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Re:London may have gone into a Covid-accelerated decline by goatinaboat on Saturday May 23, 2020 @06:04PM (#23286953)
There is a lot of pent up health care need building up. Some of it lethal.

The impact of the lockdown is going to be 10-100x that of coronavirus itself. No healthcare system is prepared for it.

Re:London may have gone into a Covid-accelerated decline by BurningFrog on Saturday May 23, 2020 @08:44PM (#23288059)
I agree the lockdown(s) have a real, destructive impact that has to be acknowledged and weighed.

But you blew it with those crazy numbers..

Re:London may have gone into a Covid-accelerated decline by redisman on Saturday May 23, 2020 @06:49PM (#23287299)
How would the hospital load look like in the US today without lockdowns?
Re:London may have gone into a Covid-accelerated decline by ls612 on Saturday May 23, 2020 @07:34PM (#23287609)
In New York? They’d be fucked. In most of the rest of the country? Simply canceling sporting events, concerts, conventions, and other mass gatherings would probably have been enough. Even the CDC is now saying surface transmission is highly unlikely and that the aforementioned superspreading events were disproportionately responsible for the early exponential growth,
Re:London may have gone into a Covid-accelerated decline by ceejayoz on Saturday May 23, 2020 @07:50PM (#23287720)
You don’t need a giant gathering to have a potential superspreading event.

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/may/23/missouri-hai...

Re:London may have gone into a Covid-accelerated decline by macintux on Saturday May 23, 2020 @08:05PM (#23287820)
So a disease that’s easily on its way to being the number 3 or 4 killer in the U.S. this year is going to be outweighed by...what, exactly?
Re:London may have gone into a Covid-accelerated decline by goatinaboat on Sunday May 24, 2020 @03:06AM (#23289744)
Re:London may have gone into a Covid-accelerated decline by macintux on Sunday May 24, 2020 @06:57AM (#23290687)
75,000 potential suicides is terrible, but that’s about two orders of magnitude fewer than a reasonable worst case for the virus.

Addendum: and we have financial tools to deal with the economic stress. We don’t have much in the way of treatment for the virus yet.

The fact that we’re not throwing money at the unemployed is a crime.