You can see that NYC is way down from the mid-April peak, but the USA as a whole is tailing off much more slowly as new outbreaks elsewhere offset the declines in areas that were initially hit hard.
(But still, note that "way down" for NYC is still around 500 new cases per day.)
https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/national/corona...
That being said we know practically nothing actionable about the spread of the disease, little more than we did when it started. Clearly the combination of masks and social distancing has slowed the spread but we don’t know how much good if any the masks really do, and we can’t never go outside again. It’s a waiting game, and a game of seeing just how much isolation we can collectively stomach. Unpleasant, and the end is certainly not yet in sight.
Somebody needs to tell that to Brooklyn residents. Streets are crowded.
Brooklyn residents crowding the streets are agreeing with that sentiment.
Fingers crossed I guess, but given that 1) the virus is still around AND 2) we do not have a vaccine AND 3) we do not have herd immunity, I can't say I feel very optimistic about the next month or so.
But a medical professional's subjective experience is local, and the US is a big place. Some regions are still (sigh) growing, and are indeed "as bad as it's been". But New York is now recording new cases at less than 10% of its peak from April.
Broadly: much of the country, and all of the worst hit areas, have this beaten now, as long as we don't lose control when relaxing lockdown rules. That's good news.
And the areas that don't have it handled well are, at the very least, not growing in an out of control exponential mode. That's good news too.
Stay home. This is the home stretch.
New infections per capita in the US are not falling and are an order of magnitude higher than in Western Europe. Israel brought new infections down to a few cases/million until they opened schools back up, now they are in line with Western Europe.
The trouble is that there are superspreading events, someone brings the virus to church or university, and everyone present gets it. There are reports of outbreaks in farmworker accomodation and consequent failures of the vegetable harvest. This isn't over at all and only getting worse when cash-strapped universities insist that their students come back on campus in August.
Many southern states are rising rapidly, as well as in the southwest.
Here in NC we're double what we were a month ago in both daily new cases AND current hospitalizations.
[1] https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/jun/09/coronavirus-ca...
I don't get that tho. Supposedly accordingly to all stats, its as bad as its been before. We have 800 to 1,000 death per day and are on record to hit 200k death by September. How come I heard that the pandemic has slowed down yet... according to numbers its been the same.