Re:Show HN: Covid-19 Interactive Model
by nbnoll on Thursday March 19, 2020 @03:28PM
(#22630756)
Not enough that I would feel confident publically stating. I think our best hope for accurate calibration would be to fit the data as it comes out (hence why we are focusing our efforts here) or to do a post-hoc analysis of a few examples, e.g. Wuhan vs South Korea. I'll note that mitigation effects will be best measured as a reduction in exponential growth.
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