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Re:Apollo 11 Guidance Computer vs. USB-C Chargers by jedberg on Friday February 07, 2020 @12:13AM (#22263410)
And despite the fact that a wall charger has more compute power than the Saturn V, we can't actually go to the moon today.

We've actually lost the ability to go. No one understands how the engines on the Saturn V work anymore. It would take years to tear them apart and analyze them, and most of the original engineers are dead.

And the guidance systems would have to be built back up from scratch.

Kind of sad if you think about it.

Re:Apollo 11 Guidance Computer vs. USB-C Chargers by giantrobot on Friday February 07, 2020 @05:45PM (#22271953)
None of that is true. It's really annoying to see it repeated. It's even been covered on HN https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=7304188 before.

There are parts of the F-1 engine that would be difficult to exactly replicate because while the engineering specs are known the exact fabrication processes weren't all documented. An exact workalike could be made for those parts that fit the specification without a problem. That new engine would need to be entirely requalified for use.

The F-1 is big and expensive and rebuilding them has long been outside of NASA's budget. If they were going to rebuild the F-1 it would be the same expense and effort to just design an entirely new engine.

This is why, for instance, the SLS is using the SSME as its first stage engines. It's a known system with a long and successful (the engine itself) flight history. It's been iterated upon and is well understood.

The design philosophy of rockets has also changed from the 60s when the Saturn was designed. Solid fuel boosters were not considered useful for Saturn but have been proven since then and have a long flight history. There's also the SpaceX/Soyuz model of an array of smaller/simpler engines. A small number of monster engines is just not needed like it was for Saturn.

The expense of the F-1 and the lack of real need has kept NASA from using them, not some loss of technology. The guidance systems...are a long long solved technology. Modern guidance systems are better than the Apollo and Saturn systems by orders of magnitude. They're far smaller which allows redundancy and still lower weight than old systems.

Since Saturn NASA has launched successful probes to every planet in the solar system and several dwarf-planets, landed several extremely long lived rovers on Mars, launched hundreds of satellites, over a hundred Shuttle missions, and assembled one of the most complex machines ever in orbit.

What's sad is the mistaken belief that Apollo was some pinnacle of capability and technological prowess for NASA.

Re:Apollo 11 Guidance Computer vs. USB-C Chargers by m4rtink on Friday February 07, 2020 @07:21PM (#22272647)
Actually, a solid fueled Saturn V first stage was considered with multiple prototypes built and fired:

"The largest solid rocket motors ever built were Aerojet's three 260 inch monolithic solid motors cast in Florida.[18] Motors 260 SL-1 and SL-2 were 261 inches in diameter, 80 ft 8in long, weighed 1,858,300 pounds and had a maximum thrust of 3.5M pounds. Burn duration was two minutes. The nozzle throat was large enough to walk through standing up. The motor was capable of serving as a 1-to-1 replacement for the 8-engine Saturn 1 liquid-propellant first stage but was never used as such. Motor 260 SL-3 was of similar length and weight but had a maximum 5.4M pounds thrust and a shorter duration."

and

"Between Sept. 25, 1965 and June 17, 1967, three static test firings [of the AJ-260 rocket] were done. SL-1 was fired at night, and the flame was clearly visible from Miami 50 km away, producing over 3 million pounds of thrust. SL-2 was fired with similar success and relatively uneventful. SL-3, the third and what would be the final test rocket, used a partially submerged nozzle and produced 2,670,000 kgf thrust, making it the largest solid-fuel rocket ever."

For more see: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aerojet#Florida_facility_and...

Re:Apollo 11 Guidance Computer vs. USB-C Chargers by ghaff on Friday February 07, 2020 @02:51PM (#22270115)
>No one understands how the engines on the Saturn V work anymore.

That's not really true [1]. Although the project is dead AFAIK a fair bit of work went into reviving the F-1 engine in the early 2010s.

>And the guidance systems would have to be built back up from scratch.

As with many things, you can't easily replicate complex old artifacts because you don't even have the tools to make the tools to make the tools... No, we couldn't build an Apollo Guidance Computer today. I doubt you could easily get things like rope core memory or just about any of the components. But you wouldn't want to anyway. (The guidance computer would probably be the least of your challenges; this is a pretty well-understood technology and the company that made it is even still around.)

[1] https://www.thespacereview.com/article/3724/1

Re:Apollo 11 Guidance Computer vs. USB-C Chargers by segfaultbuserr on Friday February 07, 2020 @04:29PM (#22271157)
> I doubt you could easily get things like rope core memory or just about any of the components.

"Any of the components" is an exaggeration. For example, bipolar transistors are still here, here's the schematics [0] of the switched-mode power supply in the AGC - still perfectly understandable, rebuilding it can a fun weekend project. Also, discrete NOR gates are still around, although the underlying technology is different.

> As with many things, you can't easily replicate complex old artifacts because you don't even have the tools to make the tools to make the tools... No, we couldn't build an Apollo Guidance Computer today.

I think there's a difference between a 1:1 faithful replication and a replication based on the same architecture and/or principle of operation. While it's difficult to build a 1:1 faithful replication, rebuilding a new one based on the same architecture in general is much easier.

So when the original commenter said, "no one understands how the engines on the Saturn V work anymore", I think the point to be made is whether the ideas from the Space Age, e.g. whether the Saturn V architecture has survived, it is not necessarily meant that rebuilding it makes sense - it probably does not.

> The guidance computer would probably be the least of your challenges

+1.

[0] https://www.righto.com/2019/08/reliable-after-50-years-apoll...

Re:Apollo 11 Guidance Computer vs. USB-C Chargers by ghaff on Friday February 07, 2020 @04:55PM (#22271440)
Fair enough.

>whether the Saturn V architecture has survived

We understand very well the basic approach that was taken to land on the moon and the hardware we used to do so. We'd have to re-engineer a lot of things that aren't just off-the-shelf to do it again. But we could do so pretty quickly if there were any compelling reason to do so.

As I understand it, current technologies that could include moon landing are being worked on in the broader context of going to Mars.

Re:Apollo 11 Guidance Computer vs. USB-C Chargers by segfaultbuserr on Friday February 07, 2020 @05:09PM (#22271588)
> We'd have to re-engineer a lot of things that aren't just off-the-shelf to do it again.

Yes. I think this is the perspective that people trend to overlook - every engineering project is unique, in the sense that it's optimized to do the job under very specific constraints - costs, production capabilities, available materials, etc. When the circumstance changes, sometimes you simply can't just pull the same blueprint out of the archive to make another one - redesigning it is sometimes unavoidable, even if the older design is nothing wrong from a technical point-of-view. I think the same applies to software development.

Re:Apollo 11 Guidance Computer vs. USB-C Chargers by xkemp on Friday February 07, 2020 @03:03PM (#22270266)
We could easily go to the moon. It's just a completely useless exercise to do so, unless you can find a way to taunt China into another round of the space race.

The scientific case for the moon was always weak, and most anything they could come up with has been done. Just look at the useless lets-grow-salad-in-space-oh-look-its-just-salad timesinks the ISS has been busying themselves with.

So, in a way we've become much smarter. And SpaceX, a commercial outfit with both solid financials, a good track record on safety, and rather unlimited ambition is probably the most exciting thing happening since the first moon landing.

Re:Apollo 11 Guidance Computer vs. USB-C Chargers by op00to on Friday February 07, 2020 @05:03PM (#22271514)
> useless lets-grow-salad-in-space-oh-look-its-just-salad timesinks

This is called basic research. It's geared towards building greater knowledge of a study area without specific concerns towards application. That's how science works. We don't just fund the stuff that's immediately profitable (though things are shifting that way).

Re:Apollo 11 Guidance Computer vs. USB-C Chargers by kelnos on Friday February 07, 2020 @07:20PM (#22272640)
It might seem 'obvious' that salad is just salad when grown in space, but you don't know that until you try. Understanding how various foods grow in space would seem to be a pretty basic necessity if we're going to attempt any kinds of long-term settlements or research stations where regular resupply from Earth is dicey.
Re:Apollo 11 Guidance Computer vs. USB-C Chargers by dave_blob on Friday February 07, 2020 @05:52PM (#22272004)
That's the same SpaceX that has launched 240 visible objects into orbit in the last year?

More than doubling the number of visible man made objects (~200 till the start of the SpaceX Starlink project).

And with fcc approval for another 12,000 and plans for a further 30,000.

It excites me alright, but certainly not in a good way...

Re:Apollo 11 Guidance Computer vs. USB-C Chargers by gowld on Friday February 07, 2020 @04:45PM (#22271317)
Re:Apollo 11 Guidance Computer vs. USB-C Chargers by ufmace on Friday February 07, 2020 @04:42PM (#22271283)
I don't believe that's a good portrayal of the situation. I doubt that there's anything all that special about the actual Saturn V engines. Sure, maybe nobody remembers all of the engineering details about those particular engines, and it would be hard to reverse engineer them. But I'm pretty sure we would find it much easier to design and build new engines of similar spec today. SpaceX, Blue Origin, and several other new space companies don't seem to have had all that much trouble designing and manufacturing new, powerful rocket engines.

Ditto guidance systems. Why try to replicate something designed around the constraints of hardware that seems ancient by today's standards? No reason to think we couldn't build something new with equivalent or better features on modern hardware.

Re:Apollo 11 Guidance Computer vs. USB-C Chargers by dfox on Friday February 07, 2020 @05:18PM (#22271706)
The F1 engine is interesting from this PoV because the thing as it is documented does not work (and even the documented design is full of weird design decisions that nobody today knows the reason for) and it worked by combination of luck and institutional knowledge of the actual machinists who built it not exactly to specifications.

In fact if you take various “high tech” designs from middle of the 20th century you will see a pattern of things that cannot work if built as designed, but work because of random effects that are certainly outside of what the original designers thought of (I have seen large amount of instrumentation electronics where voltage sag on supply voltage is part of feedback loop and it will not work without it. I highly doubt that the original engineers consciously designed that.)

Re:Apollo 11 Guidance Computer vs. USB-C Chargers by yjftsjthsd-h on Saturday February 08, 2020 @12:52AM (#22274198)
This reminds me of the story about using genetic programming to design hardware, where it would reliably generate designs that worked... somehow. Complete with apparently nonfunctional parts that couldn't be pruned without breaking it.
Re:Apollo 11 Guidance Computer vs. USB-C Chargers by Corrado on Saturday February 08, 2020 @03:49AM (#22274772)
Your comment reminded me of the story of the MIT "Magic" button [0].

[0] http://catb.org/jargon/html/magic-story.html

Re:Apollo 11 Guidance Computer vs. USB-C Chargers by lopmotr on Friday February 07, 2020 @03:33PM (#22270598)
Something requiring human labor doesn't make it impossible! There's no lost scientific knowledge. Engineering details may be lost but we can design a new rocket that works just as well. We send unmanned probes to the moon all the time. There's no loss of resources to do it either. We have more money than ever before. We just can't be bothered. That's all.
Re:Apollo 11 Guidance Computer vs. USB-C Chargers by sterlind on Friday February 07, 2020 @04:51PM (#22271393)
Even if we could be bothered, I think we've lost the political technology to organize large government projects and complete them on a sane budget/timetable.

The budget plan for the James Webb Space Telescope was $500m with completion in 2007. We're now at $9.6b with completion predicted in 2021. Some of the cost overruns and delays were caused by the unexpected complexity of fabricating the mirrors and assembling them in space, but that underscores my point. The Apollo mission was orders of magnitude more ambitious at the time.

I'm not pointing any fingers because the causes are complex. NASA is underfunded and relies on unreliable funding from Congress, which itself is a source of inefficiency. Defense/aerospace contractors are greedy, sure, but there's a much bigger pie to be had if past successes encouraged even larger-scale projects like moon colonization they could bid for.

I don't know what's gone wrong, but we are failing on these big projects as a species for some reason.

Re:Apollo 11 Guidance Computer vs. USB-C Chargers by lopmotr on Sunday February 09, 2020 @03:51PM (#22284223)
Yes, that does seem to be true. Though I wonder if the incredible amazingness of the first moon trip together with a sense of competition with USSR actually gave workers throughout the project more personal motivation to put in real effort instead of just being minimum-effort drones in a bureaucracy that doesn't matter to them. Doing it all again will never be the same. Even going to Mars won't be such a massive leap.
Re:Apollo 11 Guidance Computer vs. USB-C Chargers by deadbunny on Friday February 07, 2020 @03:02PM (#22270255)
> we can't actually go to the moon today.

On the same tech we did 50 years ago.

Re:Apollo 11 Guidance Computer vs. USB-C Chargers by avmich on Friday February 07, 2020 @05:19PM (#22271717)
We arguably can't go for entirely different reasons - lack of motivation.

There are things to do on the Moon, right now. Basic science ought to be enough; but applied things like material extraction and tourism would add to that. However, we consider those things lesser priority than some others - and we're getting a lot of short-term bang for our bucks, just not so much of foundation for future developments.

So, today we don't see the reason to apply efforts to get there. Those few who could justify going "in small", are to few and far between to mount a concerted effort. So we're slowly developing such things as cheap LEO launchers and lunar landers - the precursors to return to the Moon. We'll get back there - in the future, not in present. In present we still can't.

Re:Apollo 11 Guidance Computer vs. USB-C Chargers by m4rtink on Friday February 07, 2020 @07:33PM (#22272732)
The thing is given modern technology it does not make sense to replicate Saturn V 1:1 except for historical reasons.

Other than all the advances that will give you much better performance at a lower cost enumerated in other comments, there is another problem.

When you dive a bit deeper into the history and design of the Saturn V (the NASA history website is a good source) you kinda get the feeling it was hacked together in many places to meet a deadline. Many of its systems were very complicated, labor intensive or hard to upgrade or extend jus so that they could meet the deadline and beat the Soviet Union to the lunar surface. The unlimitted money pass they got for this for a while definitelly did not help matters.

This also in my opinion is why Saturn V ended production so quickly - it did meet the deadline, but was just too expensove and inflexible due to all the hacks for a regular budget conscious "production" use.

Re:Apollo 11 Guidance Computer vs. USB-C Chargers by pbhjpbhj on Friday February 07, 2020 @02:38PM (#22269923)
I've long imagined that the situation was not so much can't, as that USA/NASA/people have become more risk averse. It was OK that the people strapped to the top of a Saturn V might die when y'all were fighting to "beat the commies", but to put people on the moon, again, ...?

Interestingly, China germinated plants on the moon this year, but that news seems to have been buried in the UK. So getting a payload to the moon, guidance systems and such, isn't the problem.

Re:Apollo 11 Guidance Computer vs. USB-C Chargers by dennnis on Friday February 07, 2020 @02:37PM (#22269919)
SpaceX