> By comparison, the U.S. still has time now before the curve shot straight up to the max
How much time do you think there is? Until recently there have been very little testing, so we don't even know where the US is on the curve.
Even if we assume it's early, that's still just a couple of weeks if time.
Re:The hard part of the economics of Covid-19
by bad_user on Monday March 16, 2020 @06:50PM
(#22599054)
The US, like most other countries, is only a couple of days behind Italy.
Italy had 100 total cases only ~20 days ago.
The problem with this virus is that it goes from 1 case to hell in only a couple of weeks. If you already have 100 confirmed cases, it's too late to stop what's coming.
Re:The hard part of the economics of Covid-19
by aksss on Tuesday March 17, 2020 @03:11AM
(#22602508)
So conversely if US hasn’t gone to hell in a couple weeks, it indicates we’ve been doing something right?
Re:The hard part of the economics of Covid-19
by bad_user on Tuesday March 17, 2020 @04:11AM
(#22602789)
Sadly that's not a possibility.
According to mathematical models the capacity of your hospitals will be exceeded by more than 30 times.
Give it another week or two.
https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/s...
Re:The hard part of the economics of Covid-19
by bad_user on Thursday March 26, 2020 @03:28AM
(#22691347)
As a follow-up to this message, we're now 9 days later and New York is overwhelmed, predicted to run out of intensive-care beds tomorrow, with other states quickly following.
If our testing infrastructure is in place to get correct counts, yes. Countries can be "graded" based on their trajectory on this graph:
https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus#trajectories-since-th...
True. But those are being done after the fact. It's too late already for Italy. By comparison, the U.S. still has time now before the curve shot straight up to the max - then no amount of measures are going to be able to keep up with the viral infection rate (and death counts)