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Re:Harvard, Oxford, Stanford doctors among leaders of global... by unethical_ban on Monday October 12, 2020 @01:45PM (#24757134)
I am okay with qualified medical professionals having a good-faith debate about the broad physical and mental health impacts of lockdowns as it pertains to this particular virus. It is a fair discussion to have.

I am not okay with unqualified politicians making inaccurate claims about the virus, and prioritizing economic health in the absence of good governance.

I believe there are obvious risks to mental health of adults and children in being isolated from others, unable to socialize with other humans in person. I read recently too, that things like kids in school in person allow teachers and members of the community to be a safe space for children to be seen and essentially monitored for child abuse/poor living conditions. People may go to the doctor less because of fear of the disease, rather than get treatment.

It is certainly a balance - we cannot go full "save every possible life" - thus the term "flatten the curve", where the metric for success was not to have absolute minimum deaths, but to preserve the integrity of the health system to best serve all who need emergency care for any reason.

There was an article in February called "The Hammer and the Dance" that predicted a cycle of shutdowns and reopenings to balance social interaction and jobs with overriding systemic medical concerns. We are in that now.

Re:Harvard, Oxford, Stanford doctors among leaders of global... by calpaterson on Monday October 12, 2020 @01:51PM (#24757210)
> I am not okay with unqualified politicians making inaccurate claims about the virus, and prioritizing economic health in the absence of good governance.

This sounds a bit like you are raising the qualification barrier to participate in the debate, but only if that person disagrees with you.

Re:Harvard, Oxford, Stanford doctors among leaders of global... by BobbyJo on Monday October 12, 2020 @01:56PM (#24757283)
I think 'inaccurate' was the key word. I think that's a reasonable barrier.
Re:Harvard, Oxford, Stanford doctors among leaders of global... by young_unixer on Monday October 12, 2020 @02:12PM (#24757503)
Politicians, journalists and the general population make inaccurate claims all the time in both pro-lockdown and anti-lockdown stances.
Re:Harvard, Oxford, Stanford doctors among leaders of global... by adamsea on Monday October 12, 2020 @02:18PM (#24757579)
Luckily as educated adults we are blessed with being able to exercise our judgement to assess what is right, wrong, an honest mistake, a deliberate distortion, a kinda-bad inaccurate claim, or a dangerously-bad inaccurate claim.
Re:Harvard, Oxford, Stanford doctors among leaders of global... by aegis4244 on Monday October 12, 2020 @02:22PM (#24757636)
The evidence shows that most adults are not all that sharp.
Re:Harvard, Oxford, Stanford doctors among leaders of global... by headmelted on Monday October 12, 2020 @02:42PM (#24757888)
This. If we’ve learned anything at all.
Re:Harvard, Oxford, Stanford doctors among leaders of global... by lehi on Monday October 12, 2020 @02:19PM (#24757591)
But who is anybody to say what is or isn't accurate.
Re:Harvard, Oxford, Stanford doctors among leaders of global... by marshray on Monday October 12, 2020 @02:54PM (#24758015)
Before COVID-19, I would have said that we pay for CDC, FDA, Surgeon General, epidemiologists, and virologists to be right about that stuff and they're generally trustworthy.

But then they all tried to convince Americans not to wear masks.

Re:Harvard, Oxford, Stanford doctors among leaders of global... by yladiz on Monday October 12, 2020 @02:37PM (#24757828)
Fair point, we are in a post-truth society now.
Re:Harvard, Oxford, Stanford doctors among leaders of global... by xienze on Monday October 12, 2020 @02:52PM (#24757992)
Facebook and Twitter, obviously.
Re:Harvard, Oxford, Stanford doctors among leaders of global... by glasss on Monday October 12, 2020 @02:00PM (#24757349)
I didn't read their comment that way. The article isn't about doctors with years of experience advocating for lockdown, so this conversation is framed around people disagreeing with how deadly the virus is and the lockdown procedures.

I'm sure that poster, like me, also doesn't want politicians making inaccurate claims the other way about how the virus is the deadliest thing imaginable, or to prioritize saving every single life possible by orders of house arrest.

Re:Harvard, Oxford, Stanford doctors among leaders of global... by hn_throwaway_99 on Monday October 12, 2020 @02:21PM (#24757613)
FWIW, I didn't read the the comment this way, and it doesn't seem like "the strongest plausible interpretation of what someone says".

From the HN guidelines: Please respond to the strongest plausible interpretation of what someone says, not a weaker one that's easier to criticize. Assume good faith.

Re:Harvard, Oxford, Stanford doctors among leaders of global... by DuskStar on Monday October 12, 2020 @02:17PM (#24757558)
Yeah, if you're fine with unqualified politicians making inaccurate claims about the virus in order to intensify lockdowns (which, frankly, has been most of the lockdown justifications) then that's pretty unfair.

The burden of proof should be on the lockdown proponents, not people trying to return to the status quo.

Re:Harvard, Oxford, Stanford doctors among leaders of global... by eecc on Monday October 12, 2020 @05:22PM (#24759583)
We're not used to sharing space with hungry wolves or big felines, in fact humans tend to exterminate them when they move into a new environment.

There's a new predator out there, invading our space and we're its lunch. there's precious little status quo to return to until we have the tools to exterminate it.

We're not used to not being apex predators. That's fact.

Re:Harvard, Oxford, Stanford doctors among leaders of global... by DuskStar on Monday October 12, 2020 @05:27PM (#24759624)
A new predator, to go along with all of the others. AIDS, the other things that get lumped into 'colds' or 'flus' (which are different from COVID-19 in degree, but not really in kind), Malaria, and so many more.
Re:Harvard, Oxford, Stanford doctors among leaders of global... by eecc on Monday October 12, 2020 @05:48PM (#24759816)
Except HIV isn't airborne, doesn't choke you to death within a couple weeks and the other 'cold' and 'flus' aren't nearly as deadly.

Cov2 is both everywhere and lethal, that's quite a difference in kind.

And WRT "Malaria, and so many more" we as humans and our collective organizations have been busy trying to exterminate or avoid them as much as possible. Since forever.

Re:Harvard, Oxford, Stanford doctors among leaders of global... by unethical_ban on Monday October 12, 2020 @02:18PM (#24757560)
I am commenting on a combination of the motives and the qualifications of speaking as an authority - not on the position of the speaker.
Re:Harvard, Oxford, Stanford doctors among leaders of global... by pessimizer on Monday October 12, 2020 @03:05PM (#24758149)
Only if you intentionally ignore the very first sentence, which is obviously supportive.
Re:Harvard, Oxford, Stanford doctors among leaders of global... by jtbayly on Monday October 12, 2020 @03:05PM (#24758153)
> in the absence of good governance.

This is begging the question, though.

[dead]
Re:Harvard, Oxford, Stanford doctors among leaders of global... by adamsea on Monday October 12, 2020 @02:15PM (#24757531)
Downvoters:

"US President Donald Trump has been lambasted by the medical community after suggesting research into whether coronavirus might be treated by injecting disinfectant into the body."

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-52407177

Re:Harvard, Oxford, Stanford doctors among leaders of global... by ColanR on Monday October 12, 2020 @02:23PM (#24757642)
What he actually said. He clearly gives caveats to what he's saying: he's not advocating anyone actually do anything. He's talking about further research.

"So, supposing we hit the body with a tremendous - whether it's ultraviolet or just very powerful light...and I think you said that hasn't been checked but you're going to test it....And then I said, supposing you brought the light inside of the body, which you can do either through the skin or in some other way. And I think you said you're going to test that too. Sounds interesting....And then I see the disinfectant where it knocks it out in a minute. One minute. And is there a way we can do something like that, by injection inside or almost a cleaning? ...So it'd be interesting to check that....I'm not a doctor. But I'm, like, a person that has a good you-know-what. [Pointing to his head]

Re:Harvard, Oxford, Stanford doctors among leaders of global... by emmelaich on Monday October 12, 2020 @09:28PM (#24761396)
Re:Harvard, Oxford, Stanford doctors among leaders of global... by adamsea on Tuesday October 13, 2020 @08:41AM (#24765024)
Do you think the President of the United States spoke in a responsible fashion?

That’s what matters.

Re:Harvard, Oxford, Stanford doctors among leaders of global... by sidibe on Monday October 12, 2020 @02:20PM (#24757593)
As someone who disagrees with Trump almost always, I feel like this is not a good point to harp on because most people realize he wasn't really suggesting people inject disinfectants, just musing. When conservatives see this kind of mischaracterization it just solidifies their beliefs that his critics are always wrong about him.

I am more upset about the fact he still doesn't seem to believe masks are very useful.

Re:Harvard, Oxford, Stanford doctors among leaders of global... by adamsea on Monday October 12, 2020 @02:25PM (#24757664)
It is incredibly irresponsible for the President of the United States (or of any country) to speculate about obviously questionable practices like injecting disinfectant in the midst of a global pandemic and a national emergency.

And, the sad fact that we have to remind ourselves of this (you don't "muse" about injecting disinfectant!) is an indicator of just how irresponsible, destructive, and and constant the President's behavior, and it's enabling by politicians, the news media, or others in positions of influence (whose responsibility was to condemn such behavior) has been.

This is not complicated. No one who cares about their own well-being would ever want to work under a boss like that, much less let someone like that babysit their kids.

Re:Harvard, Oxford, Stanford doctors among leaders of global... by tick_tock_tick on Monday October 12, 2020 @04:34PM (#24759139)
So you are agreeing your statement was objectively wrong?
Re:Harvard, Oxford, Stanford doctors among leaders of global... by adamsea on Tuesday October 13, 2020 @08:33AM (#24764968)
It is incredibly irresponsible for the President of the United States (or of any country) to speculate about obviously questionable practices like injecting disinfectant in the midst of a global pandemic and a national emergency.
Re:Harvard, Oxford, Stanford doctors among leaders of global... by dwighttk on Monday October 12, 2020 @02:22PM (#24757630)
Do you see any difference between “people should try injecting bleach” and “coronavirus might be treated by injecting disinfectant into the body”?

Trump was blathering there and had no idea what he was talking about, but he nowhere says “people should try injecting bleach”

Re:Harvard, Oxford, Stanford doctors among leaders of global... by adamsea on Tuesday October 13, 2020 @08:39AM (#24765015)
So basically you are saying “the President of the United States did not say the totally crazy thing you said he did, rather, he said something less crazy which was both incomprehensible and totally irresponsible.”

Is that correct?

I say it this because at this point, it’s not as if we are dealing with a honest broker known for truthfulness, so, especially since everyone seemed to understand exactly what I was referring to and the “bleach” thing was a common point of mockery across media and late-night television, aren’t we kind of missing the forest for the trees?

The forest of course is a President who is utterly irresponsible and has contributed to the unnecessary deaths of over 200,000 Americans.

I absolutely apologize for and retract my incorrect description. Can we now talk about the reality of a covid-diagnosed President walking around in public without a mask?

Or does someone want to diddle and play and parse with words again?

Re:Harvard, Oxford, Stanford doctors among leaders of global... by dwighttk on Tuesday October 13, 2020 @02:14PM (#24768188)
If you are interested in rallying the base then go ahead and mock like late night comedians, but if you want to have a discussion with someone who may not be wearing the same jersey as you then you may want to be more precise.
Re:Harvard, Oxford, Stanford doctors among leaders of global... by adamsea on Tuesday October 13, 2020 @05:00PM (#24770236)
Sure. Do you think what the President actually said - not my paraphrasing of it - was responsible and appropriate under the circumstances?

Did he demonstrate good judgement?

Also, again, I think you’re constructing an issue where none exists. Everyone in this discussion seems to have understood perfectly well what I was referring to.

I do not think what I said is really the issue here.

The issue is a number of irresponsible politicians actively and knowingly undermining public-health efforts during a pandemic.

That’s what we should be talking about.

And I find it frustrating that folks seem to want to shy away from this unpleasant truth when it’s raised.

It’s like if a truck is going to hit you and someone yells “watch out for that damned truck”, and you yell back “can’t you tell me that without cursing?”

Or if you said “you know I worry the way you said that might make it difficult for someone else to understand your message of the impending truck.”

While the truck is hurtling towards you.

Focus on the truck.

Re:Harvard, Oxford, Stanford doctors among leaders of global... by dwighttk on Tuesday October 13, 2020 @06:39PM (#24771125)
If you keep cussing at people to get out of the way of a truck and they keep getting hit by trucks because they stop and say “did you have to use so many swear words?” maybe stop cussing.
Re:Harvard, Oxford, Stanford doctors among leaders of global... by adamsea on Tuesday October 13, 2020 @06:52PM (#24771228)
The problem is the person driving the truck irresponsibly, not the person pointing out the impending accident.

Look. Point is. President Trump and his political enablers have proven themselves to be dangerous and irresponsible, and bear significant responsibility for the deaths of tens of thousands of americans because of the administrations terrible handling of the pandemic.

That is the truth.

I understand some people disagree. Those people are wrong.

This is ultimately about right and wrong, and irreconcilable values.

The current administration and its political enablers are pandering or outright leading the worst aspects of American society - white supremacy, exploitation of the poor and powerless, sexism, and authoritarian/fascist tendencies.

This is what I believe to be true, and while I will listen and discuss with people who may not agree with me in full, I will not equivocate about the immoral, unethical, un-American nature of the Trump Administration and what the bulk of the Republican party has become.

Re:Harvard, Oxford, Stanford doctors among leaders of global... by dwighttk on Tuesday October 13, 2020 @07:08PM (#24771362)
The great thing about a well-working democracy is when people talk with each other and select a good truck driver. (Though I’m not a fan of thinking of the President as the driver of the truck, but that’s a different issue).
Re:Harvard, Oxford, Stanford doctors among leaders of global... by adamsea on Friday October 16, 2020 @11:01AM (#24801465)
We're talking to each other now.

Do you believe the President of the United States spoke in a responsible fashion? Do you believe his words were responsible, prudent, and appropriate to the moment?

Re:Harvard, Oxford, Stanford doctors among leaders of global... by morpheuskafka on Monday October 12, 2020 @02:04PM (#24757402)
I think a clear distinction needs to be made between normative and descriptive claims: the former, everyone has the right to make and hold their own opinion to, including both politicians and scientists; the latter, should only be entertained by policy-makers when supported by evidence-based scientific research.

For example, a politician has every right to say "I think schools should re-open immediately under X procedures," if that is what he truly feels reflects the best outcome for his constituents. Of course, it would be wrong to say this only for political posturing, corrupt influences, etc.

On the other hand, it is completely unacceptable for a politician (or anyone) to say, "Children are immune to the virus," "COVID is not a serious illness," (okay, technically that is normative but only insofar as the definition of seriousness is normative), "same as the flu," "masks cause oxygen lack," etc. Likewise, asserting these claims in an argument, "Children are immune -> we should open schools," is not right.

But, making a philosophical/policy and/or medical argument based off true, evidence-backed descriptive claims--even if the scientific community does not tend to share that normative opinion, is completely fine. So there is nothing wrong with arguing against a given measure that the majority of doctors support, so long as you aren't distorting the underlying facts.

As a practical matter, of course, this shuts down many arguments. Ex. admitting that masks pose no health risk to the wearer, cost very little, do not substantially limit any right or activity, and have at least a fair probability of public health benefit, it would be hard to argue against requiring them. But if you feel otherwise, make your case by all means. The only thing that is morally wrong is corrupting intellectual discourse by adding FUD and confusing people as to the underlying evidence and data.

Re:Harvard, Oxford, Stanford doctors among leaders of global... by basch on Monday October 12, 2020 @03:00PM (#24758086)
>prioritizing economic health

I sense that everyone fairly well off sort of ignores how quickly poor economic health translates into poor social and biological health. We like to act like the economy is this nice to have extra that can shut down, and everything will go on as normal, except our luxuries. But then you realize, you cant shut down ports, railroads, roads, trucking, Wal-Mart, Amazon, Target, every grocery store. And suddenly all the interconnected everything requires all the software companies to stay running. All the power companies. They all need their supplies.

>we cannot go full "save every possible life"

Where is the calculation of life lost or years lost of lifespan, because the economy wasn't there to support life.

>thus the term "flatten the curve"

I understood the context of flatten the curve to be in that we needed to buy time to prepare hospitals, manufacturing, and as a tool to prevent ICU overflow. It's now been co-opted to be used in a "until the vaccine" sort of way, which is not how it was used initially. You can see how people might have agreed with it before, but not now, and still have a consistent unchanging view (its the usage around their view that changed.) It's also very frustrating to hear rate statistics used out of context, as if the instantaneous rate is what matters, without the understanding that their denominator, time, extends into the future, and with part of the denominator in the future, the numerator is not very useful.

Re:Harvard, Oxford, Stanford doctors among leaders of global... by unethical_ban on Monday October 12, 2020 @03:46PM (#24758650)
It's odd that you're attacking what I said when I'm kind of supporting what you're saying. That we can't sustainably lock down indefinitely until a vaccine, that we need to balance the desire to protect lives with the need to live and work.

Your statement about flatten the curve is exactly what I said.

I will say, though, I bet we disagree on this: The federal government should have minted off a few more trillion dollars to keep people home as needed without them losing their jobs or insurance. Our American political/economic system is not built to keep people healthy or economically secure, and the government should take a more active role in fixing that.

Re:Harvard, Oxford, Stanford doctors among leaders of global... by basch on Monday October 12, 2020 @03:52PM (#24758714)
Im not sure if I agree or disagree that blindly throwing more money is the right approach, but I can say I think we did a poor job of using the information we had early on (age, weight being major factors) and using that to selectively protect the most vulnerable. Locking down elderly care to an extreme level and having the social support and food to do so, might have saved more lives-years than keeping everyone at home.

All in all, it just wasnt feasible to tell the elderly to stay home while the rest of the world continued humming. This was one way to get everybody to care.

I wasn't disagreeing with what you said about flattening the curve, I'm saying its meaning has changed in some usages, from what you described to something else.

Re:Harvard, Oxford, Stanford doctors among leaders of global... by briefcomment on Monday October 12, 2020 @02:09PM (#24757470)
This might make sense if medical experts consistently made accurate predictions, but they often seem to be wrong, and have to change their positions after the fact.

One could go as far to say that it is irresponsible to give their peripatetic claims more credence than they seem to historically deserve, especially when it's clear that there are legitimate trade-offs.

Re:Harvard, Oxford, Stanford doctors among leaders of global... by SpicyLemonZest on Monday October 12, 2020 @01:59PM (#24757321)
I just struggle to get on board with the premise of medicalizing all of society. Can the harms from social isolation, poor quality education, economic damage, etc. really be reduced to medical factors for doctors to weigh against disease risk? I think these are inherently political decisions; or rather, politics is the process by which a society decides how to make such challenging tradeoffs.
Re:Harvard, Oxford, Stanford doctors among leaders of global... by Wowfunhappy on Monday October 12, 2020 @03:00PM (#24758080)
> I am not okay with unqualified politicians making inaccurate claims about the virus, and prioritizing economic health in the absence of good governance.

Who else is supposed to make these types of decisions? Doctors don't have governing experience, and they weren't elected. They can and should serve an important advisory role, but the final call should be up to our elected leaders.

If we have elected unqualified politicians, that's a separate problem. This is still a decision that's within their domain.

Re:Harvard, Oxford, Stanford doctors among leaders of global... by throw9872349872 on Monday October 12, 2020 @01:55PM (#24757271)
Politicians should be the ones making policy based on the data available.