Re:Coronavirus patients start to overwhelm US hospitals
by 49para on Thursday March 26, 2020 @11:29AM
(#22694500)
Even the death numbers are going to be off. Lot of deaths either were attributed to the ultimate cause (i.e. heart attack) or happened at home and haven't been attributed to covid as of yet.
Re:Coronavirus patients start to overwhelm US hospitals
by thu2111 on Thursday March 26, 2020 @02:32PM
(#22696432)
No, it's the other way around. Normally deaths would be specifically linked to e.g. the flu, but in this case, all deaths are being tested for COVID-19 and mostly assigned with that as the 'cause' even if there were other causes like heart failure.
There was an article in the Spectator today where a doctor made that point: that this disease has been made a 'notifiable disease' whereas a normal flu wouldn't be, meaning each death gets tested and reported up to the government if positive, whereas for other types of coronavirus the death would just be marked as pneumonia, for example. The data isn't being treated consistently.
Re:Coronavirus patients start to overwhelm US hospitals
by brenden2 on Thursday March 26, 2020 @11:01AM
(#22694179)
They're bad, but if you put it into the context of normal daily life it's not that crazy. Check out the CDC stats[1] yourself. On average there are about ~1700 deaths per day from heart disease alone in the US, according to the CDC data.
Re:Coronavirus patients start to overwhelm US hospitals
by ceejayoz on Thursday March 26, 2020 @11:03AM
(#22694197)
If heart disease deaths were contagious and increasing by 33% daily, that'd be a great point.
Re:Coronavirus patients start to overwhelm US hospitals
by Symmetry on Thursday March 26, 2020 @11:04AM
(#22694212)
If the number of heart disease deaths doubled every 3 days I would take heart disease much more seriously than I do now.
Re:Coronavirus patients start to overwhelm US hospitals
by daveFNbuck on Thursday March 26, 2020 @11:03AM
(#22694196)
None of those other numbers are doubling every three days.
Re:Coronavirus patients start to overwhelm US hospitals
by sp332 on Thursday March 26, 2020 @11:08AM
(#22694256)
And now that number is going to go up because medical care is less available.
Re:Coronavirus patients start to overwhelm US hospitals
by 49para on Thursday March 26, 2020 @11:31AM
(#22694519)
Those numbers are going to go up if your hospitals are overwhelmed.
Additionally, a very large percentage of health care workers will catch the virus, this will further reduce the amount of capacity.
Loss of health care workers could be a long term issue as well given the CFR in a place like Italy.
Other hard data takes time to collect and will only be reliable once the disaster has swept through.