New York Governor announces 100% workforce reduction for non-essential services

Re:New York Governor announces 100% workforce reduction for ... by umanwizard on Friday March 20, 2020 @05:14PM (#22641722)

Assume that everyone who has it spreads it to 2 people on average before dying or recovering. If one of the 2 people you would have spread it to is immune, you will only spread it to 1 person instead, and the total number of infected will not rise.

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Re:New York Governor announces 100% workforce reduction for ... by baobabKoodaa on Friday March 20, 2020 @09:39PM (#22643502)

Huh? If you spread it to 1 person, then the total number of people who have been infected will rise by 1.

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Re:New York Governor announces 100% workforce reduction for ... by umanwizard on Friday March 20, 2020 @10:46PM (#22643863)

I mean the total number of people sick at any given time, not the total number of people who have ever been infected.

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Re:New York Governor announces 100% workforce reduction for ... by baobabKoodaa on Saturday March 21, 2020 @10:20AM (#22646644)

The parent poster asked "Why would we only expect half the world to get it?". It sounds like your answer to that is "no no, almost everybody will get it, they'll just get it at different times".

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Re:New York Governor announces 100% workforce reduction for ... by umanwizard on Saturday March 21, 2020 @11:15AM (#22647046)

If the effective transmission rate is 1, yes, more people will get it, and then the effective rate will go below 1, and you enter exponential decay.

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