Re:Earth may be headed into a mini Ice Age within a decade
by retrogradeorbit on Wednesday June 15, 2011 @04:33AM
(#2656404)
The correct answer is the correct answer 100% of the time. And the wrong answer is the wrong answer 100% of the time. If I gave you a question where the correct answer is "no" and you knew _absolutely nothing_ about it, your answer "Yes" would be correct 0% of the time.
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Re:Earth may be headed into a mini Ice Age within a decade
by meric on Wednesday June 15, 2011 @07:23AM
(#2656632)
That is true, the probability of "Yes" is 0, but only according to you. Relative to me, however, the probability is still 50% chance.
It's just like if there was a stock the market know nothing about, but you know it just scored a magnificent deal a couple of hours ago, the market will see it as "meh, 50 50" (no price change), while you see "100% going to go up, must buy."
That's called insider trading, however. ;)