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Re:Boeing cutting more than 12,000 U.S. jobs with thousands ... by _bxg1 on Wednesday May 27, 2020 @01:48PM (#23327029)
I think it would be more accurate to say this is what happens when you let the shareholders who are too far removed from the business itself run the business. Those are the people who'd like a company to be a simple growing-asset in their portfolio, who specifically don't want to be bothered with its nuances or long-term health, and who have the leverage to impose their ill-informed will on everyone else.

I have a pet theory that a large portion of the decay in our society can be traced back to the layers of abstraction between stakeholders and the things (and people) they have power over. Usually this kind of thing doesn't happen before a company has gone public.

Re:Boeing cutting more than 12,000 U.S. jobs with thousands ... by michaelt on Wednesday May 27, 2020 @03:06PM (#23328282)
If you're interested in corporate governance, you might enjoy reading the book "Pay without performance"

One of the points it makes is that shareholders have very little power in practice, as even if you own a million dollars of Apple shares, that's only 0.00007% of the company. Not exactly enough to force through a motion on your own.

And if you think you'll build up a coalition to get a majority? Good luck doing that when you can't even find out the names of other shareholders.

Minority shareholder lawsuits? They're actually a negligible force; rare, unlikely to succeed, and low impact even when they do.

And that's without getting into 'preference shares' that grant CEOs outsized voting rights.

The book argues management can neglect shareholders' interests with impunity for these reasons.

Re:Boeing cutting more than 12,000 U.S. jobs with thousands ... by _bxg1 on Wednesday May 27, 2020 @03:22PM (#23328526)
Well there are two kinds of public shareholders, right. There may be a small number who own large enough shares to bother attending board meetings and voting, and then there are the millions with pensions, 401ks, index funds, etc. I think you're talking about the latter, who have the same issue but a slightly different version of it. In their case, the "ill-informed management" comes down to "price goes up, buy, price goes down, sell". Through share price they wield an extremely blunt version of the same weapon.

This is almost worse, because it very explicitly cares only about the short-term price. It's also a much harder problem to solve, because you can't just tell those people "think long-term and ethically when you're exercising your impact on the marketplace!". No matter how ethical they may be as individuals, most of them probably don't even know which companies they have stakes in, much less whether those companies are heading in the right direction!

Re:Boeing cutting more than 12,000 U.S. jobs with thousands ... by coredog64 on Wednesday May 27, 2020 @07:32PM (#23331492)
I think there’s a third class: Institutional investors like CalPERS or NYSLRS. CalPERS has something like $300B in assets. When they talk, companies listen.

While they might be implicitly in your first group, attending significant meetings AND ensuring long term growth are primary responsibilities.

Re:Boeing cutting more than 12,000 U.S. jobs with thousands ... by rdtwo on Wednesday May 27, 2020 @11:57PM (#23333239)
Calpers is like a king with no pants everyone pretends to respect them but they are as dumb as money gets
Re:Boeing cutting more than 12,000 U.S. jobs with thousands ... by WalterBright on Wednesday May 27, 2020 @04:40PM (#23329667)
> it very explicitly cares only about the short-term price.

There is no short term price in stocks. Stocks are valued at their perceived long term value. If shareholders suspect a company is sacrificing the long term for the short term, they're going to dump the stock until the price of it drops to reflect that.

This also implies that if you can reliably detect that a company is eating its seed corn before everyone else does, you can make a mint shorting it.

Re:Boeing cutting more than 12,000 U.S. jobs with thousands ... by prewett on Wednesday May 27, 2020 @04:56PM (#23329871)
> There is no short term price in stocks. Stocks are valued at their perceived long term value.

Hogwash. Pretty much every company on the S&P 500 dropped 30% around March. Did their perceived long-term value change 30%? I doubt it. I think most people were fully aware that most companies in the S&P's 10 year value wasn't going to change much; certainly not 30%. Yet, it dropped 30%. And then the next month it has risen back up to about 10% of its all-time high. I don't think people seriously thought that Apple, Coca-Cola, Pepsi, etc. suddenly dropped in value 30% and then suddenly rose 20% (yes, I know, technically it was more). If you can have swings of +/- 30% over a period of two months, I don't think the value is reflecting the long-term prospects.

There is both short-term AND long-term pricing in stocks. "In the short-run, the market is a voting machine. In the long-run, the market is a weighing machine." Ben Graham

Re:Boeing cutting more than 12,000 U.S. jobs with thousands ... by WalterBright on Wednesday May 27, 2020 @05:25PM (#23330226)
The short term price theory requires that anyone selling at those short term high prices is selling to someone convinced that prices will go higher in the future, i.e. that you've tricked them.

Price volatility is an indication that either economic conditions are changing rapidly which affects the long term prospects, or that people are very unsure about what the long term prospects are.

It is not an indication that companies are being rewarded for eating their seed corn.

BTW, years ago, I knew a CEO who believed in manipulating the accounts to boost the short term at the expense of the long term. He made the mistake of telling the press he was doing this. The stock immediately tanked.

If the short term pricing theory was correct, the stock would have risen.

Then we have companies like Amazon, who explicitly say they are sacrificing short term profits for long term growth. The result? The stock price has soared to incredible heights.

Re:Boeing cutting more than 12,000 U.S. jobs with thousands ... by goatinaboat on Wednesday May 27, 2020 @05:16PM (#23330098)
Hogwash. Pretty much every company on the S&P 500 dropped 30% around March. Did their perceived long-term value change 30%?

Double hogwash. That pricing reflected that people suddenly needed cash right now and was irrespective of what anyone thought about long term value. I will bet most of the sellers bitterly regretted it but saw no option but to sell at whatever price they could get because they had urgent immediate needs.

Re:Boeing cutting more than 12,000 U.S. jobs with thousands ... by _dps on Wednesday May 27, 2020 @05:38PM (#23330370)
Yes, one good way to think about this was that there was very little change in the value (fully discounted long term etc.) of stocks but a large change in the price (current exchange rate with other participants facing temporal constraints) of cash.
Re:Boeing cutting more than 12,000 U.S. jobs with thousands ... by prewett on Wednesday May 27, 2020 @06:18PM (#23330805)
Right, that's my point: prices don't perfectly reflect long-term value. You give an excellent example of why the currently price might not reflect long-term value, which I need to remember for next time!
Re:Boeing cutting more than 12,000 U.S. jobs with thousands ... by brianchu on Thursday May 28, 2020 @01:20AM (#23333653)
Your example is hogswash. Absolutely, the perceived long term value dropped 30% as people feared a million deaths (with lockdown) and dead bodies piling up outside hospitals across the country (with lockdown, and not just New York City). The stock market is rising now that people realize the pandemic, while still bad, isn't going to be as bad as those predictions. Our perception/understanding of the pandemic has rapidly changed.
Re:Boeing cutting more than 12,000 U.S. jobs with thousands ... by WalterBright on Wednesday May 27, 2020 @04:38PM (#23329643)
> even if you own a million dollars of Apple shares, that's only 0.00007% of the company. Not exactly enough to force through a motion on your own.

And it shouldn't be. The board has only 24 hours in a day, not remotely enough time to debate every motion from every shareholder.

However, as a shareholder, you can dump your stock, which does send a message when many shareholders do this.

Re:Boeing cutting more than 12,000 U.S. jobs with thousands ... by michaelt on Wednesday May 27, 2020 @05:26PM (#23330242)
> as a shareholder, you can dump your stock

Indeed - but brundolf laments about the lack of shareholders "bothered with [Boeing's] nuances or long-term health" and having only a single one-bit message is not conducive to nuance.

Re:Boeing cutting more than 12,000 U.S. jobs with thousands ... by megablast on Wednesday May 27, 2020 @05:30PM (#23330287)
Sends the message that it’s time for the company to buy more of their own stock.
Re:Boeing cutting more than 12,000 U.S. jobs with thousands ... by cls59 on Wednesday May 27, 2020 @02:12PM (#23327407)
Or who don't even care about the long-term health. Extract all you can today and dump the remains. Having a company that remains healthy and prosperous for generations is not an outcome that some investors seem to be optimizing for.
Re:Boeing cutting more than 12,000 U.S. jobs with thousands ... by _bxg1 on Wednesday May 27, 2020 @02:16PM (#23327466)
It's not an outcome that public investors are incentivized to optimize for. That's the problem.
Re:Boeing cutting more than 12,000 U.S. jobs with thousands ... by Icathian on Wednesday May 27, 2020 @02:37PM (#23327806)
On the one hand, from a systems perspective, this is obviously true.

But I wonder at what point you have to draw the line and quit excusing any and all behavior as the result of misaligned incentives, and simply hold people morally and ethically accountable for the choices they make?

Re:Boeing cutting more than 12,000 U.S. jobs with thousands ... by _bxg1 on Wednesday May 27, 2020 @02:43PM (#23327895)
I'm not excusing it, I'm only being pragmatic. It's well and good to push people to be more ethical, but relying on that trait is a separate question.

The human conscience doesn't do very well with abstractions. The further removed someone's actions are from the damage caused down the line, the weaker that moral signal gets. If we want to improve our society, we have to be realistic about these things and design our institutions to buttress against them.

Re:Boeing cutting more than 12,000 U.S. jobs with thousands ... by Icathian on Wednesday May 27, 2020 @03:00PM (#23328174)
Certainly, but shaming and shunning are interpreted by the human conscience as damage in very real ways. You're not wrong, but I think modern sensibility has such an adverse reaction to using shame as a deterrent that we refuse to call things out as shameful.

Sure, it only works if the people in question care about your opinion, but building consensus on what acts should be shunned only takes about a generation and a half. Segregation, dog fighting, the list is long. If we really think this is bad for society (and I do) then shrugging and talking about incentives isn't the way forward. Especially in the absence of a mechanic to actually change those incentives.

Re:Boeing cutting more than 12,000 U.S. jobs with thousands ... by wonnage on Wednesday May 27, 2020 @03:02PM (#23328217)
We absolutely rely on people to act ethically even with incentive systems. Every incentive system is prone to abuse. Also, people are motivated by different incentives. These often boil down to their own ethical/moral values.
Re:Boeing cutting more than 12,000 U.S. jobs with thousands ... by thereisnospork on Wednesday May 27, 2020 @02:57PM (#23328126)
>But I wonder at what point you have to draw the line and quit excusing any and all behavior as the result of misaligned incentives, and simply hold people morally and ethically accountable for the choices they make?

Your statement is contradictory, incentives are what hold people accountable.

Re:Boeing cutting more than 12,000 U.S. jobs with thousands ... by ksk on Wednesday May 27, 2020 @05:55PM (#23330561)
>Having a company that remains healthy and prosperous for generations is not an outcome that some investors seem to be optimizing for.

There are plenty of buy-and-hold shareholders investing in bluechips.

Re:Boeing cutting more than 12,000 U.S. jobs with thousands ... by pjmorris on Wednesday May 27, 2020 @02:56PM (#23328107)
> I have a pet theory that a large portion of the decay in our society can be traced back to the layers of abstraction between stakeholders and the things (and people) they have power over.

My pet theory is a specific instance of yours: MBAs wielding spreadsheets (and, more generally, analysts wielding databases) is the abstraction layer.

Re:Boeing cutting more than 12,000 U.S. jobs with thousands ... by kevin_thibedeau on Wednesday May 27, 2020 @03:01PM (#23328200)
They also "boost productivity" by shortening schedules by 20%. More profit. More corners cut.
Re:Boeing cutting more than 12,000 U.S. jobs with thousands ... by Causality1 on Wednesday May 27, 2020 @07:44PM (#23331601)
Were it up to me I'd personalize all liability, including legal. No more corporate fines. Fines levied against corporations should come directly from the personal fortunes of shareholders and legal malfeasance should always result in prison time for the decision makers, even if it's as little as a single week in jail.
Re:Boeing cutting more than 12,000 U.S. jobs with thousands ... by londons_explore on Thursday May 28, 2020 @12:48AM (#23333491)
Would anyone dare touch a stock market if they were personally responsible for liabilities of companies they invest in?

Particularly in the case of stock indexes - where a single company with a $xxT poorly written contract could wipe out the entire index and everyone who held it.

Re:Boeing cutting more than 12,000 U.S. jobs with thousands ... by Causality1 on Thursday May 28, 2020 @04:10AM (#23334772)
Proportionality. If you own one tenth of one percent of the stock you should have one tenth of one percent of the liability. No liability equals no responsibility equals no integrity. Being an amoral company should be just as likely to end in disaster as being an amoral person.
Re:Boeing cutting more than 12,000 U.S. jobs with thousands ... by lstodd on Thursday May 28, 2020 @04:28AM (#23334867)
Why not? Insurance companies will skim some profit off, is all
Re:Boeing cutting more than 12,000 U.S. jobs with thousands ... by londons_explore on Thursday May 28, 2020 @09:51AM (#23337214)
Imagine some middle manager in some S&P 500 company approves a contract that says:

"Company A agrees to purchase for $1000 each product offered by company B which meet the specifications provided".

And Company B finds that the spec says "A quartz crystal between 1um and 1mm in diameter".

So company B goes and finds a beach, full of sand, calculates there are 1 billion grains of sand in each cubic meter of the beach, and the beach is 50m long, 50m deep, and 50m wide. Total amount is 50 * 50 * 50 * 1 billion * $1000 = $125 quadrillion.

Far more than all the money in the world.

That bankrupts the company, but since there is no liability limit, it bankrupts every other investor. Even if you have 0.0001% of the company, you're still bankrupt.

If you have insurance, the insurance company is bankrupt, and you're still on the hook for whatever remains, which bankrupts you too.

Re:Boeing cutting more than 12,000 U.S. jobs with thousands ... by Causality1 on Thursday May 28, 2020 @10:30AM (#23337707)
What in the world are you on about? I said shareholders should have to personally pay the fines when companies commit crimes.

Edit: ah, I should've been more specific about that. Still, I didn't say anything about the liability being unlimited.

Re:Boeing cutting more than 12,000 U.S. jobs with thousands ... by londons_explore on Thursday May 28, 2020 @10:33AM (#23337754)
> "Were it up to me I'd personalize all liability"

Contractual liability is a thing...

Re:Boeing cutting more than 12,000 U.S. jobs with thousands ... by mpalczewski on Wednesday May 27, 2020 @03:08PM (#23328307)
share holders? The same "passive investors" that are buying an index fund that includes Boeing.

It's not about leverage it's about taking time and figuring out what you are investing in. Everyone wants the free ride of "investing" nobody actually wants to pick stocks by doing research into which companies have sustainable businesses and good governance.

Re:Boeing cutting more than 12,000 U.S. jobs with thousands ... by donavanm on Wednesday May 27, 2020 @10:31PM (#23332774)
Well then it will be really easy for those active fund managers to fleece the naive index rubes, right?
Re:Boeing cutting more than 12,000 U.S. jobs with thousands ... by mpalczewski on Monday June 01, 2020 @06:43PM (#23384933)
Active fund managers are worse, they have a different racket

closet indexing while charging high fees is the most common

starting a bunch of different funds, and then when one of them outperforms by chance, marketing that one as the one is another.

Re:Boeing cutting more than 12,000 U.S. jobs with thousands ... by achillesheels on Wednesday May 27, 2020 @04:01PM (#23329159)
Otherwise known as the "democratic means of production" which can be measured by how many US citizens own equities (almost 50%). And let's not discount the "managerial revolution" that has occurred as management:labor ratios have exploded over time (and noted by the Pulitzer Prize winning The Visible Hand by Alfred D. Chandler, Jr.)
Re:Boeing cutting more than 12,000 U.S. jobs with thousands ... by evandijk70 on Thursday May 28, 2020 @12:38AM (#23333443)
In what way has our society decayed?
Re:Boeing cutting more than 12,000 U.S. jobs with thousands ... by oaiey on Wednesday May 27, 2020 @02:37PM (#23327811)
To the point. Thanks. Modern capitalism is not good for companies, people and society as a whole.
Re:Boeing cutting more than 12,000 U.S. jobs with thousands ... by ALittleLight on Wednesday May 27, 2020 @03:21PM (#23328502)
Which system is better?
Re:Boeing cutting more than 12,000 U.S. jobs with thousands ... by thephyber on Wednesday May 27, 2020 @03:22PM (#23328525)
You say "Modern capitalism" as if there was a different capitalism before it. The system is the same (perhaps more optimized from longer innovation); the culture and the players are different.
Re:Boeing cutting more than 12,000 U.S. jobs with thousands ... by Avicebron on Wednesday May 27, 2020 @03:45PM (#23328897)
I think he's saying that the modern economic shell game that is going on is actively damaging the economic welfare of a large body of people. From my perspective the "modern" part of it has become more extractive than generative. A lot of "innovation" has been to cut as many corners as possible while isolating wealth into fewer and fewer groups.
Re:Boeing cutting more than 12,000 U.S. jobs with thousands ... by jackcosgrove on Wednesday May 27, 2020 @04:16PM (#23329353)
"Modern capitalism" might be better called "managerial capitalism". It is different from entrepreneurial capitalism, which preceded it.

Entrepreneurial capitalism was a constellation of small private enterprises, often family-owned. Managerial capitalism is characterized by the dominance of firms publicly traded on capital markets, and managed by professional managers who are often distinct from the shareholders.

Entrepreneurial capitalism, I believe, better aligns incentives by combining the shareholder and manager role. It also reduces dependence on capital markets, which can become a single point of failure during a financial panic. Lastly entrepreneurial capitalism makes coordination between competitors less likely, whereas such coordination is embraced by the mergers and acquisitions arms of banks in a mangerial capitalist system quite openly.

The only advantage of managerial capitalism is scale. Pooling capital in public markets permits massive economies of scale and their efficiencies.

Re:Boeing cutting more than 12,000 U.S. jobs with thousands ... by netsharc on Wednesday May 27, 2020 @06:50PM (#23331126)
There was capitalism when communism was still a force. That capitalism had to offer something better to workers to keep them from thinking "Maybe communism is better?": https://www.ingentaconnect.com/content/cuny/cp/2020/00000052...

Nowadays, well, you got your Bezos and you got your Uber...

Re:Boeing cutting more than 12,000 U.S. jobs with thousands ... by ken on Wednesday May 27, 2020 @05:02PM (#23329939)
I believe capitalism can work well on a micro-scale when the products are simple enough that consumers can exert perceivable pressure on producers. Make a better hammer? I'll buy a better hammer.

Where modern capitalism falls down is complexity. There's 3 (non-niche) desktop operating systems, for example, and way more than 3 attributes that consumers care about in a computer. Or cars, or TVs, or airplanes, or anything else that costs more than $20. There's simply not enough levers by which consumers can send any meaningful signal through the market to producers. This breaks the Invisible Hand.

Re:Boeing cutting more than 12,000 U.S. jobs with thousands ... by briandear on Wednesday May 27, 2020 @04:50PM (#23329800)
It’s the only system that relies on the willingness of two parties to exchange something of value in a way that it mutually beneficial. Every other system involves the use of force, either explicit or implicit to compel people to act in ways that are contrary to their own interests. Because if it were in their best interest, force wouldn’t be necessary. Capitalism requires a willing buyer and a willing seller. It’s the most free system there is. Inefficiencies obviously can create problems, but in those problems, there are yet infinite possibilities.
Re:Boeing cutting more than 12,000 U.S. jobs with thousands ... by netsharc on Wednesday May 27, 2020 @06:48PM (#23331092)
I'm not willing to go hungry or be homeless. What if my interest is art or playing video games all day, but then I'd be hungry and homeless. So I'm forced to work.
Re:Boeing cutting more than 12,000 U.S. jobs with thousands ... by ShhhDontTell on Thursday May 28, 2020 @02:07AM (#23333964)
You're forced to work in other systems, too. I don't see your point. Unless you want UBI to be high enough that you needn't work?