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Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by throwaway_USD on Thursday July 02, 2020 @09:29AM (#23712869)
From the time Congress passed the $6.2T Bill that gave $4T to the FED to prop up the stock market, $700B in PPP loans; and and estimated $300B to the people ($1,200) stimulus checks, it should have put things in perspective.

Ideally the stock market wouldn't have been propped up and the PPP loan program would have been more legitimate to save real small businesses (just wait until all the fraud comes out of this thing). If all that money instead went to the people/taxpayers they would all have received an $18,000 stimulus check instead of $1,200, I think this would have been the best move possible (and maybe some form of healthcare coverage for the uninsured, being in a pandemic and all instead of pretending providing coverage to the uninsured would be taking away their freedom to be uninsured).

Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by PragmaticPulp on Thursday July 02, 2020 @09:41AM (#23712964)
> and estimated $300B to the people ($1,200) stimulus checks

It’s not correct to say that people only received $1200. Everyone qualified for that stimulus (depending on income thresholds, it was phased out for higher incomes), regardless of job loss.

Unemployed people receive an additional $600/week from the late-March COVID relief bill through July 31. There are additional measures to extend the duration of regular state unemployment. The combined benefits given to unemployed people are over $10K/person additional, on top of regular state unemployment.

Furthermore, many of the numbers you’re citing are in the form of loans or other non-spending activity. It’s not correct to suggest that we could have simply given that money to the people and arrived at the same budgetary outcome.

I don’t agree with the way all of the funds have been allocated, but suggesting that we could all have received $18K is disingenuous. Proper response should be targeted where needed, such as the unemployment measures and loans for businesses that were forced to close, not just distributed to everyone who kept their jobs and businesses.

Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by Zetaphor on Thursday July 02, 2020 @10:12AM (#23713275)
> That amount went to everyone, regardless of job loss.

This is provably false. It only went to people who filed taxes in 2019 and who met the qualifications.

Despite both of those things still being true, and having lost my job as a direct result of COVID-19, I was still told I would not be receiving the benefits. I was not given a reason by the automated system and I have yet to reach a human being to explain my rejection. I am far from an isolated case

Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by votepaunchy on Thursday July 02, 2020 @11:00AM (#23713937)
> This is provably false. It only went to people who filed taxes in 2019 and who met the qualifications.

The stimulus check will be part of your 2020 tax return, and you will claim the money as a refund then if you have not already received your money. Any money incorrectly paid out will likewise be reclaimed via that process.

Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by CydeWeys on Thursday July 02, 2020 @11:17AM (#23714173)
Paying out next year upon filing taxes doesn't do a lot to keep people afloat who are unemployed now. That's long enough to end up on the street.
Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by sangnoir on Thursday July 02, 2020 @12:43PM (#23715133)
All you said is true, but this is the mechanism Congress decided to distribute the money (a universal, early tax refund for 2020), and that are its failure modes - some people will get it later than others if the government doesn't currently have their information on file, or only has paper returns.
Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by sidewndr46 on Thursday July 02, 2020 @09:50AM (#23713047)
> That amount went to everyone, regardless of job loss.

I did not get any notice as such, but my understanding as to why I got $0 was I made too much money to qualify. So I don't think your statement is in any way accurate. It did not go to "everyone"

Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by clansimus on Thursday July 02, 2020 @09:49AM (#23713031)
> That amount went to everyone, regardless of job loss.

No, it didn't.

Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by PragmaticPulp on Thursday July 02, 2020 @09:54AM (#23713103)
Okay, to be pedantic because your comment didn’t provide full details:

The $1200 went to adults who were not dependents of someone else and who earned less than a certain threshold, with the amount prorated depending on your AGI and your tax filing type (single, married, head of household).

My point was that everyone qualified for it. It wasn’t dependent on losing your job first. You could keep your job and still receive the (up to) $1200 stimulus if your income met the thresholds.

Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by heavyset_go on Thursday July 02, 2020 @05:03PM (#23718054)
There are quite literally millions of people who qualified for the stimulus, but didn't receive it. I know several of such people.
Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by Sodman on Thursday July 02, 2020 @10:25AM (#23713409)
Part of the problem is that many people lost their jobs and were/are unemployed for months, but had a tax filing in a prior year above a threshold disqualified them from receiving the $1200.
Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by throwaway_USD on Thursday July 02, 2020 @10:29AM (#23713467)
Fine if you want to add the amount for subsidizing the Unemployment Insurance from the CARES Act the numbers again:

$4T to the FED to prop up the stock market

$700B in forgivable loans to small businesses (PPP program)

$300B in taxpayer stimulus checks

$260B in Unemployment Insurance subsidies

>suggesting that we could all have received $18K is disingenuous. Proper response should be targeted where needed

It is not disingenuous at all to say taxpayers should have received the lions share of these bailouts (bailouts being paid for by taxpayers), or at minimum its not disingenuous to say taxpayers (not law makers beholden to corporate interests) should have dictated where the bailout funds go...I would say it is disingenuous to claim taxpayers would have sent 8x the amount they received to the FED to prop up an overvalued stock market that was already at record highs.

Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by mrep on Thursday July 02, 2020 @10:50AM (#23713810)
The FED has only bought around 3 trillion dollars worth of assets and basically all of that is being used to buy our own governments debt (the same debt used to fund the CARES act) and US mortgage backed securities, not the stock market as you can see from their balance sheet [0].

[0]: https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h41/current/h41.htm

Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by throwaway_USD on Thursday July 02, 2020 @11:43AM (#23714526)
The 2 largest numbers on their balance sheet are:

Reserve Bank credit: 7,009,664

Securities held outright[1]: 6,115,130

[1] Includes securities lent to dealers under the overnight securities lending facility (when people talk about JPow money printer go brrr...this is what they are talking about and nearly every night for 2 months after the FED got the $4T overnight the markets would skyrocket)

Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by koheripbal on Thursday July 02, 2020 @04:20PM (#23717574)
This conflates LOANS with GRANTS. Your comparison lacks even the most basic understanding of finance.

In 2008, when the banks were "bailed out" - the government used loans - which ultimately turned a profit.

So all of the anger about "socializing the losses and privatizing the gains" was all baloney. Because the taxpayers literally made a profit on the loans they gave to Wall Street.

Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by cwhiz on Thursday July 02, 2020 @08:44PM (#23719800)
Taxpayers should have owned the businesses they bailed out. We gave these banks low interest loans when their only alternative was insolvency. What a crappy bargain! Taxpayers should have owned the banks, helped them recover, and then sold them for huge profits.

What’s JP Morgan worth today? That’s a start in calculating how much was stolen from taxpayers.

Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by jessaustin on Thursday July 02, 2020 @06:53PM (#23719021)
The firms should have gone bankrupt. In that case, the government or any solvent entity could have benefited by purchasing the assets at market prices. That the firms did not go bankrupt, was a gift to shareholders from taxpayers.
Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by koheripbal on Thursday July 02, 2020 @08:45PM (#23719805)
This is a very uneducated point of view, that ignores the facts in my prior comment.

In a liquidity crunch, perfectly solvent and functional companies can go bankrupt. ...and indeed those that had balance sheets hopelessly underwater DID go bankrupt (ie Lehman Brothers, Merrill Lynch, as well as dozens of other smaller banks).

The fact that the government was able to extend LOANS to other banks is not a "gift" at all, because those loans were paid back with significant interest.

Do you understand, the taxpayer profited from the Wall Street loans of 2008.

Allowing solvent but illiquid companies to go bankrupt is needless economic destruction that serves zero purpose - and the fact that they survived despite having to pay back the gov't loans with interest is evidence of that.

Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by rbrtl on Friday July 03, 2020 @10:59AM (#23724574)
Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by noelsusman on Thursday July 02, 2020 @10:40AM (#23713665)
Congress didn't give the Federal Reserve $4 trillion. They gave the Treasury Department $500 billion, which the Federal Reserve leveraged to give out about $3 trillion in loans.
Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by dahfizz on Thursday July 02, 2020 @09:48AM (#23713021)
> If all that money instead went to the people/taxpayers they would all have received an $18,000 stimulus check instead of $1,200, I think this would have been the best move possible.

Everyone I know would choose their entire retirement fund over a one time check of $18,000 . I understand your sentiment, and it does feel like we got less that we deserve, but stimulating the stock market was absolutely the right move.

Another depression wouldn't help anyone, and a majority of Americans have a 401k. The idea that only the super rich benefit from a good stock market is plain wrong - most people depend on it.

Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by repeek on Thursday July 02, 2020 @09:59AM (#23713148)
> and a majority of Americans have a 401k

Source?

According to the 2017 US Census, only 32% are saving in a 401k. [1]

[1] https://www.fool.com/retirement/2017/06/19/does-the-average-...

Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by votepaunchy on Thursday July 02, 2020 @11:02AM (#23713965)
What fraction are retirees who have rolled over their 401k into an IRA?
Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by dahfizz on Thursday July 02, 2020 @11:29AM (#23714365)
Excluding children and retired people, 74% have retirement savings.

[1] https://www.federalreserve.gov/publications/2019-economic-we...

Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by dahfizz on Thursday July 02, 2020 @10:19AM (#23713351)
Over 70% of workers have access to an employee retirement plan, and 56% of all workers participate in one[1]. So I did misremember the stats slightly. Its all workers instead of all Americans, and a generic "employer sponsored retirement plan" vs specifically a 401k, but my point still stands.

If we exclude children and people who are already retired, only 26% are without retirement savings[2]. The ability of these people to retire is linked to stock performance.

[1] https://www.bls.gov/ncs/ebs/benefits/2019/ownership/civilian...

[2] https://www.federalreserve.gov/publications/2019-economic-we...

Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by dlp211 on Thursday July 02, 2020 @10:27AM (#23713431)
Great, now how much does the median retiree have saved?

Also, the vast majority of people shouldn't give two licks about keeping the market high today because the vast majority of people are more than a decade out from retirement. What should have been an event that allowed people to build wealth instead became one to preserve the wealth of those who already have it.

Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by ryanwaggoner on Thursday July 02, 2020 @05:31PM (#23718293)
“I’m decades away from retiring, so I’m happy to let these businesses fall apart, destroy trillions in value, and layoff millions of people so I can buy some shares at a cheaper price!”

This is like letting your neighbor’s house burn down because you’ve always wanted to buy the land under it.

Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by dlp211 on Thursday July 02, 2020 @06:41PM (#23718946)
This isn't an either let all businesses fail or prop up the entire stock market with cheap cash choice and your framing of it as such is intellectually dishonest.
Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by ryanwaggoner on Thursday July 02, 2020 @07:00PM (#23719062)
I didn’t frame it as an either/or. I literally just reframed what you said: that people far away from retirement shouldn’t care if the stock market crashes, because they’ll benefit if it does.
Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by dlp211 on Thursday July 02, 2020 @11:53PM (#23720868)
The market making a correction != businesses failing. The market is severely overpriced as-is, it didn't need to be propped up. Companies don't fail because their share price has dropped.
Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by jimbokun on Thursday July 02, 2020 @06:16PM (#23718751)
> Great, now how much does the median retiree have saved?

Whatever that number is, it's going to be much smaller after a stock market crash.

Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by dlp211 on Thursday July 02, 2020 @06:38PM (#23718925)
It also wipes out the opportunity for future retirees to benefit from market corrections which are historically how most wealth for middle class retirees is built. So you've now sacrificed far more future retirees accounts for those who shouldn't have such high market exposure that they are hurt by a correction.

If this isn't a wake up call that individuals have no business managing their own retirement, I don't know what is.

Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by entropea on Thursday July 02, 2020 @11:33AM (#23714410)
I put $750 into 401k last year (I was tech ''''contract'''' worker and wasn't being paid well in the first place and ended up with a cool $459 in my 401k at the end of the year and I stopped contributing until 2021. Technically I'm contributing so I'm in that stat, but I've lost money. Yes I know that can happen in 401k's temporarily, but I'm not in a financial place for that to be acceptable. How many people are contributing their minimum 3% in a small paycheck for a 1% match and in the end have an extremely small 401k, but get counted in your statistic? How many earn $10/hr, put 3% in and it ends up being like $22 bi weekly and they only began contributing a year ago? 401k's aren't really a great measurement of much in my opinion. You can't assume everyone has thousands saved up in them and I'd be willing to bet less than 50% of 401k contributors have even more than $5000.

That $18,000 check would have given me the ability to pay off my medical debts immediately, and have complete economic security and peace of mind through COVID.

Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by frockington1 on Thursday July 02, 2020 @12:26PM (#23714965)
401k might be a great option to store money if you are in medical debt. Its near impossible to get money out of a 401k if you declare bankruptcy or default on loans
Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by bendergarcia on Thursday July 02, 2020 @11:29AM (#23714363)
Not everyone works in a corporate environment where this is offered. Go ask your local restaurant if they offer their employees A 401k.
Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by yalogin on Thursday July 02, 2020 @10:00AM (#23713153)
If everyone got 18000 a lot of the money we spent on the top half of the economy becomes unnecessary. For example, there will be no evictions and so that sector doesn’t need propping up.

More importantly people would have stayed home and so we could have tamed the virus which would mean the economy opens up quicker and safer.

This is a people issue and not an economic issue. Dealing it like that would have saved the economy better IMO. Our politicians and companies would never let a good crisis go wasted without appropriating money for themselves.

Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by danaris on Thursday July 02, 2020 @10:43AM (#23713709)
> This is a people issue and not an economic issue.

Take it a step further: All economic issues are really people issues, in one way or another.

The economy exists to serve people. We do not exist to serve it. Whenever there are measures that are "to help the economy", but which are detrimental to ordinary workers, they're not really to help "the economy"—they're to help the people at the very top, at everyone else's expense.

We need to refocus on what helps actual people—what helps the most people—rather than on the misleading abstract of "the economy."

Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by throwaway_USD on Thursday July 02, 2020 @10:43AM (#23713708)
>Everyone I know would choose their entire retirement fund over a one time check of $18,000

I am assuming you don't know a single person in the 40% that don't have $400 saved up for emergencies.

>it does feel like we got less that we deserve, but stimulating the stock market was absolutely the right move.

It isn't without merit...until you look behind the curtain at OZ. The stock market was already in a bubble and we just inflated the bubble even more. P/E ratios in the public markets are beginning to make revenue-less tech unicorns look reasonable.

>a majority of Americans have a 401k

Ok, so they have a conflict of interest in the matter (25% of Americans have no retirement). Of those with a 401K aged 35-44 the median balance is $22k (so its pretty much a wash for them). Then on the very harsh side of things, the free market side, you risked your money by investing, if a portion of your portfolio includes stock in overvalued companies with runaway P/E ratios that didn't have cash reserves to whether the storm, you invested poorly and you should expect taxpayers to bailout your poor investments.

Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by dahfizz on Thursday July 02, 2020 @11:10AM (#23714067)
> I am assuming you don't know a single person in the 40% that don't have $400 saved up for emergencies.

This is an oft misunderstood stat[1][2]. The actual stats from the survey show that 61% of Americans would choose to pay a surprise $400 bill in cash. The remaining people would prefer to use a credit card or other ways of paying. Only around 12% of respondents said they would actually have a hard time paying the bill.

> Ok, so they have a conflict of interest in the matter (25% of Americans have no retirement). Of those with a 401K aged 35-44 the median balance is $22k (so its pretty much a wash for them). Then on the very harsh side of things, the free market side, you risked your money by investing, if a portion of your portfolio includes stock in overvalued companies with runaway P/E ratios that didn't have cash reserves to whether the storm, you invested poorly and you should expect taxpayers to bailout your poor investments.

I think you're moving the goalposts a bit. I could just as easily say "Why should tax payers bail out your poorly chosen career? Just work from home." The point my parent was making is that $6T was allocated for relief but too much of it went to the stock market. My point is that stimulating the stock market has benefits for all. The individual checks sent out should have been bigger, but the question is "Money has been allocated for relief, should a significant amount go towards the stock market?" and the answer is definitely "yes".

If you believe the government should not "bail out" citizens when they need it, that's fine, but be consistent.

[1] https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2019-06-04/the-40...

[2 (non-paywall)] https://www.illinoisreview.com/illinoisreview/2019/06/americ...

Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by bendergarcia on Thursday July 02, 2020 @11:35AM (#23714426)
Can you speak to how propping up the stock market has benefits for all?
Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by dahfizz on Thursday July 02, 2020 @12:58PM (#23715288)
Well I already talked about how most Americans have money in the stock market, so there is that immediate benefit of seeing your savings increase. But there is also a line of logic that goes like this:

An economic depression is bad for everyone. Therefore avoiding an economic depression is good for everyone. Quantitative easing has been shown multiple times to alleviate / avoid massive economic downturns. Therefore QE is beneficial to all.

Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by salawat on Thursday July 02, 2020 @10:14PM (#23720425)
>Well I already talked about how most Americans have money in the stock market, so there is that immediate benefit of seeing your savings increase.

This is inaccurate. Your savings don't increase until your portfolio is liquidated. If it's liquidated at a time there is blood in the streets, you might has well have taken everything out ahead of time, paid your taxes and been done with it.

The only reason it's "good" to avoid Depressive price movements is because every single academic has demonized the creative destruction resulting from pruning overly wasteful business models. It's unthinkable that people should have all their money anywhere else but in the hands of people virtually guaranteed to not be interested in improving your local community.

Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by bendergarcia on Thursday July 02, 2020 @11:28AM (#23714347)
Then you don’t know poor people who don’t have any investment in the stock market. Who absolutely do benefit from the immediate cash. Who drive your Uber, driver your door dash, serve your meal at your restaurant, probably cleaner your house, do you yard work, sell you shoes at the store, check you out at groceries, stock your groceries, serve you drinks at the bar.

Stimulating the stock market was not the right move. You want to talk about putting the money and letting the market do it’s thing, give it to people and let them decide where to put.

Putting the money in the stock market has only benefited those already in the stock market and those with the money to enter it.

Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by dahfizz on Thursday July 02, 2020 @01:09PM (#23715398)
> Putting the money in the stock market has only benefited those already in the stock market and those with the money to enter it.

Quantitative easing has been shown time and time again to alleviate and avoid economic downturn. Do grocery baggers and bar tenders benefit from an economic depression? Do you think Obama made the right choice to stimulate the economy in 2008? This is exactly the same thing.

Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by throwaway_USD on Thursday July 02, 2020 @01:40PM (#23715838)
>Do grocery baggers and bar tenders benefit from an economic depression?

People need groceries even during a depression. Its often said alcohol is recession proof, in fact alcohol sales seem to thrive even during a pandemic.

I'll tell you what isn't

>Do you think Obama made the right choice to stimulate the economy in 2008? This is exactly the same thing.

Actually Bush took out a Stimulus of ~$800-900B before he left office and then Obama took our another $800-$900B when entering office. And I would say the vast majority of people I speak with would rather have seen the banks fail rather than taxpayers bailing them out (for massive fraud they perpetrated to issue bad loans/mortgages and then package them up and sell them to others knowing they were "toxic assets"). Banks used taxpayer money to buy their competitors to concentrate the market and fund foreclosure litigation to foreclose on the taxpayers that bailed them out. In hindsight most people agree the Bush/Obama bailouts should have gone directly to the homeowners, but it was considered a "moral hazard" encouraging bad behavior in the future, whereas ironically they didn't see the moral hazard in rewarding the banks that bear the most responsibility.

Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by mennis16 on Thursday July 02, 2020 @08:18PM (#23719610)
You just nitpicked his two examples (and for a nitpick back bartender != liquor store clerk). I don't know enough about econ to have a side here but I would be interested in hearing a counterargument that actually addresses the impact of economic downturn on the class of jobs being discussed here (waiters, retail, cleaners, drivers, etc.)
Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by jessaustin on Thursday July 02, 2020 @06:58PM (#23719047)
Do you think Obama made the right choice to stimulate the economy in 2008?

Does anyone think that? Bailing out mismanaged financial dinosaurs was a monumentally poor decision. He didn't even have W's excuse: high suggestibility due to low intelligence.

Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by joncrane on Thursday July 02, 2020 @10:33AM (#23713537)
>Everyone I know would choose their entire retirement fund over a one time check of $18,000

We live in a bubble. There are VAST SWATHES (millions and millions) of people whose ENTIRE NET WORTHS are less than $18,000.

Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by dfxm12 on Thursday July 02, 2020 @10:36AM (#23713599)
Tell that to Acme supermarket workers who are seeing their pay slashed because their employers are preparing for an IPO [0]. The stock market is not the economy. It's a part of it that has little baring on your average American [1]. As such, it should not be such a high priority in this case to prop up the stock market.

0 - https://www.inquirer.com/news/albertsons-acme-ipo-lubert-202...

1 - https://www.cheatsheet.com/money-career/why-a-booming-stock-...

Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by perfect_wave on Thursday July 02, 2020 @10:05AM (#23713206)
I did some searching and seemed to find that the majority of Americans do NOT have a 401k or do not contribute a significant amount.

"The typical household approaching retirement had $135,000 in combined 401(k)/IRA assets. These assets will provide $600 per month in retirement, an amount whose purchasing power will decline over time with inflation. Moreover, only half of house-holds have any 401(k)-related holdings." [1]

[1] http://crr.bc.edu/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/IB_17-18.pdf

Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by Zetaphor on Thursday July 02, 2020 @10:15AM (#23713309)
> and a majority of Americans have a 401k

You are living in a confirmation bubble, one easily disproven by data. I'm a career engineer and I don't even have a 401k

Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by binarymax on Thursday July 02, 2020 @10:06AM (#23713212)
> stimulating the stock market was absolutely the right move

False. The stock market has zero connection to the health of the actual economy right now, and is only enriching the privileged. Propping up the stock market was a political farce to make it look like the economy is doing fine when it clearly is not.

Re:Hazard pay in focus as essential workers earn less than t... by heavyset_go on Thursday July 02, 2020 @05:09PM (#23718102)
It's funny because the people who kicked and screamed when China did the same thing are the same people who think it's okay when their country does it.