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A comment on Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', opposition says. Parent comment

Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by JumpCrisscross on Sunday May 23, 2021 @08:27PM (#27259918)
Making an example out of this could well be cheaper than confronting Moscow in the long run. I’m not advocating it. Just saying this wasn’t a risk-free entourage. Levelling a few military air bases while communicating to Russia exactly what’s being done will piss everyone off, but it’s unlikely to escalate. It is also unlikely to spiral.
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Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by owl57 on Monday May 24, 2021 @01:17AM (#27261288)
Lukashenko and Putin would love that. No one would longer doubt it when they say that opposition is backed by NATO. As for the spiral, well, Ukraine would probably lose some of its military bases, just because it's apparently no big deal now.
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Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by whimsicalism on Monday May 24, 2021 @01:44PM (#27267413)
I think as a rule, we should use epistemic humility and look to past instances of intervention unless we have really strong reasons to believe that this would be a uniquely successful intervention.
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