The hard part of the economics of Covid-19

Re:The hard part of the economics of Covid-19 by bad_user on Monday March 16, 2020 @06:50PM (#22599054)

The US, like most other countries, is only a couple of days behind Italy.

Italy had 100 total cases only ~20 days ago.

The problem with this virus is that it goes from 1 case to hell in only a couple of weeks. If you already have 100 confirmed cases, it's too late to stop what's coming.

[ Parent | on HN ]

Re:The hard part of the economics of Covid-19 by aksss on Tuesday March 17, 2020 @03:11AM (#22602508)

So conversely if US hasn’t gone to hell in a couple weeks, it indicates we’ve been doing something right?

[ Parent | on HN ]

Re:The hard part of the economics of Covid-19 by bad_user on Tuesday March 17, 2020 @04:11AM (#22602789)

Sadly that's not a possibility.

According to mathematical models the capacity of your hospitals will be exceeded by more than 30 times.

Give it another week or two.

https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/s...

[ Parent | on HN ]

Re:The hard part of the economics of Covid-19 by bad_user on Thursday March 26, 2020 @03:28AM (#22691347)

As a follow-up to this message, we're now 9 days later and New York is overwhelmed, predicted to run out of intensive-care beds tomorrow, with other states quickly following.

[ Parent | on HN ]

Re:The hard part of the economics of Covid-19 by fyp on Tuesday March 17, 2020 @08:24AM (#22604181)

If our testing infrastructure is in place to get correct counts, yes. Countries can be "graded" based on their trajectory on this graph:

https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus#trajectories-since-th...

[ Parent | on HN ]