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Re:Tesla is offering a $1500 upgrade for early cars to suppo... by dcow on Sunday July 18, 2021 @09:45AM (#27872856)
What’s happening here is that Tesla doesn’t want to give you a $1500 “chip” for $200. People who buy the 10k package still get the upgrade for free. People who just subscribe for a month don't. I don’t really see a way around this. If you want FSD then you pay for it. If you don’t want to pay 10k to have it for life then pay 1500 plus 200/mo. That’s essentially the terms being offered here.
Re:Tesla is offering a $1500 upgrade for early cars to suppo... by websites2022 on Sunday July 18, 2021 @11:03AM (#27873515)
There’s a confusion in terms here that is worth clearing up.

To have FSD requires the purchase of two products: the hardware and the software.

Cars purchased from 2016 onwards were claimed to already have the hardware. It is possible to purchase the car with the hardware for FSD only, and not the software. People in this situation were told that they already had the hardware for FSD. Now Tesla is saying that they don’t.

As the owner of two Teslas, as an investor, as a True Believer I have to say that Tesla fucked up here and need to be sued to make it right if they don’t fix this. Not with a “subscribe for two years and get it free.” They should just get the chip installed for free.

Re:Tesla is offering a $1500 upgrade for early cars to suppo... by dcow on Monday July 19, 2021 @11:59AM (#27884052)
I only own one Tesla so I guess I don't win in that department.

Anyway, this was all before the subscription package. Things are not the same as they were in 2016 with the introduction of the 200/mo subscription. By saying "your cars have the hardware to do FSD" it means they're fitted with all the required accessories. If Tesla needs to give them a more powerful computer as a complementary upgrade once they purchase FSD, so be it. It doesn't make sense for Tesla to just ship out a bunch of the more powerful chips to people who never intend on using FSD. And like we've already covered, if you purchase FSD in full, the chip is entirely free.

I guess it comes down to whether you'd rather have a subscription or not. Either FSD remains only accessible in a "bulk purchase attached to the car" capacity, or Telsa figures out how to work the economics of adding in a subscription model. I tend to think this subscription model opens up FSD to more people than not having it, so I think it's a net positive.

Re:Tesla is offering a $1500 upgrade for early cars to suppo... by websites2022 on Monday July 19, 2021 @04:18PM (#27886841)
>Things are not the same as they were in 2016 with the introduction of the 200/mo subscription.

This does not change the fundamental fact that Tesla promised something and then did not deliver it. That is, they promised that the hardware shipping with the vehicles 2016 onward were FSD capable. They are not. Remember —- they took investor cash after this announcement. That matters.

> It doesn't make sense for Tesla to just ship out a bunch of the more powerful chips to people who never intend on using FSD.

By this you mean: “It isn’t in Tesla’s best immediate financial interest.” But we have laws and norms in place in the US to counter balance the interest of corporations vs that of customers. Two of those laws and norms is not lying to your customers and making them whole whole whenever you make a mistake.

As well, cars go through several owners. People purchased Teslas after the announcement with the value calculation that it was FSD capable. Tesla essentially robbed those customers of $1500 of resale value. That is, the customers expected to buy a car they could resell as FSD capable. Now they can’t.

Re:Tesla is offering a $1500 upgrade for early cars to suppo... by dcow on Monday July 19, 2021 @08:47PM (#27888973)
Would it be better optics if they just amortized the cost of those old HW upgrades into the recurring monthly price or if they had a minimum 6 mo commitment for the subscription FSD?
Re:Tesla is offering a $1500 upgrade for early cars to suppo... by websites2022 on Tuesday July 20, 2021 @02:49PM (#27897628)
Amortizing the cost would be better, without telling the user. Just charge everyone the same and factor in the cost of the free upgrade to the users with HW2.5. It’s not like this isn’t how it’s done elsewhere. High margin buyers subsidize low margin buyers all the time.
Re:Tesla is offering a $1500 upgrade for early cars to suppo... by dcow on Tuesday July 20, 2021 @03:07PM (#27897854)
Perhaps this is true. I suspect there's a strong preference to convert low margin buyers to high margin buyers, though. And as a high margin buyer it doesn't sit well with me knowing Tesla is subsidizing free HW upgrades out of my purchase price so it just feels like moving the problem around not actually solving it. That was my point, really. The money has to come from somewhere it seems Tesla wasn't as tactical as they could have been when considering the optics here. And the good thing is it's not hard to change and they have demonstrated history of correcting for price fluctuations in FSD costs, so there's fair hope they'll address any perceived gaps. Personally I think a 6 mo minimum subscription term or a "you get 6 months free with purchase of the hardware" promotion would be a great middle ground that lets purchasers attach long enough to fund the upgrade naturally.
Re:Tesla is offering a $1500 upgrade for early cars to suppo... by websites2022 on Thursday July 22, 2021 @10:48AM (#27919539)
I don’t mean to be blunt, so please don’t take offense when I say this in response:

>And as a high margin buyer it doesn't sit well with me knowing Tesla is subsidizing free HW upgrades out of my purchase price so it just feels like moving the problem around not actually solving it.

You shouldn’t buy high margin products if you care what the company does with the high margin. The same goes for Apple products. Apple’s high margin goes to pay devs and for decades long R+D products, many of them will fail. It also goes to pay settlements when they fuck up. Them’s the breaks.

Re:Tesla is offering a $1500 upgrade for early cars to suppo... by dcow on Thursday July 22, 2021 @07:35PM (#27925611)
Yes, generally I don't care and I understand that how a company chooses to spend its money is not my concern. My point is essentially that it's not particularly your concern either.

The only reason the topic came up is because you lead with "low margin buyers are subsidized all the time so they should also be subsidized by high margin buyers in this case". While a company may choose to do that, and I really don't care if they do, in the context of an external discussion about which strategy is better, I do care to respond to that point when presented as part of an argument by an equally outside party.

This is how the specific point comes off to me:

Alice: I'm annoyed Tesla's new subscription requires a $1500 upgrade for my older model, Tesla said it was FSD capable. Make me whole.

Bob: I already paid in full for my FSD subscription and got the hardware included, why should you get it for free?

Alice: Because Tesla could use revenue from people who have already purchased FSD in full to fund my hardware upgrade.

Bob: Sure, they could. But now my "investment" in FSD doesn't go as far as I thought it would and I'm "out" $1500. Make me whole.

...

Anyway that's just why I think some sort of compromise makes tons of sense so that nobody perceives themselves as being out anything and people who want to use the subscription can get the HW for "free" rather than the up front $1500. You've changed my mind on that front (:

Re:Tesla is offering a $1500 upgrade for early cars to suppo... by andreareina on Sunday July 18, 2021 @09:58AM (#27872955)
> If you want FSD then you pay for it

As I understand it, these are people who already paid for FSD. The same FSD that Tesla claimed was ready to go except for regulatory hurdles. Tesla should give these people what they paid for, or refund that money (with interest) if they're not actually able to live up to their end of the bargain.

Re:Tesla is offering a $1500 upgrade for early cars to suppo... by Noujin on Sunday July 18, 2021 @10:06AM (#27873006)
No that's not correct. These are people that didn't buy FSD, still have the old hardware and now decide to subscribe to FSD monthly. The chip costs are factored in when buying the 10k package. But now in Tesla's worst case, someone subscribes, gets the chip for free and then instantly cancels. An easy solution for Tesla should be a "upgrade your hardware and get x months for free situation" for a higher price or a contract for a specific number of months that you sign up for after the upgrade.
Re:Tesla is offering a $1500 upgrade for early cars to suppo... by treis on Sunday July 18, 2021 @10:16AM (#27873078)
Tesla has claimed that the cars they sold had the hardware necessary for self driving. Now that a new chip is required they are tacitly admitting that they made a false claim in advertising their cars. They either need to provide the upgrade for free or compensate buyers.
Re:Tesla is offering a $1500 upgrade for early cars to suppo... by ethbr0 on Sunday July 18, 2021 @10:20AM (#27873107)
> the old hardware

From the link's screenshot of Tesla's 10/19/2016 post:

> We are excited to announce that, as of today, all Tesla vehicles produced in our factory -- including Model 3 -- will have the hardware needed for full self-driving capability at a safety level substantially greater than that of a human driver.

That's a clear marketing claim.

Re:Tesla is offering a $1500 upgrade for early cars to suppo... by clintonb on Sunday July 18, 2021 @10:30AM (#27873227)
That’s the hardware for the 2016 version. The latest version of FSD needs newer hardware.
Re:Tesla is offering a $1500 upgrade for early cars to suppo... by JumpCrisscross on Sunday July 18, 2021 @10:37AM (#27873293)
> the hardware for the 2016 version. The latest version of FSD needs newer hardware.

Not sure you can start deprecating before you deliver.

Re:Tesla is offering a $1500 upgrade for early cars to suppo... by clintonb on Sunday July 18, 2021 @10:43AM (#27873362)
I agree in spirit. In practice, this is no different from deprecating an early alpha/beta version.
Re:Tesla is offering a $1500 upgrade for early cars to suppo... by JumpCrisscross on Sunday July 18, 2021 @10:50AM (#27873414)
> this is no different from deprecating an early alpha/beta version

If you sell the alpha with the promise of it supporting the full game, and then charge again when you release the beta no less, I could understand being upset.

Re:Tesla is offering a $1500 upgrade for early cars to suppo... by perl4ever on Sunday July 18, 2021 @12:21PM (#27874157)
...that never existed?
Re:Tesla is offering a $1500 upgrade for early cars to suppo... by yawaworht1978 on Sunday July 18, 2021 @01:52PM (#27874892)
Wow, so they had to upgrade the hardware before the software?

How comes the engineers didn't see that coming?

Re:Tesla is offering a $1500 upgrade for early cars to suppo... by thinkingemote on Sunday July 18, 2021 @01:55PM (#27874924)
They did, that's why they are asking 1.5k for it.

That people thought this company, unique amongst every other manufacturer wouldn't do planned obselesence is part of the massive marketing success of the company.

Re:Tesla is offering a $1500 upgrade for early cars to suppo... by Brian_K_White on Sunday July 18, 2021 @02:44PM (#27875357)
"These are people that didn't buy FSD,"

Incorrect.

Re:Tesla is offering a $1500 upgrade for early cars to suppo... by TomSwirly on Monday July 19, 2021 @06:58AM (#27881143)
No, that's not correct.

These are people who were told they were buying the hardware that allowed FSD.

Re:Tesla is offering a $1500 upgrade for early cars to suppo... by gimmeThaBeet on Sunday July 18, 2021 @10:52AM (#27873426)
I agree, It's one of the things where I feel I hate the opinion, but it is what it is.

If the promise boils down to the blog announcement on their blog, the line is 'all Tesla vehicles produced in our factory – including Model 3 – will have the hardware needed for full self-driving capability at a safety level substantially greater than that of a human driver.'

IMO (not a lawyer), it feels like they didn't tell you it would be the latest, greatest, continually supported in perpetuity, never changing hardware. They told you it had hardware that could support a full self-driving system that is safer than a human. Hardware that they do not support now.

I haven't interacted with any Tesla sales folks, but I feel like if you asked about a commitment like this, even before this subscription service, no one is going to commit to that.

They made it clear it's up to you to purchase the self-driving software, and that is where all the magic is. And to boot, the available agreement when people purchased the car is still on the table; if you give them $10k, they will give you hardware. If you want the subscription, you need to have/acquire the supported hardware.

If they had a contract like a phone (which dislike that business model) where you commit to X months, I could see it. But I too wouldn't want to be handing these out to have people cancel after a month.

Re:Tesla is offering a $1500 upgrade for early cars to suppo... by websites2022 on Sunday July 18, 2021 @11:06AM (#27873540)
> They told you it had hardware that could support a full self-driving system that is safer than a human.

And this turned out to not be true, because if it were, they would have released FSD on this hardware.

Just imagine if Microsoft sold you PC hardware that they claimed would support windows 11 back in 2016, but now require a processor upgrade to support it. This is exactly the same situation.

Re:Tesla is offering a $1500 upgrade for early cars to suppo... by alisonkisk on Sunday July 18, 2021 @12:00PM (#27873995)
it's more like selling you an Xbox and then never releasing any games, and then selling Xbox 360 and games.

the original can (theoretically) play games, but no one with a license wrote any.

Re:Tesla is offering a $1500 upgrade for early cars to suppo... by websites2022 on Sunday July 18, 2021 @12:15PM (#27874112)
Except there is no 3rd party license to make software for Tesla. To make your metaphor apt, it would have to be “Selling you an Xbox that they claim can play Witcher 3 but then requiring you to buy Xbox 360 to play it.”
Re:Tesla is offering a $1500 upgrade for early cars to suppo... by ErikVandeWater on Sunday July 18, 2021 @03:02PM (#27875529)
Solid analogy.
Re:Tesla is offering a $1500 upgrade for early cars to suppo... by ErikVandeWater on Sunday July 18, 2021 @03:02PM (#27875525)
But Tesla never intends to support any Full Self Driving on older generation cars. Full Self Driving was sold at the time as being able to "summon your car to you when you are in LA and the car is in NYC."

They probably won't get there with any hardware package in the next 10 years. But this is a present admission that older generation cars are not currently capable of what Tesla considers FSD without a hardware upgrade.

Re:Tesla is offering a $1500 upgrade for early cars to suppo... by gimmeThaBeet on Monday July 19, 2021 @08:07AM (#27881688)
So that part where I think it's really bad, and the fact that they use Full Self-Driving and FSD as basically a brand name is borderline irresponsible. But to me they are pretty consistent in their language, and any talk of autonomous driving I've seen comes from Musk, and is a projection that probably has a significant safe harbor.

They continually seem to draw a very prominent line between "Full Self-Driving" and "Autonomous", where what Tesla defines as autonomous is the much higher standard (i.e summon your car from one coast to the other).

I would in that light, argue that Tesla's hurdle for saying a given car is FSD capable is really low, because imo, it seems like they are comfortable saying Level 2 is like, Full Self-Driving (Beta).

Re:Tesla is offering a $1500 upgrade for early cars to suppo... by ErikVandeWater on Tuesday July 20, 2021 @08:41PM (#27900997)
I can't see any definition of "full" or "self-driving" that do not require autonomy. This is similar to the case where wireless networks tried to redefine the term "unlimited data" to mean "really a lot of data." The courts ruled against them when they throttled data above a cap that they considered very high usage.
Re:Tesla is offering a $1500 upgrade for early cars to suppo... by ghufran_syed on Sunday July 18, 2021 @09:57AM (#27872946)
Right, Tesla could have the same economic effect by requiring a minimum 2 year contract for the monthly FSD with "free" FSD chip upgrade - I suspect that wouldn't make people feel any better about the situation
Re:Tesla is offering a $1500 upgrade for early cars to suppo... by spaceisballer on Sunday July 18, 2021 @10:18AM (#27873095)
Naturally the title is leading you one way and the reality is another. This would impact me because if I want this I would have to pay $1500 to use the subscription service instead of $5000 for FSD which nets me the computer upgrade too. The policy makes sense, I get that they have always said their cars are all capable of full self driving, yet even with the Model 3 they are requiring hardware upgrades before you can use FSD
Re:Tesla is offering a $1500 upgrade for early cars to suppo... by Cosmin_C on Sunday July 18, 2021 @01:46PM (#27874840)
Wait, Teslas now come with FrameShift Drives?
Re:Tesla is offering a $1500 upgrade for early cars to suppo... by akmarinov on Sunday July 18, 2021 @02:14PM (#27875100)
Not now, but in 2 weeks
Re:Tesla is offering a $1500 upgrade for early cars to suppo... by avereveard on Monday July 19, 2021 @01:46PM (#27885332)
they just waiting for the regulatory approval
Re:Tesla is offering a $1500 upgrade for early cars to suppo... by davedx on Sunday July 18, 2021 @09:57AM (#27872941)
The point is people who already paid 10k still can’t use the FSD subscription.

Nevermind, I misunderstood:)

Re:Tesla is offering a $1500 upgrade for early cars to suppo... by joshribakoff on Sunday July 18, 2021 @10:00AM (#27872965)
They don’t need to setup a second monthly subscription, since they have bought a lifetime subscription outright already.