Moore's Law for Everything

Re:Moore's Law for Everything by simonh on Wednesday March 17, 2021 @11:38AM (#26492694)

But X has happened many times, and Y has never yet become like Z. Automation has replaced workers on massive, ginormous, gigantuan scales. Factories have replaced manual workers, then more efficient factories have replaced those factories, and then that's happened again several times over. Yet still we have near full employment and many, many more open positions than we have unemployed.

How long are we supposed to wait for this prediction to come true, and how many times does this have to be disproved across how many economies?

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Re:Moore's Law for Everything by ben_w on Wednesday March 17, 2021 @12:07PM (#26493097)

X is “AGI invented”. Not special purpose AI, not automation, AGI — the G stands for “general”. If this has ever happened, it wasn’t on Earth (unless you count evolution producing us, in which case the example is “Neanderthals are all dead”).

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Re:Moore's Law for Everything by simonh on Thursday March 18, 2021 @05:37AM (#26500947)

I don't see what that's got to do with horses then. It seems like that's just completely obscuring the point.

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Re:Moore's Law for Everything by ben_w on Thursday March 18, 2021 @06:18AM (#26501188)

I see. I don’t know how to rephrase it to be better, but I’ll have a go:

Horses represent the importance of muscle power in the economy, which was made vanishing small by mechanisation; AGI would do the same for intellectual labour.

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