Oh man. I didn't even think about it, but I think you hit the nail on the head with this one. Between more and more online retailers offering "Affirm" monthly payments for everyday items and true ownership of goods being less common with subscription services, your rediction is a natural and scary evolution for everyday purchases.
1. The advent of an artificial womb will toss a wrench in the abortion debate
Some people will, but most will own super-charge electric, service stations will pivot into being food-first. Avocado and toast will be available on the freeways along R66.
Interesting prediction about Tesla and one that I share because I think we will see leaps in progress by most traditional automotive companies as they finally catch up. Tesla could then be acquired, after changing the automotive landscape for good. Mission accomplished.
7. I thought the same until I tried the latest gen htc vive pro. Now I predict that half life will be the breakthrough game that makes 2020 the year vr becomes the mainstream, even de facto, platform.
We early millenials (1982-84) were promised both utopia and dystopia and I've yet to see the flying cars so I'll settle for good enough VR.
It takes a lot of hunger to create a civil war. Just saying.
I kinda think any other car company could make the cars Tesla does more efficiently.
But then again who knows :).
I mean, would you willingly put a subpar product to market if you could do better?
I'm all for laziness, ignorance and greed explaining the decision-making of most people and companies (that much isn't even up for debate IMHO, and I include myself very much on average), but when presented with a choice I don't think most people avoid better decisions. In psychological studies, we always seem to try to reach the best outcome based on information available at the time — it's not even 'serious', it's because the human brain like to play, and consequently win, whatever the game / stakes. Like avoiding lava when walking on tiles in the street.
1. Civil war in China
2. A new, significant non iOS/Android OS in mobile
3. Uber/Lyft will gradually shift to a unionized, national taxi company
4. Nothing significant will be done about Climate Change, and it won't matter. Some new environmental issue will be talked about instead.
5. A third political party will become significant in the US
6. There will be a major Christian missionary movement from the global south to Europe
7. VR gaming won't be much of a thing (ie like 3d movies)
8. Tesla will go out of business
9. Commonplace purchases will increasingly be made with point-of-sale loans and/or monthly leases. This will increase economic disparity (rich people will buy stuff / get better rates, poor people will rent things / can never get ahead)
10. Software development will still be a relatively specialized, niche field, with most people not knowing much about it. It won't be more "diverse"
11. Health insurance, higher education, housing and tax preparation will all still be crazy complex and expensive in the US
12. You'll finally be able to pump your own gas in New Jersey
13. Most churches will lose their tax exempt status
14. Texas will have more people than California