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Re:Covid-19 Vaccinations in the United States by throwaway189262 on Tuesday December 29, 2020 @03:37AM (#25567904)
That's true, it's just a prediction. The first doses are going to care homes which have a wildly disproportionate number of COVID cases that end up in hospitalization. I think it's around 30%. And these people can also stay in the hospital longer, trying up beds.

Vaccinating these retirement homes, even with a single dose, should rapidly decrease the load on hospitals.

That's why I think people aren't being optimistic enough about recovery times. When 40% of the hospitalized cases are gone we can handle even a huge surge without overloading health systems. Since most lockdown metrics are based on hospital load, this means taking the country out of lockdown

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