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Re:Wirecard is 'beyond salvageable,' according to analyst by lifeisstillgood on Sunday June 28, 2020 @11:53AM (#23669589)
Slate Money podcast was surprisingly good on Wirecard this week. Three things popped out - that this had been widely claimed as a fraud (millions in business going through offices that were just postal drops etc) but the German "establishment" supported them because they had no native german payment processor otherwise (and once you were in the Dax 30 it's a big deal to declare fraud).

Also the failings of shorting a business - it's not enough to know they will collapse sometime, but you cannot keep covering your short for five years without wondering if the bet is worth it.

But really this is just yet another example of regulatory failure and it's hard to see how we fix it without destroying the culture of entrepreneurship

Re:Wirecard is 'beyond salvageable,' according to analyst by barney54 on Sunday June 28, 2020 @12:24PM (#23669861)
The regulators need to do a real investigation and not attack shorts and journalists. It's not easy to do real investigations, but not attacking investors and journalists is not hard.
Re:Wirecard is 'beyond salvageable,' according to analyst by ChuckNorris89 on Sunday June 28, 2020 @12:50PM (#23670089)
How does investigating fraud destroy entrepreneurship culture?

Should we just turn a blind eye to every dodgy business practice to ensure some entrepreneur gets rich? Oh, wait...

Re:Wirecard is 'beyond salvageable,' according to analyst by mratsim on Monday June 29, 2020 @10:04AM (#23677700)
At this point, if a company raised an SIO (Softbank Initial Offering) and starts with a W like WeWork and Wirecard, I'm going to look into it at least a hundred times or avoid it like the plague.
Re:Wirecard is 'beyond salvageable,' according to analyst by hef19898 on Sunday June 28, 2020 @01:09PM (#23670267)
Agree, with the exception of the last paragraph. SOX didn't kill NASDAQ or the Dow. And if an entrepreneur is only successful because regulations are lax, not enforced and his business is ignoring corporate governance, that business doesn't seem to have any justification to exist in the first place.
Re:Wirecard is 'beyond salvageable,' according to analyst by lifeisstillgood on Sunday June 28, 2020 @01:57PM (#23670653)
Wow. I have really bought into a line sold to me subconsciously haven't I.

Yeah. Let's have proper regulation and policing.

Re:Wirecard is 'beyond salvageable,' according to analyst by gwright on Sunday June 28, 2020 @03:25PM (#23671355)
Your comment reads as if regulations are some binary thing, the nature of regulation is critical to any meaningful discussion. Regulations can be reasonable guards against harm (fraud, pollution, safety, etc.) and they can also be part of a defensive moat that protects existing businesses via otherwise unjustified restrictions and imposes a "tax" on economic activity that hurts everyone.

SOX isn't the be-all-and-end-all of financial regulations and my understanding is that there is considerable regulatory nonsense inside SOX. Doesn't mean that there aren't good parts just that that the details do matter.

Re:Wirecard is 'beyond salvageable,' according to analyst by an_opabinia on Sunday June 28, 2020 @03:34PM (#23671434)
All it would have taken, all these years, is a single phone call to a Philippines bank, apparently. Cmon, people didn’t want to know.

It’s not a regulatory failure. There were shareholders selling into the fraud, for a decade. Are they culpable? The Bernie Madoff beneficiaries were. There’s going to be an incredible amount of pain for many, many parties.

The reality is 9 out of 10 people on this forum would be happy selling Wirecard stock at “the right time.”

Re:Wirecard is 'beyond salvageable,' according to analyst by orhmeh09 on Sunday June 28, 2020 @01:45PM (#23670537)
What’s a good thing that the culture of entrepreneurship has brought? If you were to “destroy” that culture, would it be impossible to achieve otherwise?
Re:Wirecard is 'beyond salvageable,' according to analyst by chrisco255 on Sunday June 28, 2020 @03:10PM (#23671228)
Electricity, the light bulb, the automobile, the washing machine, the air conditioner, the personal computer, etc etc. I really can't tell if this is a troll question or not. Clearly there was nothing stopping humanity from discovering these things 1000 years ago. What changed? A culture that balances capital and risk call achieve extraordinary things. There is no substitute for it.
Re:Wirecard is 'beyond salvageable,' according to analyst by Barrin92 on Sunday June 28, 2020 @03:31PM (#23671412)
everything you just named had little to do with what is today called "entrepeneurship" and more to do with either rigorous corporate scientific activity (the automobile), solitary tinkering (the lightbulb, early advances in software) or was simply the byproduct of genuinely, informal scientific pursuit.

None of those inventions were made because of VC hypecycles, or two billion in bogus bank accounts, or marketing and customer aqcuisition. In fact everything you named predates the era of high risk venture capital. It wasn't primarily a culture of entrepreneurship but a culture of tinkering and invention that got us those fundamental technologies.

Re:Wirecard is 'beyond salvageable,' according to analyst by chrisco255 on Sunday June 28, 2020 @04:22PM (#23671744)
Nonsense, Henry Ford invented the Model T invention at home working nights while he was by day working for the Edison Illuminating Company in Detroit, a company founded by the inventor of the light bulb, who himself invented it while burning midnight oil at home. It was clearly motivated and capitalized by the patent system and an effort to earn a profit. That is entrepreneurship.

https://www.history.com/topics/inventions/model-t

I would argue that businesses that were founded before bankruptcy law in 1898 were far more risky than modern ventures. In addition, there were no social safety nets to pick you back up if ended up impoverished in the 1890s. But that's quite a tangent from the core overarching theme of the modern era, in which entrepreneurial economies have consistently beat out command and control economies.

The main difference between today and 100 years ago, is now we have an abundance of capital. It was much, much harder to get capital back then. Even loans for houses were hard to come by.

Re:Wirecard is 'beyond salvageable,' according to analyst by Barrin92 on Sunday June 28, 2020 @04:34PM (#23671823)
>I would argue that businesses that were founded before bankruptcy law in 1898 were far more risky than modern ventures

For the individuals themselves possibly, not for the business model, because the high risk business model of today did not exist. In your own examples Both Ford and Edison worked on their inventions as a side hustle in addition to their regular jobs. They were not professional entrepreneurs when they worked on original inventions.

In fact this is almost necessarily true for any paradigm changing invention, it happens outside the status quo. As Schumpeter pointed out, as soon as someone is drawn into a formal mode of invention they're just replicating, not jumping ahead of what came before. Every truly important invention is entirely original almost by definition.

The defining feature of entrepreneurship today is that it is like a Keynesian beauty contest. You check a few boxes and we give X dollars for Y shares and we show you "how to do" entrepreneurship.

Re:Wirecard is 'beyond salvageable,' according to analyst by cnasc on Sunday June 28, 2020 @03:51PM (#23671541)
I’m not sure why you’re conflating entrepreneurship with Silicon Valley-style VC.
Re:Wirecard is 'beyond salvageable,' according to analyst by Barrin92 on Sunday June 28, 2020 @04:23PM (#23671754)
because we're in the comment chain about wirecard and their behaviour is the result of that sort of culture. It's also still, despite the immense criticism touted around the world as something to emulate. You see billions of cash pumped into say, 'incubators' in Paris and other large cities around the globe with for the most part no results.
Re:Wirecard is 'beyond salvageable,' according to analyst by chrisco255 on Sunday June 28, 2020 @04:34PM (#23671822)
Wirecard is a financial services provider founded in 1999. I would not conflate their troubles with marginal contributions from start-up incubators that are chasing diminishing returns in the tech sector. The latter is just a result of a normal market cycle. Clearly, plenty of multimillion and multibillion dollar companies have been founded from start-ups in the past decade or two. And clearly we're reaching a point where it's more challenging to make a hit. That's ok, that's normal. Same thing happened in the auto industry 100 years ago:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_defunct_automobile_man...

Look at all those manufacturers you never heard of.

Re:Wirecard is 'beyond salvageable,' according to analyst by duskwuff on Sunday June 28, 2020 @07:27PM (#23672857)
> Electricity, the light bulb, the automobile, the washing machine, the air conditioner, the personal computer, etc etc.

All of these inventions involved a real, tangible, desirable product, and they were successful because real people were willing to pay their inventors real money for them.

Increasingly, it appears that Wirecard was none of these things. A payment services company is not some sort of masterpiece of innovation, and one which was built on a foundation of financial fraud clearly does not have any net value to humanity.

> Clearly there was nothing stopping humanity from discovering these things 1000 years ago.

Of course there was. Technology does not exist in a vacuum.