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Re:Apple Reports First Quarter Results by archgrove on Tuesday January 18, 2011 @05:28PM (#2117681)
One interesting figure is: 16.24 million iPhones versus 7.33 million iPads + around 10 million iPod Touches. That's around 17 million non-iPhone iOS devices versus around 16 million iPhones, and illustrates why increasing Android sales don't seem to dent iOS sales/usage statistics as much as the phone OS debate might suggest. Most iOS devices being sold are, in fact, not iPhones!
Re:Apple Reports First Quarter Results by danielrhodes on Tuesday January 18, 2011 @05:33PM (#2117706)
Totally. Non-phone iOS devices are the elephant in the room and drive an incredible number of app sales. For example, if you look at the top selling apps in the App Store, they are mostly games that are being downloaded on iPod Touches.
Re:Apple Reports First Quarter Results by nostromo on Tuesday January 18, 2011 @07:10PM (#2117993)
Not sure I follow. How do you know those games are being downloaded on iPods and not iPhones?
Re:Apple Reports First Quarter Results by catch23 on Tuesday January 18, 2011 @08:13PM (#2118136)
From those stats we don't know, but app developers do know. I would say there are actually significantly more ipod app sales than iphone. It depends on the app, but the app developers that I hang out with tend to have more sales on ipod devices.
Re:Apple Reports First Quarter Results by nixy on Wednesday January 19, 2011 @12:04AM (#2118700)
How do they know? I am an iOS developer and there is no way of seeing whether my apps are downloaded to an iPhone or an iPod (afaik).

Edit: That is, from iTunes Connect. Maybe your pals use some sort of usage logging/statistics from within the app.

Re:Apple Reports First Quarter Results by allwein on Wednesday January 19, 2011 @09:48AM (#2119844)
If you're not actively collecting statistics from your users, then you're missing out on a huge amount of information.

The biggest gains for me have been:

1. when I could discontinue previous OS version (3.x) support because most of my users had transitioned to 4.x

2. It lets me know which features my users are actually using so that I can focus on enhancing and refining them.

3. It lets me know how many installs vs. sales that I have. And yes, this includes any pirated copies.

Re:Apple Reports First Quarter Results by bni on Wednesday January 19, 2011 @04:01AM (#2119212)
Users that mail you for support or hints, I generally ask them what device they use. There are a lot of iPod touches out there.
Re:Apple Reports First Quarter Results by ZoFreX on Wednesday January 19, 2011 @04:26AM (#2119259)
Maybe iPod touch users are stupid? In all seriousness, that's not a very rigourous way of polling.
Re:Apple Reports First Quarter Results by ZeroGravitas on Wednesday January 19, 2011 @06:34AM (#2119463)
I don't understand what "Android sales don't seem to dent iOS sales/usage statistics as much as the phone OS debate might suggest" means.

Most stats from various sources and markets over the last year, like sales and installed base, have Android behind but growing (much) faster than iPhone/iOS. So phone sales only exceeded Apple's in the US 2 or 3 quarters ago, and we only had data showing that about 1 quarter ago. Installed base is estimated to be moving above iPhone right about now, iOS (including iPads and Touches) will obviously take longer. Android share of the tablet market (the Galaxy Tab basically) is already at 25% for the last quarter apparently.

So in summary, anyone claiming Android was already ahead of iOS wasn't using any reliable figures, and mostly I've seen this in reverse (i.e. if Android is so far ahead where are all the quality games). Claims that Android looks like the future are (despite being predictions) on much firmer ground given the historical trends in the data.

Re:Apple Reports First Quarter Results by ugh on Tuesday January 18, 2011 @05:31PM (#2117695)
How did you estimate the number of iPod touches?
Re:Apple Reports First Quarter Results by archgrove on Tuesday January 18, 2011 @05:32PM (#2117704)
From the conference call highlights at macrumors.com:

"Music products: 19.45 million iPods. iPod touch sales grew 27% year-over-year. Now over 50% of iPod sales."

Over 50% of 19.45 million must be around 10 million.

Re:Apple Reports First Quarter Results by ugh on Tuesday January 18, 2011 @05:36PM (#2117711)
Thanks! I think this is the first time they actually somewhat broke down the iPod numbers which makes sense because it allows them to emphasize the importance of iOS.
Re:Apple Reports First Quarter Results by guywithabike on Tuesday January 18, 2011 @10:31PM (#2118452)
Yep - Macworld, in their conference call comments, noted that this is the first time they broke out iPod Touches. And for good reason. What an insane number!
Re:Apple Reports First Quarter Results by wofser on Wednesday January 19, 2011 @02:47AM (#2119062)
Does it have to be raw numbers? Could it be that iPod touch sales (money) stands for more than 50% of all iPod sales?

If its true: Who buys all these iPod touch? Where I live (Sweden) iPhones are very common and touch is not. They are not very cheap either.

Re:Apple Reports First Quarter Results by ugh on Wednesday January 19, 2011 @09:52AM (#2119859)
I have an iPod touch (I’m from Germany.) and there are several reasons for that:

1. An iPhone is prohibitively expensive for me. I want my cheap prepaid phone, thank you.

2. iPhones only have up to 32GB of space, I need 64GB.

3. I need some kind of portable music device anyway that can save all my music.

I paid 350€ for it which is certainly relatively cheap, a great price for what it does.

Re:Apple Reports First Quarter Results by shinkansen on Tuesday January 18, 2011 @06:06PM (#2117811)
> Most iOS devices being sold are, in fact, not iPhones!

Pedantic reply: half ≠ most, half = half

But that aside, I see your point: clearly iOS can still be influential regardless of the shift in the cellphone market space. What will be interesting to see is how (or if) that changes when Verizon gets the iPhone...

Re:Apple Reports First Quarter Results by ugh on Tuesday January 18, 2011 @06:24PM (#2117866)
Half plus one is most.
Re:Apple Reports First Quarter Results by mikeklaas on Tuesday January 18, 2011 @07:31PM (#2118046)
Most humans in north america are women.
Re:Apple Reports First Quarter Results by ugh on Wednesday January 19, 2011 @01:55AM (#2118966)
I see nothing wrong with that statement, it certainly wouldn’t confuse me or seem strange to me. I would take it to mean that there are slightly more woman in north america than man. The context (i.e. the ratio of men and women is usually very close to 50:50) would tell me that there are likely not many more women in north america than men.
Re:Apple Reports First Quarter Results by shinkansen on Wednesday January 19, 2011 @08:59AM (#2119731)
> I would take it to mean that there are slightly more woman in north america than man.

That's a terrible assumption. The problem with 'most' is it doesn't imply an exact number, it could be 0.01% more or 99.9% more and either is 'most'.

Nothing about that statement tells you it's near a 50:50 ratio.

Since we're not dealing with exact numbers (obviously 17 and 16 million units is rounded off) and because the difference is fairly small ~5%, it's less confusing to note a more specified relationship rather than an ambiguous and potentially confusing 'most'. Esp if later it's quoted out of context: "Most iOS device sales are not iPhones," (how many is most? how close is the margin?) is less informative than, "IDevices excluding the iPhone comprise about 5% more sales, with iPhones selling 16m units and other devices selling 17m."

Re:Apple Reports First Quarter Results by ugh on Wednesday January 19, 2011 @09:17AM (#2119758)
The usage of “most” was completely correct and not in any way wrong or ambiguous since the comment contained pretty exact estimates and didn’t only use “most” to describe the relationship. Context matters and it is prudent to assume that HN readers possess basic reading skills.

Take “most” for what it is and always has been, a simple description of plurality or relative majority.

(You are quite correct that I cannot just assume that the gender ratio in North America is close to 50:50 but you are at the same time also completely missing the point. Context matters and context makes “most” a useful word. It’s alright to make use of term “most” in the context of gender ratios of geographic areas because everyone knows that gender ratios are always close to 50:50. “Most” is a very broad term but if used in the right context perfectly appropriate and not confusing.)

Re:Apple Reports First Quarter Results by shinkansen on Wednesday January 19, 2011 @09:40AM (#2119821)
> The usage of “most” was completely correct...

This is simply wrong.

When dealing with numbers, esp financial data, it is poor form to not make specific analysis in the descriptions of the data.

Saying 'Most iOS sales are not iPhones' is actually very misleading even if generalized sales numbers are included in the same context.

Ugh, this quarter you will receive 'most' of your bonus. Oops, I hope you didn't assume that 'most' meant 95% or even 75% because it actually meant 51%.

> Context matters and it is prudent to assume that HN readers possess basic reading skills.

There is absolutely no reason to not be more specific. You're just defending poor form at this point and it wasn't even your comment.

Lastly, it's always bad to assume. Why should we assume that this won't be quoted out of context? Assumptions lead to bad things in my experience. It's never prudent to assume.

Re:Apple Reports First Quarter Results by ugh on Wednesday January 19, 2011 @09:47AM (#2119842)
Why are you inventing arbitrary rules for the usage of “most” that have never before existed? I don’t understand that at all. “Most” denotes a relative majority and always has. It’s correct to use “most” that way.

Why are you assuming that “most” must be at least a 75% or so majority? If we are talking about wrong and bad assumptions then that is the one.

You might argue that it’s not exact enough (I don’t agree at all because the comment includes specific numbers) but to say that using most in that context is wrong is just mind boggling to me.

Re:Apple Reports First Quarter Results by shinkansen on Wednesday January 19, 2011 @04:11PM (#2121289)
> Why are you inventing arbitrary rules for the usage of “most” that have never before existed?

I'm not. The rules aren't arbitrary, they're based on the grammatical roots of the word.

Your consistent problem is your assumptions, which run rampant throughout your comments, as evidenced here.

The colloquial meaning and usage of a term will always trump the technical reality.

Commonly, 'most' is used to mean there is more than a simple majority, e.g. a supermajority.

"Most senators voted in favor of the bill," this isn't said when 'most' refers to 51 senators voting in favor of a bill because journalists understand that that would cause confusion. Instead something like, "The Senate was nearly split on the vote, 51 to 49," is used because it is far more descriptive of that actual situation.

The relative position of numbers matters, whether you want to accept that or not. However you sound like a fool promoting ambiguity of information and obfuscation of data.

Re:Apple Reports First Quarter Results by ugh on Wednesday January 19, 2011 @04:23PM (#2121325)
I must say, I’m really not familiar with this usage of “most”. It’s the first time that I hear anybody telling me that you shouldn’t use “most” if the majority is slim.

Where does your assumption come from that colloquially, “most” means “large majority”?

Re:Apple Reports First Quarter Results by shinkansen on Wednesday January 19, 2011 @05:32PM (#2121537)
Please see, quoted below: http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=2121525

Now for a quick lesson in grammar, sorry it had to come to this but besides the colloquial instinct, the grammatical roots of 'most' will show, unequivocally, 'most' should not be used as it was.

'Most' is the superlative form of 'many' or 'much'. 'Many' is defined as 'a large number of' and 'much' is defined as 'a large amount'. This naturally implies a statistically significant large majority, not a simple majority such as 51 to 49.

When there is a close division we don't say, 'most of the Senators' we say 'just more than half of the Senators'. This is because we haven't reached a point where we can adequately say that a 'a large number' (as compared to those voting against) 'has voted for'. For this reason we reserve 'most' for situations where more than a simple majority, e.g. often a supermajority, comprises one of the two or more things we are comparing.

Actually, grammatically speaking, superlative adjectives should _only_ be used when three or more things are being compared, however this is a commonly ignored rule.

There is one final point, when one of the two or more things you are comparing reaches a point where it is greater than two thirds of the total, we begin to say 'nearly all,' "Nearly all of the Senators voted to pass the finance reform bill today, voting 89-11."

Re:Apple Reports First Quarter Results by ugh on Thursday January 20, 2011 @09:52AM (#2123775)
Well, the difference between sold iPhones and other iOS devices clearly is “statistically significant” and a 51 to 49 majority in the Senate is also “statistically significant” (but the term does not make any sense if applied to Senate majorities). So yeah, most it is.
Re:Apple Reports First Quarter Results by shinkansen on Thursday January 20, 2011 @12:34PM (#2124405)
You're missing the point: The difference between 17 and 16 million, is not a statistically significant /majority/, please be careful when quoting, because you missed the most important piece of what I said above.

17 million as compared to 16 million is not 'a large quantity' more as compared to 16 million.

If you understand that 'most' is the superlative form of 'much' or 'many' you understand that you're saying there is a large amount (more) of iDevices being sold as compared to the number of iPhones being sold, when all things considered that number is less 10%! Hardly a supermajority and very much in the realm of "simple majority."

I brought this up on Freenode in ##English. They were absolutely appalled by your claim, "half plus one is most."

If you have further questions I highly recommend the erudite discussions they can provide. They are quite well versed in English grammar and usage, I think you will find their comments instructive.

Edit: Also I took the liberty of consecrating the discoveries made in the form of a blog post --> http://voxinfinitus.net/blog/articles/2011/01/usage-most

Re:Apple Reports First Quarter Results by vacri on Tuesday January 18, 2011 @08:34PM (#2118195)
Not the way it's used in day-to-day casual language.

If your boss told you that you would be getting "not all, but most of your bonus this year" and you got half plus one dollars (or whatever you're paid in), chances are you'd be feeling cheated, no matter how 'technically right' your boss was.

Re:Apple Reports First Quarter Results by ugh on Wednesday January 19, 2011 @01:58AM (#2118972)
It was used in conjunction with exact numbers in this case, that’s just not a casual context.
Re:Apple Reports First Quarter Results by shinkansen on Tuesday January 18, 2011 @06:54PM (#2117943)
It's a majority, certainly. But isn't it more elucidating to say sales are nearly split between the iPhone and iOS devices other than the iPhone?

'Most', at least colloquially, seems slightly misleading to me. The difference after all is less than 10%.

Re:Apple Reports First Quarter Results by jasonlotito on Tuesday January 18, 2011 @07:59PM (#2118110)
No, not in this context. "Most iOS devices are not iPhones" is an accurate statement. It's also accurate in attempting to get the point across: iOS doesn't necessarily mean iPhone, and that iPhone isn't the only source of iOS platform that should be considered.

It's like the idea of significant. All too often, people confuse significant with majority. This is not the case. Significant rarely means majority, except when used in the all too cumbersome "significant majority".

Finally, most people would agree even a 5% different is a significant difference. =)

Re:Apple Reports First Quarter Results by shinkansen on Wednesday January 19, 2011 @09:02AM (#2119733)
Regardless, saying ~5% is more instructive than simply saying 'most', which might confuse people who aren't reading closely or if it becomes quoted out of context. It's poor form to miss an opportunity to be more specific about data rather than less.
Re:Apple Reports First Quarter Results by ugh on Wednesday January 19, 2011 @09:35AM (#2119803)
“It's poor form to miss an opportunity to be more specific about data rather than less.”

I don’t agree at all. It’s usually a good idea to summarize data and in the process of doing so being less specific. Most is perfectly understandable in the context. It actually is very surprising and interesting that most iOS devices that were sold in the last quarter are not phones so saying just that is perfectly fine.

There is no strange and arbitrary 5% condition for the usage of most and there never has been. Most is an exact term.