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Re:Why Index Funds Are Like Subprime CDOs by blacksqr on Wednesday September 04, 2019 @09:23PM (#20883055)
Burry's point is not that a lot of indexed stocks are relatively illiquid and thus index funds would have a hard time getting out of them in a serious downturn.

His point is that the index funds don't own the stocks at all; they trade derivatives like futures and CDO's that mimic the movement of the stocks in leveraged fashion, and the more people who dump their money into index funds without doing their own research, the more leveraged the funds become.

He's warning that in the next serious downturn, over-leverage may cause cascading collapse of index funds and the economy with them, like it did in the mortgage finance crisis.

Re:Why Index Funds Are Like Subprime CDOs by Torn on Wednesday September 04, 2019 @11:11PM (#20883558)
> His point is that the index funds don't own the stocks at all

This is misleading, I think. Depends on the fund. Some seek to match the benchmark through a certain exposure to derivatives and synthetic things. Others hold the stocks in proportion.

The vanguard funds I'm invested in don't have much synthetics - they own the stocks

Re:Why Index Funds Are Like Subprime CDOs by daemin on Thursday September 05, 2019 @06:22AM (#20885341)
As far as I'm aware they also have flexibility in when they sell or buy stocks, so they don't need to buy them the second you move money in etc.
Re:Why Index Funds Are Like Subprime CDOs by beezle on Wednesday September 04, 2019 @10:58PM (#20883498)
IWM, the largest of the Russel 2K ETFs with $38B cap has exactly 0.14% in cash/derivatives ($53.7M)

https://www.ishares.com/us/products/239710/ishares-russell-2...

Re:Why Index Funds Are Like Subprime CDOs by ng12 on Wednesday September 04, 2019 @09:49PM (#20883188)
> His point is that the index funds don't own the stocks at all

What? Where did you see that? Not only do the index ETF issuers own the stock but I believe they are legally obligated to do so.

Re:Why Index Funds Are Like Subprime CDOs by blacksqr on Wednesday September 04, 2019 @09:54PM (#20883209)
"Potentially making it worse will be the impossibility of unwinding the derivatives and naked buy/sell strategies used to help so many of these funds pseudo-match flows and prices each and every day. This fundamental concept is the same one that resulted in the market meltdowns in 2008."
Re:Why Index Funds Are Like Subprime CDOs by gniv on Wednesday September 04, 2019 @10:00PM (#20883235)
The keyword there is "help". They use derivatives to handle the daily fund flows. They should be a tiny percentage of the whole fund value.
Re:Why Index Funds Are Like Subprime CDOs by dclusin on Wednesday September 04, 2019 @10:45PM (#20883439)
You only find out who's swimming naked when the tide goes out.
Re:Why Index Funds Are Like Subprime CDOs by blacksqr on Wednesday September 04, 2019 @11:05PM (#20883532)
Burry's point is, whatever the percentage of leverage, it's reaching levels that are dangerous for the larger economy.