Initial Covid-19 infection rate may be 80 times greater than originally reported

Re:Initial Covid-19 infection rate may be 80 times greater t... by chosenbreed37 on Wednesday June 24, 2020 @07:09AM (#23626546)

> If you are under 40 your risk of dying seems to be very very low.

Based on the figures you provided I make that close to 0.7%. It is low but I wouldn't describe it as very very low :-)

[ Parent | on HN ]

Re:Initial Covid-19 infection rate may be 80 times greater t... by ageitgey on Wednesday June 24, 2020 @07:31AM (#23626667)

You did the math incorrectly. You can't add up the total deaths and then divide by one of them to get your chance of dying in that age group.

The populations of those are ranges are different sizes. There are many fewer people alive who are in the 85+ group than there are in the 15-44 group. So if you work that out based on the relative population sizes, you'll get a much lower death rate for the under 40 group.

[ Parent | on HN ]

Re:Initial Covid-19 infection rate may be 80 times greater t... by LandR on Wednesday June 24, 2020 @07:46AM (#23626765)

Exactly, for example for cases under 40 y/o:

South Korea: 5539, deaths = 5 = 0.09%

Switzerland: 8874, deaths = 5 = 0.05%

Italy: 37139, deaths = 84 = 0.22%

Netherlands: 8207, deaths = 14 = 0.17%

This is from wikipedia for the respective countries, some countries figures are more up to date than others.

[ Parent | on HN ]