San Francisco emerged from a lockdown too soon during the 1918 Spanish flu

Re:San Francisco emerged from a lockdown too soon during the... by DanBC on Saturday April 25, 2020 @11:14AM (#22978721)

> The point the parent was making is that young people don't seem to need hospital care.

Low risk doesn't mean no risk, and we see plenty of younger people in hospital, and in intensive care, because of covid-19.

ICNARC has a report that they update over time using data from UK intensive care units. https://www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports

https://www.icnarc.org/DataServices/Attachments/Download/c5a...

Age at admission (years), number of people discharged alive (%), number of people died (%)

  16-39     240 (78.4)     66 (21.6)
  40-49     350 (73.2)    128 (26.8)
  50-59     568 (57.0)    429 (43.0)
  60-69     503 (41.8)    701 (58.2)
  70-79     293 (32.2)    617 (67.8)
     80+     57 (31.3)    125 (68.7)

Once admitted to ICU people aged 16-39 have a 21.6% chance of dying vs a 78.4% chance of being discharged alive.

[ Parent | on HN ]

Re:San Francisco emerged from a lockdown too soon during the... by techslave on Saturday April 25, 2020 @12:02PM (#22979048)

bad use of statistics. if gp is to be believed, once in ICU you are already in the 0.x %. the question then is, are you in the 0.1 or 99.9.

[ Parent | on HN ]