Re:The West has failed – US and Europe have made a mess of h...
by Kiro on Monday November 02, 2020 @11:20AM
(#24969739)
In Sweden it's a left-wing trope (the right wants lockdown and masks while the left supports the lax approach so the model has mostly received criticism from the left) and I believed it but you're completely right, so I apologize:
https://twitter.com/imperialcollege/status/13077606155456061...
> Thanks for confirming: Neil Ferguson’s Imperial model did not point to 85,000 Covid deaths for Sweden; another researcher did. A mean time-varying reproduction number Rt estimate in March is not a prediction of deaths nor is it a model for predicting them.
Re:The West has failed – US and Europe have made a mess of h...
by acdha on Monday November 02, 2020 @11:27AM
(#24969816)
Ah, I should have been more specific that I only follow this in the English-language media so I’ve seen it newspapers in the UK or Australia (the US discourse doesn’t mention this much).
https://www.imperial.ac.uk/mrc-global-infectious-disease-ana...
https://github.com/ImperialCollegeLondon/covid19model