you are missing the point and should look at yearly death stats from all causes

so yes, temporarily Sweden stats may look worse because people who would die this or next year died in short time window in these few months, but those people will be missing in stats down the road

it's already happening in UK, for 6 consecutive weeks they have lower than 5yr average death toll and excess deaths are shrinking because oft his

https://twitter.com/EdConwaySky/status/1290568780251308032

so while you may pat yourself on shoulders how good you done without spike in the end you both reach pretty much same result spike or not