News for hackers. Stuff that matters.
Re:Arrest warrant issued for ex-Florida data scientist Rebek... by nix23 on Sunday January 17, 2021 @11:27AM (#25812030)
True with complex stuff, but we talk about covid-cases/day/region...that's really something everyone should interpret correctly.
Re:Arrest warrant issued for ex-Florida data scientist Rebek... by hedora on Sunday January 17, 2021 @11:46AM (#25812191)
Yeah; some sibling comments here say Covid stats are difficult to interpret, but cite phenomena (non random samples, false positives, conflation of population and sample statistics, etc) that should be covered by any reasonable introductory statistics course.

In the US, that’s first or second year undergrad territory. Overseas, it’s often covered in high school.

It’s particularly depressing that science reporters regularly get these things wrong.

I can’t imagine what (lack of) credentials are necessary to land such a job, but I often wonder if a basic understanding of statistics is a disqualifying credential.

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Re:Arrest warrant issued for ex-Florida data scientist Rebek... by dang on Monday January 18, 2021 @03:47PM (#25826440)
If you mean https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25811860, the comment was correctly flagged because the flamebait in it broke the site guidelines badly.
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Re:Arrest warrant issued for ex-Florida data scientist Rebek... by dang on Monday January 18, 2021 @03:41PM (#25826380)
I see zero evidence of that, and it's a serious violation of the site guidelines to post like that. Please see https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html. As it says there, if you're worried about abuse, email [email protected] and we'll look at the data.

One of the most important lessons I've learned from poring over this data is that 99% of the things that internet users describe as "obvious" are not only obvious but false. A strange phenomenon, and one we all need to work on overcoming if we're to have real conversation.

Re:Arrest warrant issued for ex-Florida data scientist Rebek... by jjcon on Sunday January 17, 2021 @11:32AM (#25812089)
COVID statistics can be very very difficult to interpret correctly, especially at the beginning when data was scarce.

For instance, most people agree it is best to exclude totally random testing sites from COVID numbers because even though the false positive rate is very low, at the beginning so was the incidence of COVID which means most of the positive tests would be false positive.

Including them or improperly dealing with that data would be considered base rate fallacy

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Base_rate_fallacy

This is just one statistical phenomenon that has to be dealt with. It’s complicated and sometimes messy but it absolutely requires top minds

Re:Arrest warrant issued for ex-Florida data scientist Rebek... by SpicyLemonZest on Sunday January 17, 2021 @11:39AM (#25812131)
Proper interpretation of even the simplest data is easy to get wrong. For example, I routinely see smart, well-informed people describe the number of Covid deaths reported in a day as the number of people who died of Covid that day.