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Re:America is stuck at home, but food-delivery companies sti... by aripickar on Wednesday May 13, 2020 @05:27PM (#23172030)
Most people railing against "fake markets" haven't considered the fact. Grubhub has long been profitable, same with Seamless. People still think that their uber rides are being subsidized on every ride, but uber now makes profit on every ride (at least in the us, not sure about abroad).

For some reason, theres this streak on HN of people that think that VC's are just complete idiots, and are completely just pissing away money.

Re:America is stuck at home, but food-delivery companies sti... by code4tee on Wednesday May 13, 2020 @06:13PM (#23172437)
The whole “Uber makes a profit on the ride” stat is broadly just creative accounting that counts the revenue and ignores most of the costs including the huge back office operation to build and support the app, marketing, admin, etc etc.

Yes it’s good that they charge the customer more than they pay the driver, but that doesn’t translate into a “profitable transaction” from a business standpoint. If it takes $X millions in engineering costs to build and maintain an app required for that ride to have occurred then one needs to prorate that cost across each ride as a cost and so on. There are lots of examples of these creative “our transactions are profitable” claims like WeWork’s much ridiculed “Community Adjusted EBITDA” metric.

The fancier your metrics need to be to show you are “profitable” the bigger the red flag should be that all is not well in Oz.

Re:America is stuck at home, but food-delivery companies sti... by Skunkleton on Wednesday May 13, 2020 @05:50PM (#23172241)
I personally don't have the data to support or refute the "fake market" claim. I would point out however that it is not enough to be cash-flow positive for individual transactions. Sure Uber now makes money on every ride, is the business as a whole poised to make money? Will that be stable in light of likely regulations?

Like I said, I don't know. I don't think the questions can be dismissed just by assuming that VCs know what they are doing.

Edit: I went and looked at GrubHubs 2019 Q4 results [1]. They operated at a $30M loss. Most of the expenses were "operations" related. I'm not sure if that includes engineering, but I guess it doesn't.

[1] https://investors.grubhub.com/investors/press-releases/press...

Re:America is stuck at home, but food-delivery companies sti... by s1artibartfast on Wednesday May 13, 2020 @07:36PM (#23173178)
That is why I said until 2019 in the parent thread. I suspect losses in 2019 were related to increased competition from UBER EATs, Ect. Net income for prior years were:

2019: -18M

2018: +78M

2017: +99M

2016: +49M

2015: +38M

2014: +24M

2013: +7M

2012: +8M

2011: +15M

Re:America is stuck at home, but food-delivery companies sti... by john_moscow on Wednesday May 13, 2020 @06:00PM (#23172335)
>For some reason, theres this streak on HN of people that think that VC's are just complete idiots, and are completely just pissing away money.

They are not. But they are banking on the general public to buy shares without scrutinizing the business sustainability and be left holding the bag.

Re:America is stuck at home, but food-delivery companies sti... by adventured on Wednesday May 13, 2020 @09:24PM (#23174095)
Which bags were the public left holding? There have been a lot of very easy wins for investors picking up VC-backed companies in the public market. If all you did is just spray around some diversification at prominent tech IPOs, you've done extraordinarily well over time.

Since IPO:

Shopify? $28 to $754

ServiceNow? $25 to $361

Alibaba? $93 to $199

Splunk? $36 to $149

DocuSign? $39 to $119

Teladoc? $28 to $188

Atlassian? $27 to $175

MongoDB? $30 to $194

Square? $12 to $73

Twilio? $26 to $187

Workday? $48 to $153

Veeva? $44 to $195

Zoom? $62 to $167

Facebook? $38 to $205

Palo Alto Networks? $53 to $215

Okta? $23 to $177

Wix? $17 to $166

Wayfair? $32 to $183

The Trade Desk? $27 to $292

Coupa? $29 to $205

RingCentral? $18 to $283

Zendesk? $15 to $73

Zscaler? $33 to $75

PayPal? $34 to $143

CyberArk? $30 to $96

Proofpoint? $13 to $115

Qualys? $13 to $101

Smartsheet? $19 to $52

JD.com? $20 to $47

Anaplan? $24 to $40

Zillow? $26 to $46

Roku? $26 to $117

Or more recently:

CrowdStrike? $58 to $76

Cloudflare? $18 to $27

Fastly? $24 to $36

Maybe they're holding one of the older bags.

Fortinet? $8 to $137

Tesla? $20 to $790

Salesforce? $4 to $169

Baidu? $8 to $95

Netflix? $1 to $438

Google? $50 to $1,349

Oh the horror.

Re:America is stuck at home, but food-delivery companies sti... by grogenaut on Wednesday May 13, 2020 @11:26PM (#23174932)
Groupon, Singulex, etc. you're survivor biasing on those who actually did well.
Re:America is stuck at home, but food-delivery companies sti... by ggm on Wednesday May 13, 2020 @11:48PM (#23175058)
Several of these sucked the lifeblood out of other income streams, which is just money redistributed not value added.

Several broke regulated public utility or near utility functions like housing and transport.

Some are just scofflaws (uber, Airbnb)

Many are extra territorial trans national tax avoidance

These left and right columns distort the actual net effect on the economy.

Sure: my pension fund will be in all of them

Re:America is stuck at home, but food-delivery companies sti... by s1artibartfast on Thursday May 14, 2020 @02:48AM (#23176220)
All of that may or may not be true, but the claim was that VCs pumped and dumped the companies on hapless investors, which clearly isn't the case.
Re:America is stuck at home, but food-delivery companies sti... by novia on Wednesday May 13, 2020 @09:33PM (#23174161)
blue apron?
Re:America is stuck at home, but food-delivery companies sti... by pbourke on Wednesday May 13, 2020 @06:53PM (#23172795)
> For some reason, theres this streak on HN of people that think that VC's are just complete idiots, and are completely just pissing away money.

Some of us think they're hypebeasts in search of a greater fool.

Re:America is stuck at home, but food-delivery companies sti... by SkyMarshal on Wednesday May 13, 2020 @06:19PM (#23172495)
> For some reason, theres this streak on HN of people that think that VC's are just complete idiots, and are completely just pissing away money.

Well sometimes they are, sometimes they aren't. Softbank Vision Fund justifies at least questioning some VC strategies.