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Re:James Damore and three others end Google suit by TA0x0 on Monday May 11, 2020 @10:57PM (#23150128)
Phrenology and hysteria are not facts, and their interpretations are not facts either.

Some facts are not open to interpretation.

Re:James Damore and three others end Google suit by shadowgovt on Tuesday May 12, 2020 @08:36AM (#23153259)
They were definitely understood to be facts at the time people believed them.
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Re:James Damore and three others end Google suit by shadowgovt on Wednesday May 13, 2020 @04:02PM (#23171161)
Quite possibly, if one shows one's work on how one arrived at that statement (statistics can be bloody slippery things, and while individual data points are facts, the analysis, interpretation, and summarization of them starts to wander away from "fact," especially when one begins to do curve fitting or assumptions about population distributions).

And if one runs with that fact alone and tries to build behaviors on it, one's likely to fall into a similar trap to the one the phrenologists fell into: assuming that a single fact is descriptive enough of the world to dictate theory or practice.

Re:James Damore and three others end Google suit by TA0x0 on Wednesday May 13, 2020 @04:27PM (#23171438)
>Quite possibly, if one shows one's work on how one arrived at that statement (statistics can be bloody slippery things, and while individual data points are facts, the analysis, interpretation, and summarization of them starts to wander away from "fact," especially when one begins to do curve fitting or assumptions about population distributions).

Any and every statistical study ever done on race and crime supports the FACT stated above. Per capita, it's an indisputable fact that they commit more violent crimes, raw numbers alone, no curve fitting or extrapolation.

>And if one runs with that fact alone and tries to build behaviors on it, one's likely to fall into a similar trap to the one the phrenologists fell into: assuming that a single fact is descriptive enough of the world to dictate theory or practice.

Which brings us back to my original statement. Are facts racist and sexist?

Re:James Damore and three others end Google suit by shadowgovt on Wednesday May 13, 2020 @04:36PM (#23171557)
History shows interpretation of facts can be extremely racist and sexist.
Re:James Damore and three others end Google suit by TA0x0 on Wednesday May 13, 2020 @04:51PM (#23171687)
Interpretations are not facts.

There are some facts, like the one I listed above, that are not open to interpretation.

Re:James Damore and three others end Google suit by shadowgovt on Wednesday May 13, 2020 @04:54PM (#23171731)
"Water at standard atmospheric pressure boils at 100 degrees C and freezes at 0 degrees C" is not open to interpretation.

Making a terse sociological claim from statistics is almost always open to interpretation. Statistics is the science of interpreting discrete data points, looking for patterns and relations. Lies, damn lies, and all that. The only thing that stands alone without interpretation in statistics is the input data itself, and that tells us nothing.

I suspect that for the specific claim you've made, the evidence supports the claim, but I'd want to see whether they've controlled for conflating the definition of "crimes committed" with "charged with crimes" or "convicted of crimes" to be certain. Or whether the statistics are using the Bayesian or frequentist approach (after all, the claim being made is "are more likely," and that always assumes a giant pile of unstated priors). Or or or, etc.

Even still, whether the statistical claim being made is fact is uninteresting. If one assumes it's fact, the interesting question is "What do you do with it?" In isolation, with that one fact? Nothing. It's not nearly enough info to form theory or policy. Which is why my original response to your original post was about interpretation, not fact. Interpretation is where things get interesting. Facts without interpretation are dead as rocks.

Re:James Damore and three others end Google suit by TA0x0 on Wednesday May 13, 2020 @05:31PM (#23172068)
>Making a terse sociological claim from statistics is almost always open to interpretation.

Almost, but in specific cases like above, it is not open to interpretation. It's a raw fact.

>Statistics is the science of interpreting discrete data points, looking for patterns and relations.

And organizing and presenting discrete data, without interpolation.

>The only thing that stands alone without interpretation in statistics is the input data itself, and that tells us nothing.

Wrong. Basic presentation without interpolation is a core pillar of statistics.

>I suspect that for the specific claim you've made, the evidence supports the claim, but I'd want to see whether they've controlled for conflating the definition of "crimes committed" with "charged with crimes" or "convicted of crimes" to be certain.

Even with controlling, African Americans are charged, commit, and are convicted of more crimes than Asian Americans.

>Or whether the statistics are using the Bayesian or frequentist approach (after all, the claim being made is "are more likely," and that always assumes a giant pile of unstated priors).

None of the above, just basic summary statistics.

>Even still, whether the statistical claim being made is fact is uninteresting. If one assumes it's fact, the interesting question is "What do you do with it?"

It's super interesting, considering what the OP asked.

>Nothing. It's not nearly enough info to form theory or policy.

It's more than enough info to form theory, and possibly policy.

>Which is why my original response to your original post was about interpretation, not fact.

And what I've stated above is fact, not interpretation. Back to square one.

>Interpretation is where things get interesting. Facts without interpretation are dead as rocks.

Wrong. Facts without interpretation are as alive as can be, and stand on their own.

Re:James Damore and three others end Google suit by shadowgovt on Wednesday May 13, 2020 @05:33PM (#23172083)
> It's more than enough info to form theory, and possibly policy.

Can you give an example? What kind of policy would you form around that statistic?

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Re:James Damore and three others end Google suit by shadowgovt on Wednesday May 13, 2020 @06:48PM (#23172758)
Yeah, that's exactly why that's not enough data to put together policy. You might as well measure bumps on people's heads to predict whether they want anti-violence funding; you'll have about as much luck as you will chasing it after skin color or "manifestations in African American culture that breeds violence" (what does that even mean?).
Re:James Damore and three others end Google suit by TA0x0 on Wednesday May 13, 2020 @06:58PM (#23172858)
>Yeah, that's exactly why that's not enough data to put together policy.

Except it is, and I just proved it above.

>You might as well measure bumps on people's heads to predict whether they want anti-violence funding

Bumps on people's heads have nothing to do with violence. This is a non sequitur.

>you'll have about as much luck as you will chasing it after skin color

That makes no sense. The fact that the group is more violent is not open to interpretation, or "chasing", as I proved above.

>manifestations in African American culture that breeds violence" (what does that even mean?).

https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/manifestation

Re:James Damore and three others end Google suit by shadowgovt on Wednesday May 13, 2020 @07:04PM (#23172900)
> Bumps on people's heads have nothing to do with violence. This is a non sequitur.

I submit to you it's exactly as irrelevant as skin color. I submit to you if you take the population that you have described, change only the category from "African American" to another category and nothing else, and kept the same population of people with no other parameters changed, you would not see a change in the violence rate.

Believing that measurable correlation implies causation is one of the major failings that I see often encouraged in the computer science space. It underpins some of the greatest failings of machine learning.

You made claims about population and then claims about interventions that suggest that the population membership is causal. What if the causal issue is poverty? Poverty in the United States is so deeply correlated with being a member of a racial category that it is extremely hard to disambiguate effects that show up in race from effects that show up in income and asset levels. This is what I mean when I say lies, damn lies, and statistics.

Because if the cause is poverty and not "African American culture," then violence interventions for African Americans are like "get your energy level up" interventions for people who are starving. You'll waste good money treating the wrong problem. You'll also miss people that also have the same problem but don't get any intervention because they don't fit the poorly-defined template.

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Re:James Damore and three others end Google suit by shadowgovt on Wednesday May 13, 2020 @08:49PM (#23173809)
The reasoning presented in this thread is pretty representative of the thought processes Damore laid out in his memo.

Which is pretty indicative of why he was fired.

Re:James Damore and three others end Google suit by TA0x0 on Thursday May 14, 2020 @12:00AM (#23175122)
>The reasoning presented in this thread is pretty representative of the thought processes Damore laid out in his memo.

Logical, rational, built from facts. The thought process used by a Harvard grad, MIT research scientist.

>Which is pretty indicative of why he was fired.

"They hated him because he told the truth."

Re:James Damore and three others end Google suit by shadowgovt on Thursday May 14, 2020 @12:17AM (#23175223)
"Told the truth." LOL. Yep, the kind of truth that got him fired with cause so hard the NLRB wouldn't go to bat for him.

Apparently, being a Harvard grad, MIT research scientist doesn't guarantee an understanding of how not to get fired. Oh well. Google can always replace him with another Harvard grad, MIT research scientist with a better ability to play well with others. That's the perk of being Google; you don't have to tolerate the semi-productive smart kid who alienates his co-workers with "facts" he thinks he understands but doesn't. :-p

Re:James Damore and three others end Google suit by dang on Saturday May 16, 2020 @01:50PM (#23205585)
Would you please not feed flamewars on this site by replying? What a train wreck.

https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html

Re:James Damore and three others end Google suit by Gibbon1 on Thursday May 14, 2020 @12:36AM (#23175351)
That's been my general thought. Legally a company can fire you for any reason except the ones they aren't allowed too. Trying to undermine a companies diversity policies on a company owned channel when said company already has public problem with diversity, good way to get 86'd.
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Re:James Damore and three others end Google suit by dang on Saturday May 16, 2020 @01:46PM (#23205542)
You've been breaking the site guidelines by using HN for flamewar and ideological battle, and even personal attack. We ban accounts that do that—it's not what HN is for, and it destroys the curious conversation that HN is for.

If you wouldn't mind reviewing https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html and sticking to the rules when posting here, we'd be grateful.

p.s. I've banned https://news.ycombinator.com/user?id=TA0X2. It's not ok to use multiple accounts to get around rate limits and whatnot, so please don't do that.