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Re:The Covid Science Wars by belltaco on Monday November 30, 2020 @09:14PM (#25261525)
False equivalency. Hospitals don't overflow with flu patients every winter. Meanwhile just in Italy and NY, hospitals were overflowing with Covid patients with only a fraction of people exposed to it compared to the billions exposed to the flu every year.

Same with the number of deaths. 65,000 in a really bad flu season in the US with hundreds of millions exposed to it, and Covid already has exceed that with only about 20% exposed to the virus.

Re:The Covid Science Wars by fastball on Monday November 30, 2020 @10:02PM (#25261813)
It's not a false equivalency because I'm not saying the two diseases are equivalent.

I'm asking where we draw the line. Yes the flu is less severe than COVID-19. The question is not which is worse. It is how many lives do we need to save with these measures in order to make it "worth it"? Who determines that? How do we determine that?

We apparently decided it is worth it for COVID-19. Ok, but then why not for the flu. It kills people too, just not as many. What about something in between the flu in COVID in terms of lethality?

Re:The Covid Science Wars by jusssi on Tuesday December 01, 2020 @03:56AM (#25263644)
Like your parent said, the difference is the tendency for COVID-19 to eat up all health care capacity.

Appendicitis? Stroke? Car accident? Sorry, the hospital is full of COVID patients, we can't take you in. Go home, lie down, see if it gets better.

This is the scenario we're trying to avoid. If the flu would do that, we'd have lockdowns for it too.

Re:The Covid Science Wars by an_opabinia on Tuesday December 01, 2020 @12:58AM (#25262796)
I don’t know what to tell you, we should have probably banned tobacco a long time ago. You’re arguing against a kafkacracy, not scientists.
Re:The Covid Science Wars by watwut on Tuesday December 01, 2020 @03:35AM (#25263531)
> Ok, but then why not for the flu. It kills people too, just not as many.

Literally because of "just not as many" part. Yes, real world policies do some cold calculations about "how many people die" and have arbitrary lines. Arbitrary lines are actually ok. Better then arbitrary line on either "never ever" or "totally all the time" extreme. Also, we literally close schools when flu get out of control in some area - for a week or so and that is enough for flu to get under control. There is also huge push for flu vaccines each year. It is not true that no flu management is done, there is a lot of flu management going on.

Like, I dont know whether it is consequences of two party system, but the whole "we either lock everything for every reason or never nothing at all" and "we cant possibly think in probabilities and death rates and nuance" is frankly, idiotic.

Re:The Covid Science Wars by IronRanger on Tuesday December 01, 2020 @12:07AM (#25262539)
Yes they do:

https://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2018/01/24/Hospitals-overwhe...

https://www.latimes.com/local/lanow/la-me-ln-flu-demand-2018...

https://www.dispatchhealth.com/blog/ers-are-overwhelmed-with...

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/overwhelmed-by-flu-cases-some-e...

https://edition.cnn.com/2018/01/12/health/flu-surveillance-c...

In Italy and Spain, aged care centres were abandoned by Eastern European workers fleeing the country before border closure, leaving residents ill cared for.

In New York, symptomatic patients were ordered back into aged care homes to free up hospital space.

These conditions would not have occurred without hysteria and excessive fear.

COVID in Sweden is about as deadly as the 2009 flu wave: https://swprs.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/sweden-monthly-...

Sweden is on track for an annual number of deaths in 2020 mostly the same as prior years: https://www.statista.com/statistics/525353/sweden-number-of-...

Re:The Covid Science Wars by addicted on Tuesday December 01, 2020 @12:11AM (#25262557)
I’ll just point out the last one, because it’s terribly wrong, and how wrong it was pointed out in HN over the last couple of days itself.

Sweden, through early November, has as many deaths as it has had in its worst entire years before. And Swedens death numbers increase beyond the current year, as they attribute more deaths towards the previous year in the beginning of a year.

Sweden is on track to have 10-20% more deaths than normal.

Re:The Covid Science Wars by IronRanger on Tuesday December 01, 2020 @12:14AM (#25262569)
There are no excess deaths apparent in October or November for Sweden: https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps#z-scores-by-country
Re:The Covid Science Wars by collyw on Wednesday December 02, 2020 @04:54AM (#25274954)
>Hospitals don't overflow with flu patients every winter.

They do it just isn't covered as much as anything covid related.

https://time.com/5107984/hospitals-handling-burden-flu-patie...