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A comment on Covid-19 update and guidance to limit spread. Parent comment

Re:Covid-19 update and guidance to limit spread by zaroth on Tuesday March 10, 2020 @05:17PM (#22539800)
The bit of good news which isn't entirely clear from a log-scale chart of total number of cases, is that today's number of new cases in Italy is down significantly.

New Cases: [1]

   March 6  - 640
   March 7  - 1145
   March 8  - 2314
   March 9  - 1797
   March 10 - 977
Alternative Data Source: [2]

   March 6  - 640
   March 7  - 1145
   March 8  - 1326
   March 9  - 1598
   March 10 - 529
In perhaps two more days we can say definitively that growth rate has peaked in Italy.

[1] - Direct from daily government reports - e.g. http://www.salute.gov.it/portale/news/p3_2_1_1_1.jsp?lingua=...

[2] - http://opendatadpc.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.h...

[ Parent | on HN ]
Re:Covid-19 update and guidance to limit spread by TeMPOraL on Tuesday March 10, 2020 @05:20PM (#22539839)
Lombardy wasn't counted in yet. Wait for tomorrow update.

Source: https://old.reddit.com/r/Coronavirus/comments/fgh9v4/italy_r... and https://old.reddit.com/r/Coronavirus/comments/fgh9v4/italy_r....

[ Parent | on HN ]
Re:Covid-19 update and guidance to limit spread by zaroth on Tuesday March 10, 2020 @05:29PM (#22539924)
This shows at least some increase from Lombardy...?

http://www.salute.gov.it/imgs/C_17_pagineAree_5351_4_file.pd...

vs. yesterday

http://www.salute.gov.it/imgs/C_17_pagineAree_5351_2_file.pd...

And the day before...

http://www.salute.gov.it/imgs/C_17_pagineAree_5351_0_file.pd...

The drop in new Lombardy cases is precipitous, I agree, we'll know for sure in a couple days.

[ Parent | on HN ]
Re:Covid-19 update and guidance to limit spread by TeMPOraL on Tuesday March 10, 2020 @05:32PM (#22539952)
The comments I quoted say that today's Lombardy update is partial - deaths are counted in, but total cases not yet. That's apparently as of 3-4 hours ago, told in the Italian TV just after the numbers report.

I.e. the first PDF you link doesn't have complete numbers per official government admission.

[ Parent | on HN ]
Re:Covid-19 update and guidance to limit spread by jacquesm on Thursday March 12, 2020 @09:26AM (#22556539)
Meanwhile, back in the real world where data can be noisy:

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/italy/

[ Parent | on HN ]