Seems some people are too trigger happy and unwilling to explore charitable interpretation of posts.
Listening to epidemiologists alone was/is a bad choice because they study the spread of disease. You also to consider long-term effects on the immune system, the economy, education, social structure, politics.
The second-order effects have already been surprising:
- Social unrest in the US - China restricting freedoms in Hong Kong - Bifurcated "K" economy - Covid case surges in countries that "did it right" with hard lockdowns
I mean if we really want to start projecting our own agendas or anti agendas, the whole notion of "evidence" leaves a bad taste in my mouth given the WHO went on record saying "there is no evidence of human transmission". And I am saying this as a scientist!
Our obsession with evidence and data is important (as what are we without empiricism) but boy has it seemed more like a curse rather than a blessing at various stages throughout this pandemic. I am definitely team Bayes on these matters, common sense and experience do hold some value sometimes.
I do raise an eyebrow however when there's so much rigmarole around "evidence" and mask wearing. Just like there was rigmarole around hand washing when Semmelweis promoted it. What a bizarre hill people have made to die on.
And how slow the WHO were to declare the dangers of covid in its early stages.