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Re:Apocalyptic Claims About Climate Change Are Wrong by ogre_codes on Wednesday November 27, 2019 @11:44AM (#21649433)
> As the article says, climate change won't destroy human civilization.

It's likely climate change itself won't destroy human civilization. Food shortages, massive wildfires (which climate change contribute to), rising sea levels, and changing weather patterns will have huge and unpredictable effects on global politics. What the downstream effects of those changes will be is extremely hard to predict, but the chances of a nightmare outcome are far greater than the chances civilization will remain largely unchanged over the next 20-30 years.

The good news is the most likely scenario is things will just keep getting shittier slowly and we'll avoid any sort of apocalypse. We'll just leave our grandkids a super-shitty world. Yay Us!

Re:Apocalyptic Claims About Climate Change Are Wrong by kindatrue on Wednesday November 27, 2019 @11:52AM (#21649514)
>We'll just leave our grandkids a super-shitty world.

But just think of GDP as people continually try to patch the super-shitty world!

Re:Apocalyptic Claims About Climate Change Are Wrong by undersuit on Wednesday November 27, 2019 @12:01PM (#21649605)
Is this a Broken Windows Theory thing?
Re:Apocalyptic Claims About Climate Change Are Wrong by lordnacho on Wednesday November 27, 2019 @12:24PM (#21649850)
That would make sense. You'd measure GDP, which is a gross figure. But making your life livable again doesn't help your net.

Just like if you feel you need bodyguards, are you as well off as someone who spends the same on something he doesn't feel compelled to buy?

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Re:Apocalyptic Claims About Climate Change Are Wrong by bdamm on Wednesday November 27, 2019 @12:15PM (#21649746)
Is this like saying that hard working people come out of traumatic childhoods, so we should be sure to throw some trauma into all children's experience? I think they deserve as much of a chance as we had. Here we are almost 80 years after WWII and we're still seeing the effects of that calamity. This stuff doesn't just go away, it goes away with a lot of work, work that we may not be able to afford. That is pretty bleak.
Re:Apocalyptic Claims About Climate Change Are Wrong by givinguflac on Wednesday November 27, 2019 @12:18PM (#21649786)
If you want others to suffer as you've suffered because you turned out alright, you did not turn out alright.
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Re:Apocalyptic Claims About Climate Change Are Wrong by YeGoblynQueenne on Wednesday November 27, 2019 @12:48PM (#21650128)
>> Did you actually READ the article.

Something else that is useful to read are the Hacker News posting guidelines:

https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html

In particular the following suggestions:

Please don't comment on whether someone read an article. "Did you even read the article? It mentions that" can be shortened to "The article mentions that."

Please don't use uppercase for emphasis. If you want to emphasize a word or phrase, put asterisks around it and it will get italicized.

Re:Apocalyptic Claims About Climate Change Are Wrong by cowmoo728 on Wednesday November 27, 2019 @12:34PM (#21649968)
This doesn't contradict warnings that our current agricultural systems are prone to sudden collapse. Soil erosion, water pollution, changing weather patterns, and over reliance on fertilizer and pesticides in a monoculture environment could cause a precipitous drop in yields over just a few years. We may be over spending from the credit card, so to speak.
Re:Apocalyptic Claims About Climate Change Are Wrong by ogre_codes on Wednesday November 27, 2019 @12:46PM (#21650103)
Your point seems to be that so long as we can keep shoveling food into people's mouths, the rest of the effects of climate change are irrelevant.

That's bullshit. As the climate shifts "natural disasters" increase and make many places less habitable. We're already seeing this now and it's only getting worse. As these places slowly become uninhabitable, people immigrate or die and poor people are on the cusp of that.

I suppose this article is from Forbes so it's all about how fairly wealthy people will fair so the chipper attitude makes sense.

Re:Apocalyptic Claims About Climate Change Are Wrong by ratboy666 on Wednesday November 27, 2019 @01:56PM (#21650807)
The article states that fewer people die of natural disasters. If you want to go to a pre-industrial state, I certainly support your decision. But, please, do not condemn billions of people to death.

Of course, I will call out you "climate shifts ... make many places less habitable". Name one. Anywhere on the planet.

Re:Apocalyptic Claims About Climate Change Are Wrong by ogre_codes on Wednesday November 27, 2019 @04:00PM (#21652092)
Stop the stupid hyperbole. Suggesting climate change is going to have massive negative impacts does not mean "Go to a pre-industrial state", not even remotely. It's likely the only way we'll get through this mess right now is through the use of technology.
Re:Apocalyptic Claims About Climate Change Are Wrong by hnmullany on Wednesday November 27, 2019 @12:45PM (#21650095)
The region most at risk of famine-driven political change is North India - if the wheat growing belt shifts far enough because of climate change there will be massive disruption.

African agricultural productivity is so low that proper technical (and institutional) investment can easily cover the expected (large) population growth in the 21st cent.

Climate change will be catastrophic if we don't decarbonize sufficiently, but it will not be apocalyptic.

Re:Apocalyptic Claims About Climate Change Are Wrong by ball_of_lint on Wednesday November 27, 2019 @12:32PM (#21649935)
Hopefully there's more to life than having enough food to eat.
Re:Apocalyptic Claims About Climate Change Are Wrong by jellicle on Wednesday November 27, 2019 @12:58PM (#21650232)
The FAO report says, roughly, that climate change will have strong adverse effects on crop yields but this will be offset by growing industrialization. In short, that once you fill Kenya and India with a bunch of GPS-controlled John Deere tractors and factory farms so that it looks like Iowa, they'll produce more food than they are now even though climate change will hurt them badly.
Re:Apocalyptic Claims About Climate Change Are Wrong by tomatotomato37 on Wednesday November 27, 2019 @12:33PM (#21649949)
Food shortages aren't going to happen as long as seed companies are still creating GMOs to cheaply grow crops in places that they have no right existing in combined with world superpowers are still subsidizing the hell out of agriculture for bread & circus reasons. You'd lose the small independent farmers growing organic avacodas or whatever but the big staple crops aren't going at risk at all from climate change.

Not to say our food production couldn't collapse from a superbug decimating a monculture of wheat or something, but that happening would be completely independent of how healthy Earth's climate is