Re:The Lithium Mine Buildup Is Outpacing the Electric-Car Boom
by lancewiggs on Tuesday July 30, 2019 @01:28AM
(#20562327)
2.3% - at 60% annual growth would be ~100% in 8 years. Exponential growth is always unintuitive, but I'd expect many people in this community to understand it.
Next questions What is the sustainable growth rate? Higher than 60%? Lower?
And are we going to, in 10 years, see more EVs sold (for much less each) than ICE vehicles are sold today? The answer is we'd better, as we have to get those ICE vehicles off the road.
Re:The Lithium Mine Buildup Is Outpacing the Electric-Car Boom
by ThomPete on Monday July 29, 2019 @05:21AM
(#20552783)
Pretty sure that's relative to the sales not to how many cars are EV of the entire car fleet , also probably a bunch of hybrids in that too.
Re:The Lithium Mine Buildup Is Outpacing the Electric-Car Boom
by sp332 on Monday July 29, 2019 @06:28AM
(#20553107)
Yeah sjwright asked about sales and got an answer about sales.
Re:The Lithium Mine Buildup Is Outpacing the Electric-Car Boom
by sjwright on Monday July 29, 2019 @07:04AM
(#20553256)
And I'm genuinely impressed that it's that high. I expected the Toyota Camrys and low cost Indian scooters to dwarf EV sales more than that—but I had forgotten about the Chinese manufacturers!
Re:The Lithium Mine Buildup Is Outpacing the Electric-Car Boom
by ksec on Monday July 29, 2019 @09:00PM
(#20561135)
But I still agree with your point though, I don't call 2% market share booming. Not to mention the amount of incentives involves in pushing these numbers.
Battery and Charging point is still the biggest issue in most places around the world.
Re:The Lithium Mine Buildup Is Outpacing the Electric-Car Boom
by benj111 on Monday July 29, 2019 @08:57AM
(#20554096)
"low cost Indian scooters"
Would those actually be included in these figures?
Re:The Lithium Mine Buildup Is Outpacing the Electric-Car Boom
by sjwright on Monday July 29, 2019 @09:35PM
(#20561288)
I don't know, but they should be. Not doing so would be contemptuous for people of lower socio-economic means.
Re:The Lithium Mine Buildup Is Outpacing the Electric-Car Boom
by benj111 on Tuesday July 30, 2019 @03:23AM
(#20562758)
But if you include indian scooters, why not include pedelecs, or hover boards? And going the other way electric buses, and electric trains? Its useful to know the total number of electric people movers, its also useful to know how many electric cars there are. There is no moral component to that.
Global EV Sales In May 2019: Over 179,000 At 2.3% Market Share https://insideevs.com/news/357198/global-ev-sales-in-may-201...
The current trend is under 4 years until EV’s are 10% of global car sales. It’s likely adoption will slow down at some point, but 50% of all new car sales being EV could happen within 10 years. Though it would take much longer for EV’s to represent 1/2 of all cars on the road.