 'jobs' to their district. The right on the other hand, just gets hard at the idea of more and bigger guns and signs it without needing a excuse.
Re:Economic costs of war by sgregnt on Monday August 16, 2021 @11:55PM (#28206058)
So to summarize: your are saying on the one hand, for one or the other reason, the voters decide not to punish politicians that support military spending, on the other hand, politician rely onobbist to help them get elected and so don't do much about spending.

I think we agree.

Re:Economic costs of war by banannaise on Tuesday August 17, 2021 @02:40PM (#28213314)
It's manufactured consent. The voters don't have a meaningful choice on this axis.
Re:Economic costs of war by adventured on Monday August 16, 2021 @10:41PM (#28205562)
China already spends approximately as much as the US on its military when you adjust for the difference in income/salaries (which is a large share of US military expenditures). By the end of this decade it'll be well beyond the US.

"China Outspends the U.S. on Defense? Here’s the Math."

"Factoring in purchasing power and personnel costs leads to a surprising conclusion."

https://archive.is/32N1F

https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2018-05-25/china-...

Re:Economic costs of war by handedness on Monday August 16, 2021 @08:17PM (#28204608)
It's not (just) about overkill. Nobody else underwrites global free trade, and that's incredibly expensive:

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=23434640

Re:Economic costs of war by rland on Monday August 16, 2021 @11:05PM (#28205726)
This argument dissolves under even the lightest scrutiny.

Let's assume for a second that there is a dollar amount to "underwriting global free trade" (spurious to begin with). What actually is that dollar amount? Is it 3x more than what we're spending? 10x less? How could we ever know?

As it turns out, whatever we are currently spending, that's the amount required. We could double the number of aircraft carriers, nuclear submarines, jet fighters, missiles, spy satellites, military bases; we could start another war, another engagement, another "peacekeeping mission," do another few "surgical strikes"... And yep, that would be exactly what's required for freedom.

Re:Economic costs of war by handedness on Tuesday August 17, 2021 @03:34PM (#28213900)
If I assert that American military spending is wasteful, you implying that I think doubling current spending would still be exactly what's required for freedom is a highly uncharitable interpretation of what I wrote.

Setting that aside, to put it in HN terms: imagine nontechnical people at your company comparing the wildly disproportionate relative costs of two IT projects, but without comparing the relative scopes of said projects. That would make for a poor foundation from which to either justify or criticize existing budget allocations.

That's what happens on HN every single time the subject arises.

'American military budgets are bigger than everyone else's' ergo 'American military budgets are far too big.' But it doesn't logically follow.

Power projection is exponentially more difficult and complex than homeland defense.

Yes, there's waste, and yes, it could be run more efficiently and at a lower cost, but it's worth noting that the other points of comparison (other nations) also contain no shortage of waste, and in some cases proportionally more. And slashing overhead to the absolute bare minimum possible is not the kind of risk management one would prioritize first in a system with an incredibly damaging failure state. (Disclaimer so it's more difficult to misstate my position: I believe that waste that is illegal should be punished criminally, and all other bad-faith waste that is political should be punished politically, and we should consider enacting laws to make such bad-faith waste illegal.)

Meaningful conclusions can't be reached by virtue of looking at relative costs while wrongly assuming you have a working knowledge of what they respectively achieve. This is what non-technical people do to technical people all the time, HN laments it, and then turns around and does it in many other spheres.

The military budgets of most nations are to provide some degree of homeland security, sometimes a little regional policing, and sometimes whatever extra is required to satisfy the political needs of their alliance leader. And tthat's about it.

Nobody else comes remotely close to being able to guarantee that an oil tanker can transit the Strait of Hormuz and sell barrels across the globe to multiple nations which have hated each other for centuries (or longer), and worse: to multiple nations which have competing and conflicting geopolitical imperatives. And it's not just oil, this applies to virtually all (non-sanctioned) nations and goods that aren't manufactured in their nation of consumption, using domestically-sourced materials and processes.

It simply isn't comparable.

It's worth remembering what the world looked like when countries which depended heavily on raw materials and trade developed their military capabilities precisely to secure those things, because without it their survival was in jeopardy. When a nation depends on those things for mere survival, its use of force doctrines eventually evolve resemble those of a cornered animal.

With the notable (and now obsolete) exception of securing an oil supply and the thread of the Soviet Union, the US does not depend on anyone else for its survival.

I think that we have a lot of people either unaware of how things worked prior to 1944, or holding the mistaken assumption that the underpinnings of our global framework exist either by happenstance or as the result of some kind of global enlightenment, as if human nature has finally changed for once.

There's also an implicit assumption made that one merely spends more money to beat other countries at shooting wars, countries which spent less and were therefore ill-equipped to compete. That assumption is reasonable in that it's based on millennia of recorded history, but faulty in that it ignores how the world has worked since 1944.

Yes, the United States has required countries to develop their military capacity sufficient to alleviate relatively minor regional issues (e.g., JSDF), or to create a shared purpose (e.g., NATO), but for the last ~77 years the United States has almost single-handedly created the conditions in which global free trade has been achieved for the first time ever, and the military has been central to imposing the conditions necessary to achieve it.

And before anyone asserts that pirates are a relic of centuries past, or that nations no longer desire to even engage in such tactics, this kind of thing regularly happens even under trade conditions imposed by the world's only superpower:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Piracy_in_the_21st_century

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_blockades#Modern_era