News for hackers. Stuff that matters.
Re:Ford and VW Agree to Share Costs of Self-Driving and Elec... by codeulike on Friday July 12, 2019 @09:54AM (#20420731)
All the traditional car manufacturers make announcements all the time about how they're going to be really good at EVs in 5 years time or whatever. They've been saying stuff like this for a decade now. Here's a VW press release from 2013:

September 9, 2013 /PRNewswire/ -- The Volkswagen Group has set its sights on global market leadership in electric mobility. "We are starting at exactly the right time. We are electrifying all vehicle classes, and therefore have everything we need to make the Volkswagen Group the top automaker in all respects, including electric mobility, by 2018", Prof. Dr. Martin Winterkorn, CEO of Volkswagen Aktiengesellschaft, said on the eve of the 65th International Motor Show in Frankfurt am Main.

https://tass.com/press-releases/700457

So far its been bullshit from most* of the incumbents because the boardrooms can't give up on the idea of ICE.

* Honourable mention to Hyundai and Kia who have cars on the road that can genuinely compete with Tesla. Unfortunately they can't source enough batteries to make many of them.

* And ok Nissan and BMW and co had quite good 120-mile range EVs a few years ago but thats all history now, its 200 miles or forget it from now on.

* ok yeah the Bolt was quite good but they didn't bother launching it in my country (uk) so its not on my radar, and they didn't bother trying to sell any cos they were making them at a huge loss

* ok Nissan do have a 200+ mile range Leaf now so I'll give them credit for that. There are general concerns about price and lack of battery cooling though.

Re:Ford and VW Agree to Share Costs of Self-Driving and Elec... by orbifold on Friday July 12, 2019 @10:25AM (#20420966)
Well VW is due to release cars based on their new electric platform this year and the next few years going forward. They are called id https://www.volkswagen.co.uk/e-mobility/en.html. I don't think they are necessarily late. BMW and Mercedes have made similar investments in all electric platforms. They are all basically going full force in that direction now and have been for a few years. Note that VWs platform will find its way into cars of all of their other brands (SEAT, Skoda and so on).

BMWs CEO left recently because he did not execute quickly enough on their electric strategy squandering their initial lead.

Re:Ford and VW Agree to Share Costs of Self-Driving and Elec... by codeulike on Friday July 12, 2019 @10:29AM (#20420995)
Well VW is due to release cars based on their new electric platform this year

Finally after years and years of saying it was around the corner. Lets see the price and specs. I think they still havent released those details?

BMW and Mercedes have made similar investments in all electric platforms.

What you mean is, BMW and Mercedes have made similar noises about getting really good at EVs in a few years time but so far have produced nothing of much relevance. The BMW i3 was pretty good for its time but then they disbanded the team, goodness knows what boardroom nonsense was going on there.

Re:Ford and VW Agree to Share Costs of Self-Driving and Elec... by bluGill on Friday July 12, 2019 @03:05PM (#20423434)
It takes years to design a car. They need to run for thousands of miles across rough roads. There are thousands of moving parts. There are thousands more parts that don't move but are still complex.
Re:Ford and VW Agree to Share Costs of Self-Driving and Elec... by silversconfused on Friday July 12, 2019 @03:55PM (#20423892)
An EV drivetrain is extremely simple and reliable. They are dragging their feet on purpose to extend their returns on ICE investment, not because it's "too hard".
Re:Ford and VW Agree to Share Costs of Self-Driving and Elec... by perl4ever on Friday July 12, 2019 @11:23PM (#20426307)
"An EV drivetrain is extremely simple and reliable"

I don't know why it is so popular to repeat this over and over because it seems palpably ridiculous to me.

Everybody has plenty of experience with electrically powered appliances, and many if not most of them only last a few years. I'm not suggesting this is inherent, just that there is no reason to consider them simpler or necessarily more reliable.

If there were washing machines or smartphones that you could expect to last decades, then I would find the idea of EVs being super reliable more plausible.

Re:Ford and VW Agree to Share Costs of Self-Driving and Elec... by orbifold on Friday July 12, 2019 @07:57PM (#20425591)
They think in terms of platforms, their next gen platform has all kinds of other requirements (think >100 processors, sensors etc.). The good news is that their next gen platform will be electric and that they hiring >5000 new software engineers to build out the user experience.
Re:Ford and VW Agree to Share Costs of Self-Driving and Elec... by bluGill on Friday July 12, 2019 @05:00PM (#20424450)
A Drive train is just a small part of a car. While it is simpler than an ICE, it is not simple to make millions of them reliable for 10 years.
Re:Ford and VW Agree to Share Costs of Self-Driving and Elec... by silversconfused on Friday July 12, 2019 @06:32PM (#20425122)
Unless EV door handles and airbags are that much more complicated, I must be missing something. The problems with EVs are support infrastructure and profitability, NOT reliability and complexity.
Re:Ford and VW Agree to Share Costs of Self-Driving and Elec... by clouddrover on Friday July 12, 2019 @11:49PM (#20426390)
Tesla has the third lowest reliability rating of any car manufacturer. If you want reliability you want to buy Toyota:

https://www.consumerreports.org/media-room/press-releases/20...

Reliability isn't as simple as "it's an EV".

Re:Ford and VW Agree to Share Costs of Self-Driving and Elec... by codeulike on Friday July 12, 2019 @05:14PM (#20424575)
I know that. But Tesla, Hyundai, Kia and Nissan and others have managed it. Why give VW a pass for talking the talk for six years and still having not much to show for it.
Re:Ford and VW Agree to Share Costs of Self-Driving and Elec... by clouddrover on Saturday July 13, 2019 @12:33AM (#20426516)
Volkswagen is showing it now. They'll release multiple models across multiple brands every year from now on. Here are some upcoming EVs from Volkswagen. Some available now, some available soon, some available in future:

Audi e-Tron: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6uHlohyKLlQ

Audi e-Tron GT: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uvNw15W_EK8

Audi Q4 e-Tron: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DiwevzHsCbU

Porsche Taycan: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yrVkOQojN4Y

Porsche Macan: https://www.theverge.com/2019/2/26/18240862/porsche-macan-el...

VW ID.3: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q2Tqw9LX3QE

SEAT el-Born: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8ShA3l0BHGs

Skoda Vision iV: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-f1g9xl6W_E

VW ID Crozz: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J8zbuvzEA5A

VW ID Buzz: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TQut6ks3nSY

VW ID Roomzz: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BzP6NOGNIWo

Re:Ford and VW Agree to Share Costs of Self-Driving and Elec... by codeulike on Saturday July 13, 2019 @03:41AM (#20426990)
Don't get me wrong, if they pull this off I'll be cheering them on.

The ones actually launched (e-tron only I think?) have been disappointing. The e-tron has a huge 90kwh battery and only 205 miles of range. People can make excuses for it but the reality is that is an engineering failure.

All the other MEB models that are supposed to be coming soon - all we've got is jazzy names and concept car mock ups. Yet to see production car, price or specs on any of those.

Perhaps they have some technical advance up their sleeves. But imho the chances are this big new MEB platform is 75% pr puff. There's a good chance that the things their going to actually launch will be on par with the 2016 Nissan Leaf. That's what just happened with BMWs electric Mini.

So let's talk when they announce actual dates, prices and specs. For now I'm skeptical.

Re:Ford and VW Agree to Share Costs of Self-Driving and Elec... by clouddrover on Saturday July 13, 2019 @04:29AM (#20427108)
> all we've got is jazzy names and concept car mock ups.

You should actually watch the videos. Does that Taycan look like a mock up to you?

The VW ID.3 is not a jazzy name. They had 20,000 pre-bookings a month ago:

https://www.electrive.com/2019/06/05/vw-marks-20000-pre-orde...

> For now I'm skeptical.

It doesn't matter if you're skeptical or not. Volkswagen is not spending 80 billion euros on EVs for the fun of it:

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-volkswagen-electric-insig...

Re:Ford and VW Agree to Share Costs of Self-Driving and Elec... by codeulike on Saturday July 13, 2019 @06:46PM (#20430620)
Ok so we know what they Taycan is going to look like. We still don't know the range. They need to beat the Model S on performance and range, though not necessarily price. Otherwise they're going to look like idiots. This is Porsche, after all. Theyre making a big fuss about how fast it can charge. Is that because they know it won't compete on range (like the e-tron)? Let's see in 12 months time.

Ok the ID3 is a reasonable name, But we still don't know what this supposed flagship is going to look like. It's definitely not going to look like the pics they've released so far. But Crozz, Buzz and Roomz seem like pr names rather than actual production car names.

If they really are investing all that money I would expect a lot of delays because they'll need to actually deliver something good rather than a cop out for that amount of cash.

So let's meet back here in 12 months and see how the ID3 pans out.

Re:Ford and VW Agree to Share Costs of Self-Driving and Elec... by clouddrover on Saturday July 13, 2019 @09:05PM (#20431063)
> They need to beat the Model S on performance

The Model S overheats when doing a lap at a racetrack. It's not a performance car:

https://insideevs.com/news/323053/tesla-model-s-fails-to-lap...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BfZLGIs0H14

> Ok the ID3 is a reasonable name, But we still don't know what this supposed flagship is going to look like

Of course we do. Have a look:

https://insideevs.com/news/359253/production-parts-vw-id3-st...

https://insideevs.com/news/359217/vw-id3-light-camo-rechargi...

https://insideevs.com/news/359140/video-vw-tease-id3-dashboa...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RENix0of9Dw

Re:Ford and VW Agree to Share Costs of Self-Driving and Elec... by codeulike on Sunday July 14, 2019 @04:08AM (#20432333)
It's true, the model s is no good on the track. model 3 is better, so let's hope they can beat the 3.

Re: the id3: there's no way it's going to look like the concept car images they have released. Unless I've missed something they are going to reveal the production version in September.

Re:Ford and VW Agree to Share Costs of Self-Driving and Elec... by clouddrover on Sunday July 14, 2019 @04:21AM (#20432366)
> model 3 is better, so let's hope they can beat the 3

There's no need to hope. The Porsche Taycan has already done sub 8 minutes at the Nurburgring according to Mark Webber:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ohHEdaRhF1k

What's the Model 3's best Nurburgring time?

> Re: the id3: there's no way it's going to look like the concept car images they have released.

Okay, you're clearly not looking at the links. Here's yet another test drive:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A8cHHNPRg-c

Re:Ford and VW Agree to Share Costs of Self-Driving and Elec... by codeulike on Sunday July 14, 2019 @06:20AM (#20432699)
I hadn't heard about that Nurburgring lap. That's encouraging. I look forward to hearing the specs when they eventually release them.

I am looking at the links. One of them is about a camouflaged ID3 being spotted a few days ago. Why is it camouflaged? Because the production version has not been revealed yet. Everything shown so far has been prototypes. Admittedly the prototypes have been getting a bit more realistic in styling. I like the look of it. I'm just saying, no specs yet and production version is yet to be unveiled. I hope they can come up with something better than BMW just did. And better than the e-tron they launched earlier this year.

Re:Ford and VW Agree to Share Costs of Self-Driving and Elec... by clouddrover on Sunday July 14, 2019 @06:24AM (#20432710)
> no specs yet

Look at the links.

Re:Ford and VW Agree to Share Costs of Self-Driving and Elec... by turbinerneiter on Friday July 12, 2019 @11:51AM (#20421578)
Luckily, we had the emissions fraud scandal. Gave a big push to the EV people in all those companies. The combusters still have a lot to say, since they are the ones earning the profits.

It's not meant as an excuse for the old guard, but making billions per year by selling ICEs doesn't make it easier to launch good EVs. Without Tesla, it would never happen.

Re:Ford and VW Agree to Share Costs of Self-Driving and Elec... by Shivetya on Friday July 12, 2019 @02:52PM (#20423321)
Do note that in many cases those board rooms are not just stuck with executives of the company but representatives of the unions. The later stands to see significant loss in jobs as the needs for labor drop considerably with EV drive trains.

While you suggest 200 miles or forget it, I suggest that 250 or near it is the absolute requirement for ENTRY level cars. Now a rental fleet, like how they do scooters, could fare well with sub 100 mile cars. Premium cars need to set their bottom level at 300 miles or more.

Remember, all these range numbers are at 100% battery capacity and mild to warm weather. Hence we should not accept less than 300 now. Tesla has been there for years and there is no excuse for any premium brand not doing the same.

As mentioned in another article, I really get the idea the BMW exec recent step down was resulting in part because of that laughable new Mini

Re:Ford and VW Agree to Share Costs of Self-Driving and Elec... by codeulike on Friday July 12, 2019 @05:50PM (#20424839)
Oh man, I hadn't even heard about that Mini.

re: 300 miles you're probably right, although things are a bit different in Europe where everything is closer together and non-Tesla charging infrastructure is generally better.

Re:Ford and VW Agree to Share Costs of Self-Driving and Elec... by tinco on Friday July 12, 2019 @01:02PM (#20422260)
Are you sure the Chevrolet Bolt is not available where you live? Here in The Netherlands they're everywhere as Opel Ampera's. The latest one has 420km range I think.
Re:Ford and VW Agree to Share Costs of Self-Driving and Elec... by codeulike on Friday July 12, 2019 @05:42PM (#20424773)
The Ampera is a plug-in hybrid, I think? And the Ampera-e is the pure EV version that is basically the Bolt?

Here's an interesting article: https://www.greencarreports.com/news/1115366_opel-to-swap-am...

[The new electric Corsa] will supplant the larger Ampera-e electric car, which launched last year to great enthusiasm in some markets but has since appeared to be in very limited supply, according to numerous complaints by interested buyers.

Just 1,971 units of the Opel Ampera-e were sold throughout Europe, according to JATO Dynamics.

Re:Ford and VW Agree to Share Costs of Self-Driving and Elec... by codeulike on Friday July 12, 2019 @01:09PM (#20422302)
Yep, probably because UK is a rhd country
Re:Ford and VW Agree to Share Costs of Self-Driving and Elec... by AstaManasta on Friday July 12, 2019 @03:00PM (#20423387)
I’ve seen quite a few Vauxhall Amperas in the UK. RHD of course seeing as they are Vauxhall.

Look good except for the weird plastic inserts on the allow wheels.

They were around £40k or something though which ain’t cheap

Re:Ford and VW Agree to Share Costs of Self-Driving and Elec... by codeulike on Friday July 12, 2019 @05:42PM (#20424780)
I belive the Ampera was a hybrid, Ampera-e was the pure electric version (and hence the Bolt), and it never came to the UK.
Re:Ford and VW Agree to Share Costs of Self-Driving and Elec... by tim333 on Friday July 12, 2019 @10:30AM (#20420998)
>bullshit from most* of the incumbents because the boardrooms can't give up on the idea of ICE

I think its more down to the public. They offer EVs but most buyers stick with ICEs.

Re:Ford and VW Agree to Share Costs of Self-Driving and Elec... by marvin on Friday July 12, 2019 @12:51PM (#20422145)
Teslas are selling like hotcakes. If the problem is that customers of the established manufacturers choose combustion over electric, it must be a deeper structural issue. Such as e.g. dealerships downselling EV models due to lower maintenance requirements, and hence future profits. Or some other reason, e.g. (just spitballing here) that most of their EV vehicles suck. Maybe because of an unwillingness to cannibalize their ICE lineup, inability to build a good enough EV at a profit and at scale, or something else.
Re:Ford and VW Agree to Share Costs of Self-Driving and Elec... by dsfyu404ed on Friday July 12, 2019 @02:51PM (#20423317)
>Teslas are selling like hotcakes.

Because the Tesla sedans combine the driving experience and technological features of a nice German car with the green points of a Prius so white collar professionals buy them in droves (it's the best of both worlds so of course they do).

Basically all the other EVs are competing with economy cars and crossover mom mobiles where the competition is much stiffer and the buyers more frugal. Nobody buying a Tesla is saying "gee, I could buy an Accord and put all that money toward gas" whereas basically every Bolt and Leaf buyer is making that comparison to the Sonic and the Versa.

Re:Ford and VW Agree to Share Costs of Self-Driving and Elec... by codeulike on Friday July 12, 2019 @05:53PM (#20424864)
So then the question is, why are all the other EVs competing with economy cars?
Re:Ford and VW Agree to Share Costs of Self-Driving and Elec... by clouddrover on Saturday July 13, 2019 @12:22AM (#20426487)
They're not. The Audio e-Tron isn't, the Porsche Taycan isn't, the Volkswagen ID.3 isn't. The Porsche Macan won't be and the Audio e-Tron GT won't be.
Re:Ford and VW Agree to Share Costs of Self-Driving and Elec... by clouddrover on Saturday July 13, 2019 @12:12AM (#20426452)
> Teslas are selling like hotcakes.

Tesla is hoping to sell 400,000 this year: https://www.fool.com/investing/2019/07/10/tesla-is-about-to-...

Toyota will sell over 10 million: https://www.jato.com/global-car-market-remains-stable-during...

> Or some other reason

ICE cars are a lot cheaper than EVs.

Re:Ford and VW Agree to Share Costs of Self-Driving and Elec... by bluGill on Friday July 12, 2019 @03:07PM (#20423460)
Tesla selling well doesn't negate his point at all. Sure some people are buying EVs, but most are buying ICE. Part of it is lack of supply, but that doesn't mean increases in supply would mean more sales. It is possible the market is saturated with just the EVs for sale now.

You can refute that claim in many ways, but none of them refer to current sales.

Re:Ford and VW Agree to Share Costs of Self-Driving and Elec... by chaostheory on Friday July 12, 2019 @03:05PM (#20423431)
VW's e-Golf isn't the best EV, but they have one people can buy in the US. It's not vaporware.

https://www.vw.com/models/e-golf/section/overview/

Re:Ford and VW Agree to Share Costs of Self-Driving and Elec... by codeulike on Friday July 12, 2019 @05:16PM (#20424601)
Yeah it was ok for 2016 or so. It's basically the same price and range as the 2016 Leaf. But it's no competition for the EVs that are available in 2019.
Re:Ford and VW Agree to Share Costs of Self-Driving and Elec... by chaostheory on Friday July 12, 2019 @06:07PM (#20424946)
You're right. It's similar to Hyundai's offerings but more expensive. Still, VW made a promise for EV and it looks like they have results even though it's not impressive.
Re:Ford and VW Agree to Share Costs of Self-Driving and Elec... by graycrow on Friday July 12, 2019 @10:25AM (#20420956)
Yes, this is pretty exact description of a current state of affairs in the EV market. I would also mention Renault and PSA (with Opel), which also trying to ride on EV wave.
Re:Ford and VW Agree to Share Costs of Self-Driving and Elec... by igrekel on Friday July 12, 2019 @08:15PM (#20425678)
I was shopping for an electric car just two months ago and you're right but I'd add that while Nissan now has the Leaf Plus with longer range, if you order one you only get it in 2020. Also, a lot of these options (Bolt, Kia Kona, Leaf Plus) are at price levels, especially if you add any options, that are close to the Tesla 3, but after driving all of them, the Tesla is just a better car.
Re:Ford and VW Agree to Share Costs of Self-Driving and Elec... by maxsilver on Friday July 12, 2019 @11:18AM (#20421316)
> ok yeah the Bolt was quite good but they didn't bother launching it in my country (uk) so its not on my radar, and they didn't bother trying to sell any

That's not really fair. You can't buy a Renault Zoe in my country (US), even though it is by most accounts a great electric car. I don't get to ignore their entire lineup, just because they don't happen to sell them here -- the world is bigger than any one particular country.

The Bolt is quite good, it's highly competitive against modern EVs, and the only reason it's sold "at loss" is because they sell out instantly, and can't make more of them fast enough to fulfill all demand -- a problem they are actively trying to fix https://electrek.co/2018/07/03/gm-increasing-chevy-bolt-ev-p...

Re:Ford and VW Agree to Share Costs of Self-Driving and Elec... by codeulike on Friday July 12, 2019 @05:47PM (#20424815)
"GM stands to lose $9000 per car on chevy bolt" (2016)

https://www.cnbc.com/2016/11/30/gm-stands-to-lose-9000-dolla...

GM Finally Admits That Chevrolet Bolt Was Never Profitable (2019)

https://www.hotcars.com/gm-admits-bolt-not-profitable/

Thats why they didn't try very hard to sell them in the USA or anywhere else.

Re:Ford and VW Agree to Share Costs of Self-Driving and Elec... by codeulike on Friday July 12, 2019 @01:04PM (#20422271)
They didn't try very hard to sell them in the USA is what I meant
Re:Ford and VW Agree to Share Costs of Self-Driving and Elec... by benj111 on Friday July 12, 2019 @11:48AM (#20421555)
Its not vapour ware no, but if you don't have an option to buy it...

The parent said "so its not on my radar, and they didn't bother trying to sell any" which is true, and from my reading, fairly neutral.