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Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by js8 on Tuesday June 29, 2021 @09:38PM (#27683935)
I like the conspiracy theory/practice distinction and I hope Ed will write more on how we could pay more attention to the latter.

Noam Chomsky presents lots of evidence about outrageous acts of American government in his books, and he always claimed that it all comes from official and open government sources. Yet most people are either unaware or refuse to believe it anyway.

These are conspiracies done openly, because almost nobody wants to go through and find the smoking gun in the heaps of otherwise boring government documents.

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by baron_harkonnen on Tuesday June 29, 2021 @09:47PM (#27683996)
One of my favorite Noam Chomsky moments is when a 9-11 "truther" is able to ask him a question about what he believes about the 9-11 conspiracy theories.

Chomsky responds with the typical comment that it would take an unprecedented amount of coordination to have so many people keep the secret that it doesn't even make sense.

But he continues to say that the US government has openly killed 100s of thousands of civilians around the globe, why would 3000 killed more be interesting at all? Essentially pointing out that you don't need the complexity of conspiracy theory to realize that the US government actively participates in large scale murder openly and all the time.

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by generalizations on Tuesday June 29, 2021 @10:51PM (#27684347)
> Chomsky responds with the typical comment that it would take an unprecedented amount of coordination to have so many people keep the secret that it doesn't even make sense.

I remember hearing that argument made back in the 00's about government surveilance. The secret doesn't have to be kept perfectly, it just has to be made ridiculous.

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by erk__ on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @03:47AM (#27686038)
Has government surveillance not been an open secret for decades for example you can dig up EU reports on Echelon from the early 00's which talks about a 1997 study that said that ECHELON routinely intercepts all e-mail, telephone and Fax. The issue is more that most did not believe in it until hard evidence was presented by whistle-blowers like Edward Snowden.

http://www.europarl.europa.eu/sides/getDoc.do?pubRef=-//EP//...

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by AshamedCaptain on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @04:34AM (#27686317)
No. Everyone believed the stories about Echelon and the mandated at&t "wiretap room" and so on and so forth. The situation is pretty similar as of today, in fact. People just put that into the back of their heads where they can ignore it and continue writing their HN post.
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by beerandt on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @03:10PM (#27692370)
And the most sensitive personal and business emails continue to be sent in clear text. Without the sender usually even thinking twice about it.
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by colordrops on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @04:04AM (#27686136)
The official 9/11 story being a farce has been an open secret almost since the event. There are hundreds of verifiable facts that don't fit the official narrative.
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by bananapub on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @06:07AM (#27686784)
eg?
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by Liquix on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @09:22AM (#27688188)
What happened to WTC 7? There is a 45k+ bounty for any credible refutation of the University of Alaska Fairbanks study:

https://ine.uaf.edu/projects/wtc7/

http://westviewnews.org/2020/01/09/engineers-pledge-45000-re...

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by dhimes on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @10:44AM (#27689156)
It's interesting how the Surfside condo collapse looked like a controlled demolition too. It wasn't, though. I think it's just how buildings are built to collapse, and they down that way regardless of cause.
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by atatatat on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @11:45AM (#27689906)
You can tell the condo thing had no BS surrounding it because, well, the television showed footage of it from every angle and actually analyzed, as opposed to the piss poor confusing coverage and engineering analysis on, say, the Vegas shooting.
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by ttctciyf on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @06:34AM (#27686937)
Not a 9/11 truther, but there are some incongruities around official accounts of 9/11, for example the accounts of why CIA staffers actively blocked the FBI from being informed about the activities of future 9/11 hijackers, as discussed in the documentary "Who is Rich Blee".

There's a morass of conflicting stories, but if you're interested you could start with a close look at [1].

1: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alfreda_Frances_Bikowsky

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by ta988 on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @08:48AM (#27687812)
Intelligence agencies have used all the recipes in the book to take a hit at each other, so there is that as well.
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by LargoLasskhyfv on Thursday July 01, 2021 @06:09PM (#27705510)
I remember laughing at the presented passport from one of the alleged culprits shortly after.(Like a day, or even hours? Can't recall exactly anymore) Found blocks away, only slightly burned at some parts of the corners. Seemed surreal and staged to me.

edit: Also, in hindsight, after having been sensitized to the topic in general, the fact that there were exercise/drill/training/simulation operations running at the same time and place where terror attacks hit.

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by lowkey on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @10:21AM (#27688875)
WTC7
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by bananapub on Tuesday July 06, 2021 @01:30PM (#27751676)
that's not an answer.

what specifically about that building? in what way do you disagree with the "official" narrative and what is your proof of your counter-narrative and what is your evidence that was suppressed?

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by fjrueosjdksn on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @07:42PM (#27694824)
Most normal people, whom you will not find on hacker news, will think you a tinfoil hat wearing lunatic to suggest anything remotely like mass surveillance being real in ky experience.
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by fn-mote on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @10:40PM (#27695787)
The problem in my experience (with say a typical < 25 year old) is that they just don't care. Really. Like: "So what?" "Watch all they want, they can see me on TikTok."

It has become normalized and it doesn't connect with something undesirable.

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by fjrueosjdksn on Thursday July 01, 2021 @07:54AM (#27698201)
Unfortunately this seems all too plausible, and it really is too late to have a society that allows privacy imho.
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by fjrueosjdksn on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @08:11PM (#27695000)
why the downvotes?
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by meowface on Thursday July 01, 2021 @04:06PM (#27704022)
I didn't downvote you, but, to me, your claim very much does not match up with my experiences. Regardless of political affiliation or age or location - even before Snowden - most people probably wouldn't find it very crazy or implausible, and a lot would say it's quite possible or likely. Post-Snowden, I think you'd be seen as the crazy one if you thought it wasn't happening.

At least if we're talking about surveillance in the sense of "when you call someone or are called by someone, the phone numbers and length of the call are automatically recorded in a database, and everyone's unencrypted internet traffic is collected and/or automatically and manually analyzed by the National Security Agency". If someone says the government put microscopic hidden cameras in everyone's home ceilings, then, yeah, they'll probably be seen as pretty crazy. (A bit less so if they say they're just tapping the cameras in phones / laptops / smart TVs.)

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by bawolff on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @01:00AM (#27685056)
The level of coordination required to fake 9/11 seems on a very different level than the level required to wiretap some central points on the internet. And that's not even considering usa basically had a dept of wiretapping (the NSA) already set up or that the nsa's activities actually did leak.
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by AndrewBissell on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @04:16AM (#27686208)
NSA mass surveillance was not just a matter of "wiretap some central points on the internet" as a one-and-done operation. It required thousands of people to work on various infrastructure and operations and to maintain it on an indefinite ongoing basis. It actually would have required far more sophistication and coordination to keep quiet in perpetuity than doing 9/11.

However, in point of fact, mass surveillance actually was kept quiet for years after it was spun up. Long after the evidence had leaked from multiple sources and become undeniable, you would still be called a crackpot if you said to someone on the street that all their electronic communications were being collected and stored indefinitely. Then, on a certain day in 2013, a former CIA employee dumped the NSA's files to the Western press, which obligingly flipped the narrative and dedicated weeks of extensive coverage to the government's shiny, new, and by then well entrenched panopticon. A surveillance system is ultimately most useful in its purpose only if the people know they're being watched, and the time had come for it to be unveiled.

As always, a large amount of media coverage in mainstream press outlets was a good indicator of what it was that the state wanted people focused on. The massively lower level of attention drawn to the Vault 7 leaks (which were arguably even more crucial than Snowden's) is stark and instructive, as is the different fate of the whistleblower (obscurity in prison vs international celebrity status) and a good indication of what they don't want you thinking about.

"Use Signal, use Tor."

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by aarchi on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @07:16AM (#27687190)
The Vault 7 page on Wikipedia lists a strange ordering for E2EE messengers. Telegram has the weakest security and has only opt-in E2EE for chats, yet is listed first. WhatsApp's Facebook ownership is obviously problematic, but irrelevant to the specific context. I'd reorder it as “Signal, WhatsApp, and Telegram”.

> While the encryption of messengers that offer end-to-end encryption, such as Telegram, WhatsApp and Signal, wasn't reported to be cracked, ...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vault_7#Messaging_services

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by AndrewBissell on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @01:16PM (#27691055)
It doesn't matter how secure the messengers are if every device they're running on is compromised.
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by emoII on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @03:43AM (#27686012)
Does it really require all that much coordination?

Some top-level military exec(s) want the military to get more funding. They're in contact with Bin Laden. Bin Laden gets a bit of money to put a couple of arabs on a "work-trip" to the US. The military-execs offer a couple of pilots a "crazy increase to their life insurance". Check their schedules to coordinate the day of the attack.

I know there's a lot of detail left out and a lot of assumptions made, but I'm not convinced that it has to be an extremely complex and coordinated plan.

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by ddxxdd on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @04:07AM (#27686151)
Military funding of Bin Laden isn't that far-fetched, and it may have possibly been true in the past[0], but 9/11 truthers believe that the World Trade Center was taken down by missiles and controlled demolition, and that people who thought they saw a plane were confused.

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Allegations_of_CIA_assistance_...

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by jcbrand on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @06:08AM (#27686787)
AFAIK most "truthers" don't subscribe to the missile theory when it comes to the towers (the Pentagon is a different story).

I sometimes wonder whether the more out there conspiracy theories are simply used to discredit any concern or skepticism of the official narrative by lumping those concerned with the crazies.

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by koolba on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @06:20AM (#27686847)
> I sometimes wonder whether the more out there conspiracy theories are simply used to discredit any concern or skepticism of the official narrative by lumping those concerned with the crazies.

You can see this with every time that the COVID lab leak discussion gets equated with lab creation.

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by meowface on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @10:31AM (#27689010)
And also creation for research/treatment development purposes vs. bioweapon purposes.
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by Ieghaehia9 on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @06:55AM (#27687070)
I tend to call that tactic "Joe Greening", from the guy in the original Deus Ex who mixed the (in-universe true) conspiracy theories with alien nonsense to discredit people who knew about the conspiracies.

https://deusex.fandom.com/wiki/Joe_Greene

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by nerdponx on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @08:04AM (#27687471)
This comes up in The X-Files, too.
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by meowface on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @10:39AM (#27689099)
Agreed; I spend probably too much of my time debating conspiracy theories online, and I find these tactics incredibly common and incredibly disingenuous. It's very easy to reduce any conspiracy theory to the most absurd of its claims and claimants. One has to break down the different possibilities and the conditional probabilities that follow.

Was Epstein murdered, or did he kill himself? If he killed himself, was he told to, permitted to, or not permitted to and did it anyway? Did the towers fall due to plane collisions and fires, or explosives, or both, or something else? Were al Qaeda responsible? If so, did they collaborate with the US government? If they were responsible and didn't collaborate, did the US government have specific forewarning and let it happen for geopolitical purposes?

Any and every conspiracy theory absolutely should and must be steelmanned, and every person lobbing allegations must be taken seriously, if we're to have any hope of getting a micrometer closer to a shared sense of reality. Good epistemology requires taking conspiracy theories seriously and in good faith, even if one believes some percentage of conspiracy theorists may be acting in bad faith or may be in a state of psychosis, etc.

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by beckingz on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @03:53PM (#27692754)
Buddy, I don't have time to evaluate all the true information that comes up, let alone all the probably false information.

Not to mention that conspiracy theories and other complex claims are an asymmetric demand on people's time: it takes a nut 10 seconds to say that the towers were hit by missiles, and 10 minutes for you to find video recordings from multiple sources.

Also the goal posts are moved whenever convenient: most conspiracy theorists that I have interacted with are attached to the idea that there is a conspiracy more than any specific conspiracy.

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by meowface on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @07:44PM (#27694833)
>Not to mention that conspiracy theories and other complex claims are an asymmetric demand on people's time: it takes a nut 10 seconds to say that the towers were hit by missiles, and 10 minutes for you to find video recordings from multiple sources.

This is true. I've lost countless hours exerting 50 times more effort trying to refute conspiracy theorists' claims than the effort they put into it.

But I don't find it a total waste. Do I ever alter or influence anyone's opinions in any way? The person I'm debating: probably almost never or never. But other people reading it? Probably very very rarely, but if even one person reading it has ever had their view slightly shifted, then it's worth it, to me.

I know the efforts don't go totally unappreciated; in online discussions, I've been privately thanked for being one of the only people who'll try to take a conspiracy theorist seriously and have a serious, long debate with them. I get why almost no one wants to do it. But, in my opinion, someone has to. I definitely wouldn't fault someone for not wanting to masochistically subject themselves to that, but I think there still needs to be someone willing to sit down with them, treat them and their views with respect, and present reasonable counter-arguments.

When not a single person will try to seriously engage with them and their arguments, it only deeply reinforces that they're right and everyone else is crazy and/or a liar and/or an idiot. For example, if you Google terms related to Holocaust denial, pretty much two things come up (at least as of some years ago): Holocaust denial websites or websites saying it happened. You almost never find someone actually trying to directly address the claims of Holocaust denialists. You just get things like the current top hit:

>In most cases, a healthy debate promotes understanding. But even in the most liberal societies, certain matters are closed for discussion. For good reason, we choose not to argue about whether the Earth is flat, or whether white people have (as some white supremacists claim) “superior germ-plasm.” Nor should we argue about whether the Holocaust happened. It did. Arguments against this fact reveal little about history and much about the arguer’s wish for the world to replace memories of Jewish victimization with a monolithic image of Jews as powerful and treacherous.

On one hand; sure, I agree with all of this. But try putting yourself in the shoes of someone who's been indoctrinated into truly, earnestly believing it's all made up, and then read that statement. What are you going to think?

>Also the goal posts are moved whenever convenient: most conspiracy theorists that I have interacted with are attached to the idea that there is a conspiracy more than any specific conspiracy.

Yes; their strongly-held priors are that there are lots of conspiracies. In my opinion, barring scenarios like antipsychotics for people in psychotic states, the only way to really dislodge any belief a conspiracy theorist has is to attack the entire jenga stack from the root. You need to chip away at the priors in order to move the needle on anything in any direction. This isn't easy and probably takes months or years of time spent with a specific person to have even the slightest chance, but I think it's the only way.

In my opinion, if humanity is to have a chance of surviving in the long term, there need to be at least some people making concerted efforts to try to bridge the gap between people who hold fundamentally different views of reality. I think it'd be bad and a net waste of time and energy if a lot of people were doing this, but I think it'd also be bad if no one were doing it.

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by adevx on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @06:29AM (#27686909)
That is indeed a well known tactic. In the same way as critics of mass vaccinating a global population with an experimental vaccine are lumped together with anti-vaxxers who believe in a nanobot spiked mRNA vaccine by Bill Gates.
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by atatatat on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @11:51AM (#27689988)
Right — why isn't it cool to distinguish, and rank, various adjacent conspiracy theory likelihoods anymore?
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by atatatat on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @11:46AM (#27689935)
> 9/11 truthers believe that the World Trade Center was taken down by missiles and controlled demolition

Speaking for an entire group, almost always going to fail.

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by LargoLasskhyfv on Thursday July 01, 2021 @06:23PM (#27705624)
Pffft...you got it wrong. "Zem planez have been remotely radioed in!"
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by truth_ on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @09:07AM (#27688010)
Military funding of terrorists is nothing new.

Pakistan as a proxy state of the US created the Taliban in Afghanistan.

US wanted religiously motivated fighters countering the USSR. Pakistan, armed with US weapon, and flush with US money, obliged.

Taliban was actually created at the behest of the US.

It is an open secret.

The US, to counter Al-Assad, armed and funded Al-Noosra front. Much, if not most of the money and weapons went to the ISIS.

In the case of Al-Noosra turned ISIS, the US has plausible deniability. It doesn't even have that much of it in case of the next generation of the Mujahids fighting the USSR being turned into the Taliban.

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by roenxi on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @04:23AM (#27686248)
The sticking point would be the bombers themselves. Maybe they chicken out at the last minute and then expose the conspirators.

The personal risk for the top level execs would be massive, maybe even up to and including a death penalty. The payoff is a budget with too many 0s gets more 0s. The plot isn't rational.

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by jcbrand on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @06:09AM (#27686794)
The bombers are useful idiots. True believers that aren't aware that they're part of an inside job.
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by beerandt on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @03:16PM (#27692413)
Right. You just fine someone else that wants it done and grease the wheels.
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by atatatat on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @11:52AM (#27690007)
Thank you.
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by tnzm on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @07:48AM (#27687368)
That's what you need true believers for: cannon fodder. Unlikely for someone to chicken out if they're already heavily emotionally invested in the idea of achieving spontaneous unity with God by blowing themselves to bits.
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by AndrewBissell on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @04:44AM (#27686370)
> The sticking point would be the bombers themselves. Maybe they chicken out at the last minute and then expose the conspirators.

Very trivial to deal with, if one of them starts to speak up you just send the FBI to conduct an "interview" during the course of which they can be assassinated, like they did with Ibragim Todashev.

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by bawolff on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @04:23AM (#27686253)
I think the hard part is not doing it as a false flag op, but getting away with it after the fact. There was a lot of eyes on the aftermath of 9/11.
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by shadowgovt on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @07:51AM (#27687385)
Especially after the centralization of the American surveillance and enforcement infrastructure in The Patriot Act.

The TLA organizations in the government are rival siblings. If the FBI caught wind of a conspiracy to orchestrate 9/11 perpetrated by the Department of Defense in the newly-authorized data sharing, they'd have run it to ground.

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by mandmandam on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @10:18AM (#27688846)
Ha. In fact, you could hardly be more wrong.

https://nypost.com/2019/09/07/robert-mueller-helped-saudi-ar...

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by shadowgovt on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @11:11AM (#27689519)
This is not an example of the FBI caught in a conspiracy to orchestrate 9/11. If anything, this is an example of the FBI demonstrating, perhaps, insufficient willingness to pursue investigation into a politically allied nation... Not terribly surprising, because (for starters) the FBI's job is domestic investigation, not international. The CIA or NSA would be in charge of looking into Saudi connections to 9/11.

After the Patriot Act, these responsibilities became intertwined, but in the timeframe the article's describing, the nature of that entwining was nascent, and it's not surprising the FBI would have continued to act like the traditional FBI.

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by atatatat on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @11:55AM (#27690045)
> If anything, this is an example of the FBI demonstrating, perhaps, insufficient willingness to pursue investigation into a politically allied nation

When you regularly use other nations to do your bidding, what the hell is the difference?

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by wp381640 on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @01:08AM (#27685098)
Not to mention that the post-911 NSA surveillance program leaked to the NYTimes within a few years
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by atatatat on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @11:49AM (#27689958)
This is one of the points of the article.

Conflation of adjacent theories is an easy route to defeating them in court of public opinion.

"fake 9/11" isn't even close....

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by PicassoCTs on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @07:13AM (#27687176)
Is there a category of "reduced protective on the ground work to sloppy SIGINT surveillance willingly" to provoke a incident that would ensure future funding?
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by humbledrone on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @12:42AM (#27684937)
It's worth noting that the government surveillance secret wasn't actually kept very well, largely because of exactly the effect that Chomsky describes -- keeping all the numerous people in on the secret didn't work, and so we found out about it. I'd argue that the government surveillance example actually strengthens Chomsky's argument.
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by Dnsv on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @02:01AM (#27685404)
It's really about the upper limit of what a 6 inch chimp brain can process. Or a group of chimps can process.

Whether it's a chimp in govt or outside Rationality has an Upper Bound. Stick that on the Fridge.

When the problem faced is too complex and that upper bound naturally gets hit stories flow out of the head on both sides. The right move is not to focus on the stories.

The right move, for this has been studied for a long time under the Theory of Bounded Rationality, is to focus on simpler problems.

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by BuyMyBitcoins on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @12:49AM (#27684983)
> The secret doesn't have to be kept perfectly, it just has to be made ridiculous.

Better yet, make it a partisan issue. Half of the country will refuse to believe it while the other half will be unable to do anything about it.

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by atatatat on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @01:11PM (#27690990)
Confuse the issue more by flipflopping which party signals to their base to virtue signal giving a shit about the topic every....3-5 years.
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by shadowgovt on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @07:47AM (#27687365)
The main difference between government surveillance and 9/11 truther conspiracy is that the government surveillance "secret" can be kept in the open because the bulk of the citizenry doesn't care, or actually thinks it's in their best interests for the government to be surveilling everyone.

In contrast, the bulk of the citizenry would be up in arms if there were indisputable proof that our government orchestrated a terrorist attack on American soil that killed thousands of people.

Evidence: the reaction to the Snowden leaks. Lots of Americans responded to that news with "oh okay; that's a rational thing for the NSA to be doing to combat terrorism."

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by posix_me_less on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @09:24AM (#27688199)
> the citizenry would be up in arms if there were indisputable proof that our government orchestrated

Not so sure about that. Large portion of population does believe that and they are not up in arms.

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by shadowgovt on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @11:20AM (#27689618)
It's not a wide enough margin. The Scrips 2006 poll suggested around 16% think it's "very likely" someone in the US government either assisted or took no action (as frame of reference, Pew Research suggests between 4 and 7% of respondent input is "bogus"... Not just random, but intentionally biased towards the most unlikely answer to troll the pollsters [https://www.pewresearch.org/methods/2020/02/18/assessing-the...]).
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by atatatat on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @11:57AM (#27690076)
2006?!?!?!?!?!?!
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by shadowgovt on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @05:07PM (#27693422)
That was the generous year. Belief has waned since then.

Statista probed the question in 2019 and found strong belief at 11%. https://www.statista.com/statistics/959504/belief-september-...

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by Judgmentality on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @12:37AM (#27684915)
Now I want to relearn all the 9/11 conspiracy theories.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/9/11_conspiracy_theories

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by colordrops on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @04:07AM (#27686154)
One of the weirder ones is that there were over 80 cameras pointed at the plane that crashed into the Pentagon and the public has seen none of the videos.
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by patrickk on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @04:49AM (#27686392)
Another strange one is the speech than Rumsfeld gave about missing trillions at the Pentagon 1 day before 9/11, then completely forgotten in the face of increased military spending the next day.

https://youtu.be/MfMjdKElgqY

https://youtu.be/xU4GdHLUHwU

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by sammalloy on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @04:48AM (#27686387)
I'm pretty sure that was debunked several years ago. Plus, video was finally released, so there's that.
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by lowkey on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @10:31AM (#27689016)
Per GP there were over 80 cameras but the pentagon, after years of calls for transparency shared a couple stills from one camera, so there’s that.
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by Judgmentality on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @11:30AM (#27689738)
Those stills have about the same quality as your typical Bigfoot photo though.

Why not just release a damn video?

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by pyuser583 on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @10:03PM (#27695606)
They dont want to reveal the locations of their security cameras?
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by Judgmentality on Thursday July 01, 2021 @01:59PM (#27702224)
If they already released a still, they already released the location.
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by pyuser583 on Thursday July 01, 2021 @05:43PM (#27705247)
Of one camera. Not 80 of them.
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by Judgmentality on Friday July 02, 2021 @12:58PM (#27713994)
I'm asking for them to release any video that shows what happened. If they already released one still, why not release the entire video?

I feel like you're purposefully being difficult.

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by pyuser583 on Friday July 02, 2021 @05:18PM (#27717012)
I don’t have a lot to go on and so am I basically playing Devils Advocate.

If I’m coming off as difficult, that’s why.

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by atatatat on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @12:00PM (#27690123)
Sunlight cures all infection.
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by shadowgovt on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @03:54PM (#27692763)
This phenomenon is a subset of the effect "Too much sunlight denatures complex molecules and kills carbon-based life."
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by colordrops on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @11:22AM (#27689640)
What do you mean debunked? Who debunked it? Do you have a citation? Are you suggesting the HQ of the most powerful military in the world had no security cameras?

This has the statement of the FBI agent saying that they had 85 videos, only one of which was released:

http://www.judicialwatch.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/A_20...

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by LargoLasskhyfv on Thursday July 01, 2021 @06:50PM (#27705875)
Hm. No. The weirdest one is that the WTC was torn down by tactical nuke, buried under its basement, in context of Silverstein Properties having insured it at much higher value before, essentially pulling off a gigantic insurance fraud.
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by atatatat on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @11:58AM (#27690100)
I commented elsewhere on this oddity, and the Vegas shooting, contrasted to the coverage of the recent condo collapse.
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by hanniabu on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @11:04AM (#27689419)
Another thing I haven't seen any reasonable explanation for is how the towers collapsed perfectly in their footprint. It's hard enough to get smaller buildings to collapse perfectly in controlled demolition. Yet 2 towers that were among the tallest in the world both collapsed perfectly. With such tall towers they should have buckled unevenly at least a little bit, especially since the damage was off center.
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by atatatat on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @12:00PM (#27690114)
They're definitely built to collapse inward out of necessity to avoid damaging other buildings/creating dominos.
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by atatatat on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @11:42AM (#27689873)
And the Manhattan Project before that ;)
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by mssundaram on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @02:16AM (#27685501)
I don't think it would take an unprecedented amount of coordination, because not many people would even need to know the secret. During times of mass chaos there is a collective emotional and psychological understanding that is easily influenced. At a simple level, see the "Brain Games - Social Conformity" experiment by National Geographic.
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by galaxyLogic on Tuesday June 29, 2021 @10:38PM (#27684295)
The trouble with (true) conspiracies is that too many people benefit from them not being investigated properly and openly.
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by tmn on Tuesday June 29, 2021 @10:54PM (#27684364)
The fallacy with that 9-11 rebuttal is that in its main stream form, 9-11 is as unprecedented as the conspiracy they are saying is far fetched. Why is it more infeasible to assume there was some inside help or looking the other way? Add in incentives as a result of the act, Israel’s known knowledge and surveillance of the act, seems pretty clear there’s more to it.
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by fighterpilot on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @06:50AM (#27687046)
It's more infeasible because it's massively more complicated. Occam's Razor.

Just because they're two unprecedented scenarios doesn't mean they're equally simple explanations.

Not only do you need the complicity of Bin Laden and his associates, you also need the complicity of many people within the US and you need them all to shut up about it and you need Bin Laden and his associates to lie about what really happened and you need to hide any trace of this from investigators. This is massively more complicated than the banal explanation that the small group of people who say they did it, actually did it.

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by jcbrand on Thursday July 01, 2021 @07:12AM (#27698018)
You don't necessarily need the complicity of Bin Laden, or that many people.

You just need your intelligence agencies to keep track of what he is doing and allow him to continue because the attack suits your purpose (e.g. finding an excuse to attack Iraq).

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by fighterpilot on Thursday July 01, 2021 @10:21AM (#27699308)
That's a much more plausible version. It's still more complicated, though, and requires the complicity of many more people, and is therefore less likely to be true. There's also the rule of thumb that we shouldn't presume malice when incompetence fits.
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by perl4ever on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @12:03AM (#27684730)
Any conspiracy powerful enough to affect world events in a major way would be the source of some or all of the popular conspiracy theories. So they tell you something, but not taken at face value.

People have been talking about Israeli and Saudi conspiracies since it happened, so I think it's safe to assume that is what the real conspiracy wants people to think.

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by AndrewBissell on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @03:45AM (#27686025)
> Chomsky responds with the typical comment that it would take an unprecedented amount of coordination to have so many people keep the secret that it doesn't even make sense.

Let's say that someone came out tomorrow and said, "9/11 was an inside job, and in my role as Undersecretary of the Army I was instructed by Donald Rumsfeld to do X, Y, and Z to help carry it out." What is it, exactly, that Noam Chomsky believes would happen? Does he think this whistleblower would get a segment on 60 Minutes? Fawning mugshots on the cover of Time magazine? No, they'd be easily marginalized, pathologized as a crank, and ultimately disposed of. What would even be the incentive for someone to throw themselves into the buzzsaw of our complicit media and its credulous consumers?

This is something ignorant people (including Chomsky himself) also will often say about the JFK assassination, "oh someone would have come forward and said something." Well, people did come forward and say things, dozens of them, and they were ignored, mocked, harassed, and sometimes killed. With this kind of intimidation down to a science and communications channels more thoroughly surveilled than ever, coordinating a large action (especially with the standard spycraft techniques of compartmentalization and need-to-know) is probably easier than ever.

The lies are never foolproof, they're just delivered within a resilient system which controls how (and whether) the lies are talked about.

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by fighterpilot on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @07:31AM (#27687274)
Chomsky's point is that the N people that need to be involved is large, so even if you think it's unlikely that one co-conspirator would come forward (you are right on that), when N is large then the probability that at least one will come forward, 1-pow(1-p, N), becomes much more likely.

Your other point about people not being believed is a separate point to the above. Has there been people claiming to have been involved in 9/11 on the inside that haven't been believed?

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by atatatat on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @01:13PM (#27691015)
You don't need to keep them all quiet, just yank their YouTube videos or arrest them for their machine having child pornography.
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by fighterpilot on Thursday July 01, 2021 @02:42AM (#27696874)
So not only is there a 9/11 conspiracy, there's also a conspiracy to suppress and frame anyone who's coming forward over the next 20 years.

As the conspiracy theory gets more and more complicated like this, it also gets more and more implausible.

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by AndrewBissell on Thursday July 01, 2021 @02:45AM (#27696887)
It's an absolute miracle the mafia ever got off the ground!
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by fighterpilot on Thursday July 01, 2021 @04:06AM (#27697220)
An example that proves my point, since the mafia itself and its prosecution under RICO are both well known to the public.
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by TeeMassive on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @12:50AM (#27684988)
> Chomsky responds with the typical comment that it would take an unprecedented amount of coordination to have so many people keep the secret that it doesn't even make sense.

That's often the weakest point of conspiracy theories. But I think this argument is exaggerated because it depends entirely on the assumption that 3 letters agencies didn't reach a level of sophistication and didn't accumulate enough know-how over their decades of existence to overcome this kind of human obstacle. Just right off my head I can think of several ways that this risk can and has been minimized: compartmentalization, black mail, child porn accusations (true or otherwise), close monitoring, murder, need to know kept very low, etc.

Also as a counterexample, see Operation Gladio where "stay-behind" units formed a hidden army inside NATO countries unbeknownst to their leaders and were involved in multiple terrorist attacks, massacres and harassment campaigns against "leftist" groups they deemed subversive and also to create a "strategy of tension". This has been going on from the 60s to the 80s and didn't begin to be uncovered until the 90s.

Also see MKUltra and operation Northwoods for actual government conspiracies, which weren't discovered due to the "unprecedented amount of coordination to have so many people keep the secret".

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by LargoLasskhyfv on Thursday July 01, 2021 @06:04PM (#27705464)
Hrm. There is also compartmentalization an a need to know base. I remember having seen a documentary about the Manhattan Project, wherein even people who lived and worked on and in those sites discovered only decades later on what they really worked. By seeing another, earlier documentary ;->
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by sneak on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @06:26AM (#27686886)
> Noam Chomsky presents lots of evidence about outrageous acts of American government in his books, and he always claimed that it all comes from official and open government sources. Yet most people are either unaware or refuse to believe it anyway.

Such is the power of the brand and the "good guys" narrative that facts often have little to do with it. You can't reason someone out of a position they didn't reason their way in to.

It's easy to love the USA when it's not your neighborhood they're bombing[1], or your friends they're hiding forever in torture prisons without trial[2], or your children they're kidnapping and raping[3].

[1]: https://www.nytimes.com/2021/06/27/us/politics/us-airstrikes...

[2]: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2016/sep/10/cia-senate-i...

[3]: https://www.nytimes.com/2019/02/27/us/immigrant-children-sex...

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by sjg007 on Tuesday June 29, 2021 @11:13PM (#27684447)
There's a lot in that idea to cover and I would actually think that it may be worth academic study. I see parallels to how institutions and governments are created etc...
Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by pyuser583 on Wednesday June 30, 2021 @10:11PM (#27695646)
Chomsky is a terrible, terrible historian.

He regularly presents things that are heavily debated as established fact.

He doesn’t lie or even repeat blatant falsehoods. He just misrepresents the level of certainty regarding historical events.

In his recent essay Prospects for Survival, he talks about Stalin’s offer to unite East and West Germany as though it were a good faith offer.

He equivocates with “we can’t be sure”, but then acts like it’s a reasonable proposition.

While the absolute truth died with Stalin, there’s no evidence anyone in the Soviet Union or East Germany was prepared to surrender control.

Re:Conspiracy: In Theory and Practice by yesenadam on Thursday July 01, 2021 @04:33AM (#27697335)
It's going to take more than just one example, and some links, to start to persuade me of your case.