Re:Ask HN: Is UK government insane or genius?
by csomar on Saturday March 14, 2020 @07:41PM
(#22579658)
> We don’t know if it’s actually under control without more systematic testing and therefore data on infection rates.
Death and Active cases are a good measure. Both of these are under control in SK vs. still growing in Italy/Spain.
The other issue is that of getting the leak at the wrong time. If the UK manages to partly control it, but then realises containment will fail in say November, the peak will occur at the worst possible time in winter.
By controlling the spread and aiming for summer, best medical care can be achieved given limited resources.
This logic is not true for equatorial countries such as Singapore due a lessened seasonal effect, so they should continue with their current Methodology. I suspect others will move to the UK approach once initial social distancing process inadequate (assuming they are that is).