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Re:Survivorship Bias: The Tale of Forgotten Failures by matwood on Saturday December 07, 2019 @08:25AM (#21730163)
Because natural talent alone is not sufficient to be the best at something. It takes time and work. Fans only see the end result, and miss the life dedication to achieving that result. When genetic talent plus insane work ethic collide you get people like Michael Jordan, Kobe Bryant, and LeBron James. Without a work ethic they all may have made it to the NBA, but I doubt we would have known their names. You also have people like Steph Curry, who at least on the surface isn't a genetic freak, but has been practicing basketball since before he could walk.

Knowing he’s ordinary, he’s always trying to improve himself. No one appreciates the agonizing effort he’s had to make. Now that his years of training have yielded such spectacular results, everybody’s talking about his ‘god-given talent.’ That’s how men who don’t try very hard comfort themselves.” -Musashi

Re:Survivorship Bias: The Tale of Forgotten Failures by lawn on Saturday December 07, 2019 @09:28AM (#21730415)
Hard work and talent isn't enough either. We often say that you have to work smart, and work on the right thing.

People often don't know what to work on, so it's left up to chance. Some will simply luck into the right way to train.

And this is a good parallel to successful companies: many succeed just because they're lucky.

Re:Survivorship Bias: The Tale of Forgotten Failures by dredmorbius on Saturday December 07, 2019 @09:41AM (#21730479)
You're missing the elements of chance, luck, timing, and more.
Re:Survivorship Bias: The Tale of Forgotten Failures by hewrin on Saturday December 07, 2019 @09:33AM (#21730435)
Gotta love Musashi