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Re:Universal Basic Income is Capitalism 2.0 by TomMarius on Thursday July 30, 2020 @04:06AM (#23995748)
This is a weird comment to make when people are simultaneously discussing how the rich have the state do what they need - corruption, lobbying, regulatory capture, tax breaks, interest-free loans...

It shifts the power from employers to the state, not to the employees, the state then merely allows the former employees to play a little.

Re:Universal Basic Income is Capitalism 2.0 by mcv on Thursday July 30, 2020 @04:26AM (#23995840)
You're expecting UBI to also fix the lack of democracy? That's a separate problem, that definitely also needs to be addressed. UBI is just to prevent poor people from starving while rewarding working your way up out of poverty. It's not the magical supercure for all society's ills. Those need their own solutions.

Like proportional representation, approval voting, banning corporate money from politics, etc.

Re:Universal Basic Income is Capitalism 2.0 by sillysaurusx on Thursday July 30, 2020 @05:14AM (#23996099)
UBI is just to prevent poor people from starving while rewarding working your way up out of poverty

I don’t think most people in poverty will work their way out of it. It’s a mindset and a lifestyle, in addition to a reality. UBI probably won’t change that.

It’s an interesting thought experiment: can you have a society without impoverished people?

Not starving, though, is something that can be directly impacted with UBI.

Re:Universal Basic Income is Capitalism 2.0 by marcus_holmes on Thursday July 30, 2020 @05:33AM (#23996195)
I've been poor. Even homeless. It definitely changes your mindset, but I'm not sure in the way you think it does.

I'm less afraid of poverty now. More able to take risks. Less afraid of "losing what I worked so hard to get".

I think what you're talking about is "the underclass" - people who have no experience of earning a wage and have lived off government benefits for multiple generations. They definitely have a different attitude to life.

Re:Universal Basic Income is Capitalism 2.0 by HPsquared on Thursday July 30, 2020 @05:39AM (#23996233)
It's the difference between being 'poor' and merely 'broke'.
Re:Universal Basic Income is Capitalism 2.0 by marcus_holmes on Thursday July 30, 2020 @08:14AM (#23997181)
I think you're probably right.
Re:Universal Basic Income is Capitalism 2.0 by darkerside on Thursday July 30, 2020 @06:49AM (#23996661)
How long were you poor for, and how did you get out? And what was your prior educational history? I think it's awesome that you were able to do so and that you have and had a resilient mindset about it. I don't think everyone in that boat necessarily fares so well. But I'm open to being educated.
Re:Universal Basic Income is Capitalism 2.0 by marcus_holmes on Thursday July 30, 2020 @08:14AM (#23997175)
True. I've had an expensive education, and always saw it as a temporary setback. I didn't use that education to work my way out of it (that was manual labouring on a construction site for cash in hand). But I also didn't immediately spend that cash in hand on beer and smokes like many of my contemporaries.
Re:Universal Basic Income is Capitalism 2.0 by bmitc on Thursday July 30, 2020 @05:26AM (#23996151)
> I don’t think most people in poverty will work their way out of it. It’s a mindset and a lifestyle, in addition to a reality.

The way "it's a mindset and a lifestyle" reads is very harsh and diminishes the complexity of why poor people stay poor.

Re:Universal Basic Income is Capitalism 2.0 by HPsquared on Thursday July 30, 2020 @05:41AM (#23996247)
Surely that statement adds another layer of complexity - the aspect of lifestyle and mindset - to the basic definition of simply being low on capital.
Re:Universal Basic Income is Capitalism 2.0 by bmitc on Thursday July 30, 2020 @05:57AM (#23996324)
That statement makes an implication of blame on those that are poor while absolving those that are wealthy from being a participant in the situation.
Re:Universal Basic Income is Capitalism 2.0 by sokoloff on Thursday July 30, 2020 @06:02AM (#23996361)
Surely you believe that some percentage of the poor are that way as an avoidable result of their choices? If you believe that, reasoning about whether UBI will have a general propensity to improve or degrade that outcome seems a sensible part of the conversation to me. (If you don’t believe that, that’s ok, but then we disagree.)
Re:Universal Basic Income is Capitalism 2.0 by bmitc on Thursday July 30, 2020 @06:19AM (#23996460)
You are ignoring how those choices come about. It is a complex issue.

The relevant analogy is people telling those struggling with depression and anxiety to just stop being depressed and anxious. It doesn't work that way. There are other problems and barriers in the chemical imbalances in the brain that lead to these disorders. Yes, people with these conditions can have mindsets and make decisions, caused by both the disorders and potentially their natural psychology, that are not conducive to getting out or that got them in in the first place, but those are not the cause. The thinking and mindset is more of a multiplier or a catalyst to the underlying cause of chemical imbalances.

The same thing goes for those in poverty and in the lower class. Yes, mindset and decisions can lead to worse off poverty or a situation where you can't climb out of it. But those are not the primary causes in the general case. (Of course there are always exceptions and edge cases.) What are the causes? In my opinion, it's rampant consumerism (buyers don't just make the choices independent of other influences, they are heavily influenced and emotionally hacked to make the choices they do), a poor educational system, a poor support structure such as the problems with health insurance, racism and many other -isms, general socioeconomic inequalities and segregation, monopolies, capitalism, the credit system, city infrastructure and the requirement to own cars, the movement of jobs into cities, etc. And all of these have secondary effects that all feed into each other. It isn't clear how UBI solves these and doesn't just shift things around. I get the idea of UBI, but it seems to place all the blame on poor people.

So like I said, the situation is complex and can't be summarized by "poor people are poor because of their mindset and lifestyle choices".

Re:Universal Basic Income is Capitalism 2.0 by sokoloff on Thursday July 30, 2020 @06:24AM (#23996494)
Thank you for the thoughtful response that was partially responsive to my question “are some percentage of the poor that way as an avoidable result of their choices?”

I’m not saying all or even a majority, but I believe it’s a substantial subset and understanding the likely effects of UBI on a substantial subset of the targeted population seems wise.

Re:Universal Basic Income is Capitalism 2.0 by bmitc on Thursday July 30, 2020 @06:34AM (#23996547)
I indeed missed "some percentage" when replying. Sorry about that. You can view my response as an elaboration of my original complaint above, which is basically what it became anyway.

Regarding UBI, I currently can't understand its potential effectiveness when more comprehensive reforms seem to be also missing. People are not being educated, employed, fed, given healthcare, etc., and I almost feel that UBI is going to blossom into this excuse to forget about those problems and thus the people facing those problems while minimally giving them chips to still play and lose at the table.

Re:Universal Basic Income is Capitalism 2.0 by sillysaurusx on Thursday July 30, 2020 @05:36AM (#23996212)
But is it mistaken?
Re:Universal Basic Income is Capitalism 2.0 by bmitc on Thursday July 30, 2020 @06:21AM (#23996474)
Yes, in the same way that saying wealthy people are wealthy because of their mindset and lifestyle choices is mistaken.
Re:Universal Basic Income is Capitalism 2.0 by sillysaurusx on Thursday July 30, 2020 @01:59PM (#24001146)
It seems true to say that wealthy people stay wealthy because of their mindset and lifestyle choices.
Re:Universal Basic Income is Capitalism 2.0 by zentiggr on Thursday July 30, 2020 @10:50AM (#23998840)
Having been homeless and having made some drastic choices to get to where I am now, what a tremendously offensive thing to say.

There absolutely are people who can't currently, or may never be able to, steer their life in a useful direction.

But most people? I'd say instead that most people are stuck in a poverty cycle because society is constructed that way.

When people are given enough money to be able to afford helpful choices, as opposed to scraping along at subsistence level, lots of people find their way to better, more stable, healthier, less stressed lives.

It's only a mindset when you don't have the means to climb out of it.

Re:Universal Basic Income is Capitalism 2.0 by TomMarius on Thursday July 30, 2020 @04:37AM (#23995903)
What I am saying is that expecting UBI to transfer power to the employees while these problems still exist might not go too well. I don't expect UBI to be perfect from the get go, and I don't expect these other problems to be solved within the next decade - so what now? Do we condone poor people (that have absolutely no way to fight back) to the whims of a corrupt government for a decade or more because it might get better sometimes in the future?
Re:Universal Basic Income is Capitalism 2.0 by mcv on Thursday July 30, 2020 @04:52AM (#23995999)
They already are. It's not something that's changing because of UBI. And if it's truly a UBI, then it will be a lot harder to deny people that basic income than it currently is with welfare and social security.
Re:Universal Basic Income is Capitalism 2.0 by TomMarius on Thursday July 30, 2020 @04:58AM (#23996030)
IMHO it's a lot harder to deny a concrete, targeted entitlement than a super-wide payment for everyone without a reason/need that might just get reduced to nothing over time.
Re:Universal Basic Income is Capitalism 2.0 by mcv on Thursday July 30, 2020 @05:28AM (#23996162)
It's much easier to deny that people meet a very specific set of criteria required for such a targeted entitlement, than to deny that they are citizens and alive.
Re:Universal Basic Income is Capitalism 2.0 by jonathanstrange on Thursday July 30, 2020 @04:22AM (#23995812)
That depends on the constitution of the country and how UBI is implemented. You can enact laws and mechanisms that prevent governments from influencing the UBI and make it very hard for parliament to change it in a negative way, e.g. require a 2/3 majority and other hurdles. You could even add a right to UBI in a section of the constitution that cannot be altered. Germany has the so-called Ewigkeitsklausel, for example, that makes any attempt to alter articles 1-20 of the constitution invalid.

It's perfectly possible to build in security mechanisms.

Re:Universal Basic Income is Capitalism 2.0 by TomMarius on Thursday July 30, 2020 @04:41AM (#23995932)
This discussion revolves around the USA. Do you expect the USA to solve the problems I listed within the next decade? I don't, definitely not if Trump wins again.

> It's perfectly possible to build in security mechanisms.

Sure it is, but there would have to be someone with the power to do so and more importantly the interest to do so. That's something I simply don't see happening in the USA - check their health insurance system for a concrete example. If they're unable to copy the similarly capitalistic but freer system of Switzerland or other countries with mixed private/public health insurance, then what hope is there with the issues I listed and the UBI?

Re:Universal Basic Income is Capitalism 2.0 by jonathanstrange on Thursday July 30, 2020 @05:24AM (#23996137)
I find it unlikely that genuine UBI will be implemented in any country in the near future, although, to be fair, history of mankind has brought surprising changes in the past such as e.g. the complete downfall of Feudalism.

I just wanted to make clear that it's possible to implement UBI. There are many reasons against UBI, but not the ones you gave.

Personally, I'm against UBI for two reasons. First, it does not solve the fundamental problem, which is capital accumulation an ever increasing gap between the rich and the poor. The more money you have, the more money flows to you, and the gap has grown insane. Unless this trend is addressed and reversed, even UBI cannot prevent massive social unrest in the long run. Second, UBI makes it mentally and morally easier for employers to fire people and to lower wages even further. In the end, it will lead to a grossly impoverished class of UBI recipients who will work 6 days a week for $3.25 an hour to supplement their meagre UBI.

In my opinion a classical welfare state, maybe with a negative income tax, strong worker protections, tax-funded education and health care, and strong means to prevent wealth accumulation are the only ways to tackle the problem in the long run. Reforming hereditary laws and stopping almost all "financial products" would be a good start. Right now, once you have reached a certain threshold you can just live off by speculating on Wall Street and juggling around virtual money without ever producing anything of (non-monetary) value. That shouldn't be possible at all.

A deeper problem is that the whole model of existing economy is flawed, because it's based on permanent expansion, which leads to fast exhaustion of natural resources. It is simply not maintainable on Earth for more than 200 years from now.

Re:Universal Basic Income is Capitalism 2.0 by playworker on Thursday July 30, 2020 @06:59AM (#23996727)
> In the end, it will lead to a grossly impoverished class of UBI recipients who will work 6 days a week for $3.25 an hour to supplement their meagre UBI.

I don't know how to break this to you, but surely you know there is already a grossly impoverished group of people working 6 days a week for $3.25 an hour without UBI.

If you add the UBI to their income they'll be hugely better off and they might even be able to choose between working those 6 days or staying at home and looking after their children, or caring for an elderly relative without the risk of being made homeless, or being unable to afford food for their family.

Re:Universal Basic Income is Capitalism 2.0 by jlokier on Thursday July 30, 2020 @08:03AM (#23997093)
> If you add the UBI to their income they'll be hugely better off and they might even be able to choose

Maybe, maybe not.

For clarity, I am a fan of UBI. But I'd like to run through a hypothesis about an adverse effect.

If you add the UBI and costs go up accordingly, the real, marginal benefit they can obtain by working for $3.25 an hour will actually decrease.

This means someone who is in circumstances where they can currently earn a meagre income to tip the balance to being able to make ends meet in that circumstance, will find their ability to work the same amount in a UBI world will not tip the balance to being able to make ends meet.

In other words they will be pushed to change circumstance, towards more work and/or lower cost. E.g. move somewhere cheaper, work more hours.

This does not sound like a net benefit for the already impoverished. It sounds like a trap, because low-wage working will provide less marginal benefit to change what people can afford when they are stuck.

Re:Universal Basic Income is Capitalism 2.0 by zentiggr on Thursday July 30, 2020 @11:27AM (#23999276)
I can't see your logic.

If someone is making ends meet by working at your (illegally low) wage, then having that wage _plus_ UBI means that they are UBI rate / existing wage times better off.

The wage's percentage of total income dropping is a red herring.

No one will be pushed to work more when they have _more_ resources at hand.

Re:Universal Basic Income is Capitalism 2.0 by jlokier on Thursday July 30, 2020 @07:57PM (#24004169)
I think you haven't taken into account the adjustment to prices that happens, eventually, as the market responds to everyone being on UBI.

That's why I wrote "real", as in adjusted for inflation.

Re:Universal Basic Income is Capitalism 2.0 by jonathanstrange on Thursday July 30, 2020 @07:41AM (#23996968)
You have to understand that a sufficiently high UBI is very expensive. It either costs trillions of dollars or will be so low that poor people may be worse off than now due to lack of other welfare. Realistically affordable UBIs would amount to less that what jobless people get on social welfare, e.g. around 200-300 EUR in my country. I've seen the figures, and those were the ones of proponents of UBI. Do your own calculations and you will see what I mean.

If you want to help poor people, start with radically capping and reducing rents per m^2 everywhere. And by "radically" I mean radically, not just halving them. That's one of the biggest problems in almost every country and it will get worse and worse if current trends continue.

Re:Universal Basic Income is Capitalism 2.0 by playworker on Thursday July 30, 2020 @11:33AM (#23999347)
Expensive is okay, we're talking about eradicating poverty, as first world nations we should be judged on how well we look after the most vulnerable in society, not on how wealthy the 1% can get.

US population is what, 300 million, ~75% of that are adults, multiplied by something like $35,000 is what, 8 trillion? The top 1% have a wealth of 35 trillion, US GDP is around 24 trillion - is it acceptable to spend 1/3rd of your GDP on eradicating poverty and creating a more equal society?