Re:Covid-19 in Iceland: Violated Isolation and Infected over...
by tyingq on Saturday September 26, 2020 @12:14PM
(#24599846)
How does that reconcile with Covid-19's supposed R0 of ~5.7? (Honest curious question)
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Re:Covid-19 in Iceland: Violated Isolation and Infected over...
by daveFNbuck on Saturday September 26, 2020 @12:27PM
(#24599961)
R0 is a statistical average, but even if we assume that every person infects exactly 5.7 other people, these two tourists would have infected 11.4 people. Those 11.4 people would infect a further 64.98 people. you're already pretty close to 100 after just two levels of spread.
The only reason it's limited to as low as 100 is that people are taking precautions to prevent the infection from spreading.
Re:Covid-19 in Iceland: Violated Isolation and Infected over...
by dredmorbius on Saturday September 26, 2020 @12:37PM
(#24600063)
Active case count has risen from a low of 8 on July 23 to 400 currently. Daily new cases from 1 to 49 in the same period.
Re:Covid-19 in Iceland: Violated Isolation and Infected over...
by klmadfejno on Saturday September 26, 2020 @12:20PM
(#24599905)
R0 is an average metric. Averages are not your friend.
(don't downvote people who are asking a technical question!)
Re:Covid-19 in Iceland: Violated Isolation and Infected over...
by ceejayoz on Saturday September 26, 2020 @12:22PM
(#24599932)
Some people will infect nobody. Some will infect one. Some infect 100.
5.7 would be the average (and it's an estimate, with many variables, some of which change from place to place and over time) of all these.
Re:Covid-19 in Iceland: Violated Isolation and Infected over...
by tgsovlerkhgsel on Saturday September 26, 2020 @12:37PM
(#24600070)
It includes infections indirectly caused by them (i.e. people infected by people who got infected by the couple), for as far as it can be traced.
I hope these people get to make civil claims against the couple.