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Re:Jim Whitehurst to step down as IBM President by echelon on Friday July 02, 2021 @11:20AM (#27712667)
I'd really like to see IBMers talk about the past, present, and future of the company. It looks pretty pale to me.

Back in the Thinkpad era, IBM had a lot of cool stuff going on. But now it seems like a shadow.

Watson and IBM cloud look like flops. The email fiasco is weird and should never have happened.

What did buying Red Hat accomplish? As an outsider, it doesn't seem to have infused any new ideas, and the changes to centos just made people move further away AFAIK.

Or buying stuff like the Weather Channel?

The chip business looks promising. Maybe IBM should double down there?

Consulting, in general, seems to not be a great tool to sharpen internal capability. The constant layoffs of the past have also had a hugely deleterious effect.

Re:Jim Whitehurst to step down as IBM President by throwaway57754 on Friday July 02, 2021 @11:36AM (#27712850)
IBM bought Red Hat for OpenShift. IBM buying Red Hat was supposed to propel OpenShift and Red Hats portfolio into the C-suite connections IBM had. Instead, it seems IBM has force marched Red Hat to focus all their energies on OpenShift at the expense of their larger portfolio. OpenShift probably isn't performing as well as IBM expected, and even with 4 it still carries the "OpenShift is not Kubernetes" vibe. IBM also has a bunch of products in their portfolio that compete with Red Hat.

On the IBM side, weird shit is a foot. The GTS spinoff into Khndryl is very, very bizarre. They're a profitable part of IBM but need to be excised, quickly? It's causing chaos for accounts that had deep GTS coverage as the account teams are basically adversarial. The rest of IBMs portfolio is stagnating as they chase fads and lose to niche players with better overall value. Especially with the Data/AI space, startups are killing them.

Re:Jim Whitehurst to step down as IBM President by rescbr on Friday July 02, 2021 @11:54AM (#27713124)
ex-IBMer here, product side: GTS sometimes had better private pricing and incentives for products from competitors that other business units couldn't match due to internal pricing policies.

Now try explaining to the customer why IBM is recommending an IBM's competitor while IBM is also offering the same product with a better price directly to the customer. It doesn't make sense at all.

Consider two service-focused business units (GTS and GBS) that sometimes are complementary but mostly adversarial and it is chaos for the customer.

Spinning-off GTS (and I dare say, GBS too) is better for the customer and for the product business units.

Re:Jim Whitehurst to step down as IBM President by jhickok on Friday July 02, 2021 @01:13PM (#27714168)
Containerizing IBM's software and forcing it all on OpenShift is such a weird move to me. When you force your customers to become Kubernetes admins when all they really want is some other solution I think you have a drastically smaller target.

I think a lot of Red Hatters are tired of having the IBM sales force show up in their OpenShift accounts asking about upgrading them to Cloud Paks.

Re:Jim Whitehurst to step down as IBM President by NAK21 on Thursday July 08, 2021 @09:54PM (#27779725)
Even worse is the IBM team trying to sell IBM cloud saying cloud-only is the way to go. Customer agrees and compares clouds, settles on AWS or Azure, then IBM team brings in Red Hat to pitch hybrid.
Re:Jim Whitehurst to step down as IBM President by acoard on Friday July 02, 2021 @11:31AM (#27712795)
>What did buying Red Hat accomplish? As an outsider, it doesn't seem to have infused any new ideas, and the changes to centos just made people move further away AFAIK.

I am not an IBMer though have worked with many former IBM folks, and work with Red Hat on and off every month or so. From what I've gathered, Red Hat is the new core of IBM. The goal is to grow Red Hat, specifically their OpenShift offering (which is huge in gov't as it allows for hybrid clouds), and make centre the biz around that then the "traditional" IBM consulting style.

Re:Jim Whitehurst to step down as IBM President by Retric on Friday July 02, 2021 @11:34AM (#27712830)
IBM’s core business is boring crap that doesn’t make the news. So, how the company is doing has little to do with the kinds of things you hear about. That said, their market cap peaked in 2012 at 240B vs 130B today and their revenue and profits are similarly down, which suggests things haven’t been going well for a long time.
Re:Jim Whitehurst to step down as IBM President by darksaints on Friday July 02, 2021 @11:46AM (#27713013)
The chip business has so much potential, and they're wasting it all because they're so stuck in their enterprise marketing and sales model. There is so much demand out there for non-X86 workstations with high performance and large core counts, and they won't even touch it. There is so much demand out there for highly scalable and energy efficient cloud professors (to the point that they're developing them independently), and they won't even touch it. Just sell the damn processors to the people who want them already!
Re:Jim Whitehurst to step down as IBM President by xadhominemx on Friday July 02, 2021 @12:05PM (#27713271)
There are many very well funded companies working on merchant non-x86 processors. There’s no reason to think IBM would be any better at it or that customers would prefer to buy from IBM.
Re:Jim Whitehurst to step down as IBM President by kjs3 on Friday July 02, 2021 @01:43PM (#27714490)
There’s no reason to think IBM would be any better at it

I dunno...they've been building processors since the 1950s.

Re:Jim Whitehurst to step down as IBM President by thedougd on Friday July 02, 2021 @12:58PM (#27713996)
IBM once had a deep, deep bench of engineering talent and squandered it away. They failed to maintain the engineering culture while making many strategic mistakes (cloud).

Starting in the late 2000s and early 10s, executives were crying for 'cloud skills' as part of their continuous 'workforce remix'. Did Amazon build AWS by hiring cloud skills? Of course not. You build a cloud with a wide array of talent including hardware, chip design, software, and systems engineering. IBM had all that available in house.

Re:Jim Whitehurst to step down as IBM President by geodel on Friday July 02, 2021 @02:32PM (#27715060)
True. I remember in that big data hustle in last decade, some morons were claiming that Google is facing problem in hiring Hadoop talent. Imagine that!
Re:Jim Whitehurst to step down as IBM President by kingsuper20 on Friday July 02, 2021 @11:37AM (#27712867)
>Back in the Thinkpad era, IBM had a lot of cool stuff going on. But now it seems like a shadow.

I remember their stuff from the pre-Thinkpad era. Quite a company. Working for both a large competitor and for a small company that was trying to sell to them they seemed clumsy but still had an amazing portfolio.

My guess is that they just need to merge/break-up/reconfigure into oblivion. Just another AT&T/HP/ITT/Polaroid/Xerox

Re:Jim Whitehurst to step down as IBM President by matt_s on Friday July 02, 2021 @01:08PM (#27714107)
Having worked at one of those that also did business with IBM, I felt there was an ethos I observed in the upper ranks that is hard to describe. It was like they felt they were better than others, had large egos about their brand and had a certain stuffiness to them where they knew what was right because it was them. Like a business book/MBA club of sorts. Kinda hard to describe it.

Anyhow I wonder if this better-than-thou, stuffy corporate attitude leads itself to internal re-org cycles where it results in no identity and no central vision, just internal battles.

It seems like other similar size large companies, like Apple, can be successful so maybe their leadership doesn't show these character traits?

Re:Jim Whitehurst to step down as IBM President by kingsuper20 on Friday July 02, 2021 @02:50PM (#27715294)
When I had to deal with some small tendril of IBM, I think the anti-trust suit was still in the works. It probably scarred their dealings with other companies to the same degree that their dominance did.
Re:Jim Whitehurst to step down as IBM President by chr15p on Friday July 02, 2021 @11:45AM (#27712995)
> The chip business looks promising. Maybe IBM should double down there?

I always thought IBM should have bought ARM, the combination of IBM chip tech plus ARMs designs and Red Hat for the software stack would make for an amazing tech business.

Re:Jim Whitehurst to step down as IBM President by kjs3 on Friday July 02, 2021 @01:49PM (#27714559)
This is a really nifty 'what it' to think about, but I don't think IBM needed ARM to have owned the world. They had/have POWER & PPC, and the associated development ecosystem, which gave them processor coverage from low-end embedded thru supers. They just needed to tweak their go-to-market to match the flexibility that ARM has given their licensees and it could have been a very different story.
Re:Jim Whitehurst to step down as IBM President by strife25 on Friday July 02, 2021 @11:37AM (#27712871)
This Stratechery article from 2018 nailed it for me: https://stratechery.com/2018/ibms-old-playbook/
Re:Jim Whitehurst to step down as IBM President by osipov on Friday July 02, 2021 @11:43AM (#27712971)
ex-IBMer here. I rode this from 2001 until 2016 when it became clear that breaking up the company (as they recently did) would become the only sensible path forward.

While many poor decisions were made inside of the company, I ultimately blame Wall Street for IBM's downfall. Remember that back in 2011, Palmisano finished strong with IBM's Watson winning Jeopardy, IBM Software delivering consistent >80% profit margins on $10Bs in revenue, and a strong services backlog.

Many don't know that Palmisano's departure was preceded by a Wall Street mediated competition for the successor. IBM Software Group SVP, Steve Mills, was the obvious choice. The guy was a lifetime IBMer, intellectually superb, allegedly with photographic memory, effective public speaker, and with a proven history of leading (at the time) the 3rd largest software business in the world.

Unfortunately, Wall Street didn't like Mills because he did not come across well on CNBC. The guy is chubby and doesn't look like a conventional CEO. So Ginny Rometty, with a claim to fame based on building IBM Global Business Services from on the PwC acquistion became the leading candidate. Ginny is "media friendly" and the diversity factor didn't hurt.

Once Ginny came on board, leadership style changed from long-term to fickle and neurotic. Instead of committing to the hard work of building complex technology (e.g. cloud), any signs of technological challenges became reasons for business strategy changes at the top level. What started as a build decision (IBM SmartCloud) turned into a buy decision (Softlayer), followed by a build decision (IBM Bluemix), and so on.

However, Ginny's biggest failure was her inability to raise capital on Wall Street. IBM's engineers weren't failing at building cloud technology because the engineers were terrible (some were, normal distribution rules still apply) but because cost cutting policies starved engineering teams though attrition and lack of hiring. Staffing a team meant bringing in internal hires w/o the right skill set or taking a gamble on offshore (global) resource. At the same time Google was hiring left and right with comparative ease (as an aside, now they are dealing with the consequences).

Bottom line, Ginny couldn't get the capital to fund internal engineering efforts for the scale of the transformation needed to sustain IBM's success with machine learning (Watson) and cloud.

I place the blame on Wall Street since they made the bet on Ginny and then left her out to dry.

Re:Jim Whitehurst to step down as IBM President by josipt on Friday July 02, 2021 @12:12PM (#27713387)
Wall Street? Couldn't raise capital? Maybe IBM could have used some of the $110 billion dollars they spent on buying back shares to, I don't know, build a real business? IBM could potentially have built what is now AWS but what did they do instead? Share buybacks. What do they have to show for that?

IBM has been essentially a financial engineering machine for many years, with their ridiculous 5-year EPS targets and all the rest of it. While I was there they even removed plants, copiers, coffee machines, televisions, pads, pencils, pens and everything else in sight to "save" money.

The "leadership" of IBM drove the company in to the ground, period.

Re:Jim Whitehurst to step down as IBM President by throwawaygal7 on Friday July 02, 2021 @12:34PM (#27713712)
Agree completely , the leadership was selling the farm piece by piece.
Re:Jim Whitehurst to step down as IBM President by osipov on Friday July 02, 2021 @05:36PM (#27717228)
>Maybe IBM could have used some of the $110 billion dollars they spent on buying back shares to, I don't know, build a real business?

You just answered your own question. As I pointed out, leadership was "picked" by Wall Street investors. Share buybacks and financial engineering exist to keep the investors happy.

If they didn't buy back shares and invested in R&D the stock would have gone straight down instead of sideways. As I said the leadership "couldn't get the capital to fund internal engineering efforts for the _scale_ of the transformation needed to sustain IBM's success"

Re:Jim Whitehurst to step down as IBM President by jldugger on Friday July 02, 2021 @12:18PM (#27713476)
> Google was hiring left and right with comparative ease (as an aside, now they are dealing with the consequences).

In the five years since you left IBM in 2016, GOOG has tripled in value, while IBM has lost 8 percent. I think I know which set of consequences I'd prefer to deal with as an executive, shareholder, or employee.

Re:Jim Whitehurst to step down as IBM President by xadhominemx on Friday July 02, 2021 @12:14PM (#27713417)
IBM generates $15b of free cash flow per year. They did not need to raise anything from Wall Street. And the notion that Wall Street would somehow interfere with an internal succession process because they thought a brilliant tech executive was not very polished is laughable.
Re:Jim Whitehurst to step down as IBM President by throwawaygal7 on Friday July 02, 2021 @12:32PM (#27713698)
I was an intern at IBM from 2010-2015, and then an full time engineer for a short while before moving on.

I agree completely that the change in leadership marked an inability to really bring WATSON to market, and some other products too.

While I was an intern, I sat next to ExtremeBlue interns and team members working on Watson. The technology was awesome and they were working like mad. Sleeping under the desk. By 2015 the push had stopped and everyone knew it was a failure to launch.

Re:Jim Whitehurst to step down as IBM President by jollybean on Friday July 02, 2021 @01:05PM (#27714068)
"I agree completely that the change in leadership marked an inability to really bring WATSON to market, and some other products too."

Watson for all it's academic glory, was kind of vapourware as a product.

It just never really did anything materially useful. They did a lot of hospital trials that fizzled. Way, way over-promised.

A little bit along the lines of ElementAI - it's hard to commercialized AI directly.

Google et. al. do it right by incrementally improving things like translation, voice recognition ... it's making waves within academia for it's quality, but it's something consumers are hardly aware of.

Since IBM is not a consumer company, there's only so much sugar and hype that Watson can provide (winning Jeopardy was a brilliant thing) before the rubber has to hit the rode.

I'm not so sure if it's fair to blame a new leader for that one ... because I'm not sure what a realistic business application for Watson would be. (Maybe there are hard and real products, but they're probably going to be very context specific etc..)

Building great tech is hard enough, then building great products on top of that - just as hard. Doing it within a massive multinational that makes it's money from grifting governments and megacorps into paying for really expensive services probably just is not going to work.

MS, Google, FB ... they have the operational fidelity and product line to leverage AI internally, IBM, not so much.

I don't know what the future of IBM looks like aside from just being another Accenture.

Re:Jim Whitehurst to step down as IBM President by throwawaygal7 on Friday July 02, 2021 @10:19PM (#27718863)
Interesting perspective. They were advertising WATSON everywhere and it did seem like they wanted it to be big. I worked for rational doing... less savoury stuff but it did pay the bills!
Re:Jim Whitehurst to step down as IBM President by 2sk21 on Friday July 02, 2021 @05:23PM (#27717066)
I worked in the Watson group during the time you mention - the problem that they made was to attempt to productize the original Jeopardy system. The Jeopardy system was built with the single-minded goal of winning jeopardy. It was much too heavy weight for real-world applications - it required unbelievable computing resources and simply could not be deployed in the cloud as it could only run on Power machines.

Ultimately much of the system had to be rewritten and this took years by which time, it was just another competitor in a crowded market

Re:Jim Whitehurst to step down as IBM President by thedougd on Friday July 02, 2021 @01:05PM (#27714075)
Sam's EPS target was the singular focus during that time. Executive management squeezed everything for the last penny during that period, IMO setting the path to failure.
Re:Jim Whitehurst to step down as IBM President by 2sk21 on Friday July 02, 2021 @05:18PM (#27717014)
Exactly! Palmisano was squeezing every last cent and starving the company of resources for developing the future. Even by 2008, it was clear hat cloud computing was the next big wave and yet IBM built out its own half-baked internal cloud offering before acquiring Softlayer