Biden wins White House, vowing new direction for divided U.S.

Re:Biden wins White House, vowing new direction for divided ... by systemvoltage on Saturday November 07, 2020 @06:16PM (#25020733)

Thanks for these, I've been following it for last few months.

Nate Silver still makes fun of Betting odds: https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1325186985988935680

I don't see him posting how the Bettfair was way more accurate than his polls.

I also get that Nate Silver doesnt poll himself, but he aggreates polling information, assign grades and mixes it into his formula. I just have zero trust in it. It's not like we get to test his predictions often. 1 sample size every 4 years.

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Re:Biden wins White House, vowing new direction for divided ... by robryan on Saturday November 07, 2020 @07:57PM (#25021659)

Biden got out to around $4-$5 during election night. I wouldn’t put much weight in the betting when it appeared to fail to account for the expected composition of postal votes. Trump should have been at best a slight favorite before the effect of the postals started showing in the counts.

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