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A comment on California governor issues statewide 'stay at home' order. Parent comment
Yes you want to get sick, but the old fashion way. The way I think of it - if we get sick with healthcare services or without.
With healthcare services intact, I likely won’t know anyone who does from covid-19 (1/200, 50% infection rate, 1% fatality).
Without healthcare services I’m likely to know at least one person who’s died. (1/20, 50% infection rate, 10% fatality).
The more we flatten the smaller the denominator.
Nitpick: bigger (20 -> 200).
Yes you want to get sick, but the old fashion way. The way I think of it - if we get sick with healthcare services or without.
With healthcare services intact, I likely won’t know anyone who does from covid-19 (1/200, 50% infection rate, 1% fatality).
Without healthcare services I’m likely to know at least one person who’s died. (1/20, 50% infection rate, 10% fatality).
The more we flatten the smaller the denominator.