Would you even call them yourself to tell them you might have infected them? I guess if you'd been to somewhere that you didn't know everyone, you'd just have to take that as an unavoidable sacrifice they're making for your privacy.
Those are some pretty horrible numbers you're attempting to use. 350m people haven't been infected, so it's nowhere close to 240k/350m. It's closer to 240k/10m.
As for privacy: if we were told we'd need to be permanently tracked from now until the end of time, I think just about everyone would agree with you (at least on HN) that it's just not a sacrifice worth making. But NOBODY is saying that, they're saying: how about we use this tool until a vaccine is ready - which is a far more reasonable ask.
Bottom line though, I go to work and I go home. Contact tracing the old fashioned way is 100% sufficient for me. If you want to engage risky behavior that’s on you. I have no obligation to have my every movement tracked because of your exercise of free will.
Errr... you said you are against "contact tracing".
I (personally) took that to mean "the old way". But it sounds like you're against the automated phone app thing?
Well, I am too. My phone isn't capable of running any of the apps anyway, so it's kind of moot in my case.
Regarding lockdown, in my state (Victoria, Australia) we're just now starting to loosen our lock down rules after a sustained (multi-month) period of lock down.
For us, it worked. We've just had our 14th day of 0 new coronavirus cases in a row, and they shouldn't be returning. :)
That was after starting into a J-curve of increasing coronavirus cases, hitting 700+ per day before the lock down started taking effect.
So, lockdowns + masks work. And if we hadn't gone down that path, we'd be heading to a dark place about now (like the US) and our economy would probably end up turning to shit. o_O
That being said, the lock down sucked.
We also had a curfew (8pm - 5am), to help manage it. Not being able to go out except for exercise or to buy food gets to a person after a few weeks. :(
I think it’s naive to think contact tracing will ever be rolled back. I fear it will be a new permanent surveillance tool.
I would rather keep my personal liberty.
That being said, a lot of people seem to be ignoring that it's not just about who dies from this virus.
There seems to be a lot of evidence that a good percentage of people get long term damage from it. Including athletes and extremely healthy (before) people.
Hopefully some we'll be able to quantify that at some useful point too, in order to better assess risks, priorities, etc.