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A comment on Facebook executives shut down efforts to make the site less divisive. Parent comment

Re:Facebook executives shut down efforts to make the site le... by whatever1 on Tuesday May 26, 2020 @02:11PM (#23314489)
You cannot have it both ways. First you claim that no one spoke up and then you dismiss the ones who did as alarmists
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Re:Facebook executives shut down efforts to make the site le... by nickff on Tuesday May 26, 2020 @02:24PM (#23314662)
If someone does not make specific and testable predictions which turn out to be right, they are useless alarmists. If you want to read about how to assess predictors (and improve predictions), I suggest you read: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Superforecasting:_The_Art_and_...
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Re:Facebook executives shut down efforts to make the site le... by anigbrowl on Tuesday May 26, 2020 @05:46PM (#23316812)
I'm a very good forecaster, and skill in this area doesn't stem from reflexive dismissal or ability to deploy fallacious counter-arguments.
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Re:Facebook executives shut down efforts to make the site le... by nickff on Tuesday May 26, 2020 @06:11PM (#23317029)
Would you please point out the fallacy?
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Re:Facebook executives shut down efforts to make the site le... by anigbrowl on Tuesday May 26, 2020 @10:06PM (#23318663)
Bifurcation
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Re:Facebook executives shut down efforts to make the site le... by nickff on Tuesday May 26, 2020 @10:44PM (#23318869)
I did not present a false choice between two options, I only defined what an alarmist is. I regard alarmists as an extreme on the spectrum of forecasters.

Bifurcating would have been saying that everyone is either a superforecaster or an alarmist, and I never said that.

You may not agree with me, but that doesn't mean that I fell into a logical fallacy.

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Re:Facebook executives shut down efforts to make the site le... by anigbrowl on Wednesday May 27, 2020 @02:18PM (#23327498)
If someone does not make specific and testable predictions which turn out to be right, they are useless alarmists.

This conversation doesn't seem like it's going to go anywhere productive.

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