Again, doesn't take a genius.
nothing more complicated than that.
However, China lied about human transmissibility of the virus until Jan 20.
They lied about where the virus came from including lying that it was an American invention.
They also did not count pneumonia deaths caused by the virus: https://www.wsj.com/articles/relatives-wonder-whether-pneumo...
They have also kicked out american media so there are no independent fact checkers on the ground.
Their official death rate is also lower than every other country's.
Thus, the null hypothesis is that china is lying, like they always do. A claim that they are not lying would need to be supported by evidence. Otherwise this is just the fallacy of an appeal to authority.
China sees drop in new coronavirus cases; all new cases imported, March 22
https://www.reddit.com/r/China/comments/fmz3d6/while_china_c...
Translated: On March 20th, A local community management issued a notice, stating that one of the unit has 2 patient found, the unit will be sealed and no one is allowed to enter or exit.
It essentaily means that they are starving to death in the room.
Don’t trust the Chinese government’s propaganda
Do you see what I mean about seeming like a conspiracy theory? Heinlein's Red-baiting about Soviet cosmonauts unpersoned when their early space capsules failed and stranded them, despite being nonsense, had at least the virtue of originality. But that was over half a century ago. I'd like to hope our standards have risen in the interim.
Stop with the unfounded speculation and fearmongering.
Perhaps you'd like to do so. If not, consider that this is a singularly bad time to be spreading misinformation, no matter how plausible you may find it. People are already frightened enough.