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Re:The Time Everyone “Corrected” the World’s Smartest Woman ... by ikt on Sunday May 09, 2021 @02:21AM (#27093703)
Intuitively it makes sense it would be half, because there was a 33% chance of winning but now it's 50/50 because 3-1 = 2, but when you read it logically it makes sense.

Yours is the first explanation I 'got', thanks!

Re:The Time Everyone “Corrected” the World’s Smartest Woman ... by admax88q on Wednesday May 12, 2021 @10:27PM (#27137769)
Glad it helped, I just came up with it and it made it click more for me.