Re:Magician-turned-mathematician uncovers bias in coin flipp...
by TylerE on Thursday December 24, 2020 @04:29PM
(#25531610)
10 out of 10 isn't really that impressive.
If his actual success rate is, say, 70 out 100 10/10 is easy enough to get by chance.
990 out of 1000 would be much more pressive.
Re:Magician-turned-mathematician uncovers bias in coin flipp...
by moonchild on Thursday December 24, 2020 @05:36PM
(#25532144)
It's a popular piece. ‘10 out of 10’ probably just means ‘reliably’.
Re:Magician-turned-mathematician uncovers bias in coin flipp...
by titzer on Thursday December 24, 2020 @07:44PM
(#25533101)
I calculate that 70/100 gives you a 6 in a million chance of getting 10 in a row.
Re:Magician-turned-mathematician uncovers bias in coin flipp...
by MauranKilom on Thursday December 24, 2020 @09:07PM
(#25533557)
6 in a million is the chance to fail 10 times in a row with 70% odds. 10 successes is 3%.
> Diaconis himself has trained his thumb to flip a coin and make it come up heads 10 out of 10 times