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Re:Estimated cost of 2028 Los Angeles Olympics jumps to $6.9B by galonk on Wednesday May 01, 2019 @11:27AM (#19797959)
"The London Olympics cost $19 billion, three times the original $6.5 billion budget, while the Tokyo Olympics are estimated to cost over $25 billion, four times the originally announced budget. There are similar stories from the Games in Athens, Montreal, and Sochi." -- Deadspin

The budget will definitely keep multiplying until it's at least double digits. The initial budget was a fantasy.

Re:Estimated cost of 2028 Los Angeles Olympics jumps to $6.9B by gamblor956 on Wednesday May 01, 2019 @11:33AM (#19798030)
The budget estimates for LA have increased because of estimated inflation between now and 2028. There are no new additional/unforeseen costs in this budget.

LA has hosted the Olympics several times and there members of the last organizing committee on the 2028 committee. They know what costs to anticipate and plan for...

Re:Estimated cost of 2028 Los Angeles Olympics jumps to $6.9B by gist on Wednesday May 01, 2019 @12:41PM (#19798906)
> LA has hosted the Olympics several times

One time in 1932 (as if that matters at all today) and another time in 1984. Just security wise 1984 is vastly different than today. As are all sorts of employment issues and things that are done differently today than in the 1980's. I owned a company in the 80's and the things that you could 'get away with' (for lack of a better way to put it) have no resemblance to a company today. Sure tech has greatly advanced but it's an entirely different 'plan with zero failure' than it was back then (and honestly 1930's does not even count back then people dying in construction was a cost of doing business/construction).

Re:Estimated cost of 2028 Los Angeles Olympics jumps to $6.9B by mturmon on Wednesday May 01, 2019 @01:27PM (#19799467)
The LA Coliseum was built in the 1920s and expanded for the 1932 Olympics (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Los_Angeles_Memorial_Coliseum#...), and will no doubt be used for 2028.
Re:Estimated cost of 2028 Los Angeles Olympics jumps to $6.9B by rapsey on Wednesday May 01, 2019 @11:38AM (#19798095)
>There are no new additional/unforeseen costs.

And why would anyone expect those on government contracts.

Re:Estimated cost of 2028 Los Angeles Olympics jumps to $6.9B by mixmastamyk on Wednesday May 01, 2019 @12:01PM (#19798385)
Los Angeles has hosted the Olympics twice already and has enough infrastructure to do the job. Sure there will be some expenses, like painting over graffiti and busing homeless out of main areas. But, it is not like they are building major infrastructure like Athens or Rio.

There are some LA Metro improvements being done but they were planned and tax introduced before the Olympic win, I believe.

Re:Estimated cost of 2028 Los Angeles Olympics jumps to $6.9B by popz41 on Wednesday May 01, 2019 @12:42PM (#19798924)
I would disagree on "having enough infrastructure", after moving to SoCal a few years back. LAX is a complete nightmare. One can easily spend 20-30 mins trying to drive from the airport entrance to the terminal. The horseshoe design cannot handle capacity.
Re:Estimated cost of 2028 Los Angeles Olympics jumps to $6.9B by mturmon on Wednesday May 01, 2019 @01:10PM (#19799271)
This comment is, sadly, on-point.

However, LAX is being redone, both terminal-by-terminal, and with a connector to transit and car rentals. One place to go for a summary is: https://www.lawa.org/en/connectinglax/lamp-news -- the current round of modernization is expected to be done by 2023.

Re:Estimated cost of 2028 Los Angeles Olympics jumps to $6.9B by dv_dt on Wednesday May 01, 2019 @12:59PM (#19799135)
Socal also has a network of regional airports to get in and out of besides LAX. Ontario, Long beach, OC, Burbank, even San Diego if needed.
Re:Estimated cost of 2028 Los Angeles Olympics jumps to $6.9B by HillaryBriss on Wednesday May 01, 2019 @01:10PM (#19799280)
IMHO, this highlights the main pain point: transportation.

The city of LA's population was about 3 million in 1984 and now it's about 4 million. The surrounding cities (which are often hard to distinguish from LA itself) have grown too. Road and freeway expansion have not kept pace. Car traffic has become far heavier.

In 1984, the events were spread all over the place. They'll probably do something similar in 2028.

Will people be able to drive their rental cars and take their Ubers in a timely manner to the drop-off points for these dispersed events?

Will the city and county governments and the MTA add public transport in an intelligent and sufficient way to eliminate the need or desire for large amounts of private transportation? (Answer: no)

Re:Estimated cost of 2028 Los Angeles Olympics jumps to $6.9B by dv_dt on Wednesday May 01, 2019 @01:34PM (#19799537)
The MTA has plans to expand, and having the focusing timeline of the 2028 Olympics is, imho, helpful for large projects.

https://la.curbed.com/2017/8/4/16098474/olympics-transit-fut...

Re:Estimated cost of 2028 Los Angeles Olympics jumps to $6.9B by mixmastamyk on Wednesday May 01, 2019 @07:19PM (#19802660)
The Metro goes 100x farther than in '84. Most of the stadiums are near it, and LAX getting more accessible. Yes it has a while more to go, and it will, but it is not correct to say there has been no improvement.
Re:Estimated cost of 2028 Los Angeles Olympics jumps to $6.9B by jupp0r on Wednesday May 01, 2019 @12:56PM (#19799078)
In the scheme of things, it's not that bad. Ever been to IAD or JFK?
Re:Estimated cost of 2028 Los Angeles Olympics jumps to $6.9B by mixmastamyk on Wednesday May 01, 2019 @07:28PM (#19802717)
Well, if you're driving to the terminal you're doing it wrong. Athletes and spectators won't be. Should be improved Metro access by then as well.
Re:Estimated cost of 2028 Los Angeles Olympics jumps to $6.9B by zanny on Wednesday May 01, 2019 @02:22PM (#19800079)
> busing homeless out of main areas

Something is really wrong with the world when a city throwing around billions of dollars for a sports competition thinks just moving homeless people out of the way is an ethical answer to the problem.

If there was anyone in the decision making process with empathy they might run "slightly overbudget" by a few hundred million to build a hospital, rehab center, and public housing development to get those homeless off the streets permanently.

Re:Estimated cost of 2028 Los Angeles Olympics jumps to $6.9B by gamblor956 on Wednesday May 01, 2019 @03:16PM (#19800632)
For starters, the city is not spending billions of dollars on the Games, the funding is private sources and corporate sponsorships. Second, the 2028 Committee is a private, non-governmental organization...

That being said, LA's homeless problem is largely due to the homeless rejecting housing, rehab, drug treatment, etc. In CA, a person cannot be committed to rehab or treatment against their will. This is the single largest factor behind why CA's homeless problem is so much worse than comparable locations.

Empathy won't solve anything until you convince the homeless "advocates" that rehab and housing is more important than the "freedom" of the homeless to do drugs and wreck their lives.

Re:Estimated cost of 2028 Los Angeles Olympics jumps to $6.9B by mixmastamyk on Wednesday May 01, 2019 @07:13PM (#19802614)
Knew that sentence would hit a nerve, but it is a reality, and unfortunately I didn't take the time to soften it.

You are correct, though I'd shift the focus slightly to mental illness. Mentally ill homeless in LA are deemed competent to decide their own welfare, but not face criminal charges. Logically both or neither of those must be true. Leaving a giant gaping hole of "nothing can be done" in any long-term solution.

Re:Estimated cost of 2028 Los Angeles Olympics jumps to $6.9B by dv_dt on Wednesday May 01, 2019 @12:53PM (#19799041)
The previous LA hosting of the Olympics was one of the few to be on budget and schedule.

It helps to look at actual history instead of projecting tropes.

Re:Estimated cost of 2028 Los Angeles Olympics jumps to $6.9B by tzs on Wednesday May 01, 2019 @01:59PM (#19799834)
With the number of concerts and pro and college sporting events that are held in the Los Angeles area, they already had enough venues to handle most Olympic events. They only had to build something like two new venues (a swim center and a velodrome, I think).

They used student housing at a UCLA (and USC?) for Olympic Village. That had plenty of capacity because a lot of students go home during the summer break.

Basically, the Olympics wasn't a lot more than Los Angeles normally handles, so I'm not surprised it went off well.

Re:Estimated cost of 2028 Los Angeles Olympics jumps to $6.9B by gamblor956 on Wednesday May 01, 2019 @12:31PM (#19798774)
For starters, its not a government contract...

It's a private organization that contracted with another private organization with the support of the local governments and populace.

Re:Estimated cost of 2028 Los Angeles Olympics jumps to $6.9B by rhizome on Wednesday May 01, 2019 @11:37AM (#19798089)
Frankly I'm not sure where the scam has a greater effect: at the estimate or the implementation. Probably a little bit of each, of course, but I think intentionally deflated estimates are the worse crime because they are the ideas upon which reality is built. That is, construction and production costs can be renegotiated, clawed back, or otherwise affected by things people can actually do, while estimates are made-up, set in stone, then used to calibrate everything else down the line. This process is not a great human achievement.
Re:Estimated cost of 2028 Los Angeles Olympics jumps to $6.9B by Gpetrium on Wednesday May 01, 2019 @01:21PM (#19799416)
To be fair, a company doesn't need to be doing a scam to fall outside the expected budget. There are many causes for budget fluctuation, for example: Inflation rates, wage changes, cost of materials, disruptions, operational errors, overtime, change requests, etc. Besides, it may not necessarily be a scam in some cases since all parties expect the cost to increase, it becomes a matter of how much of variance is acceptable to stakeholders.

Another problem in public policy is that a lot of major infrastructure/work would never be implemented if the public knew the end price tag at the start.

Re:Estimated cost of 2028 Los Angeles Olympics jumps to $6.9B by rhizome on Friday May 03, 2019 @04:44PM (#19822097)
The politics of project cost are immaterial and only assuage egos. The fact appears to be that lowest-cost bidding invites this course of events. Contractors simply lie to get the gig.
Re:Estimated cost of 2028 Los Angeles Olympics jumps to $6.9B by Tsubasachan on Wednesday May 01, 2019 @12:43PM (#19798930)
And this is why Amsterdam said fuck no to the Olympics.

If your country is already obscenely rich and you're literally reduced to begging tourists to please stay away what is the point of hosting the Olympics?

Re:Estimated cost of 2028 Los Angeles Olympics jumps to $6.9B by RandallBrown on Wednesday May 01, 2019 @01:34PM (#19799530)
It's fun and good for the businesses in the area?
Re:Estimated cost of 2028 Los Angeles Olympics jumps to $6.9B by hellot848 on Wednesday May 01, 2019 @02:40PM (#19800275)
Misplaced sense of prestige.
Re:Estimated cost of 2028 Los Angeles Olympics jumps to $6.9B by benj111 on Wednesday May 01, 2019 @01:06PM (#19799208)
Agreed.

I'd like to know how much security alone ends up costing. London 2012 security ended up costing over £1 billion. I can't see a US city spending less.

Re:Estimated cost of 2028 Los Angeles Olympics jumps to $6.9B by 908087 on Wednesday May 01, 2019 @11:39AM (#19798103)
More than NASA's annual budget... so that people can show off their running abilities.

What an incredible waste.

Re:Estimated cost of 2028 Los Angeles Olympics jumps to $6.9B by dmos62 on Wednesday May 01, 2019 @12:18PM (#19798590)
This comment might be snarky, but it does sum up my concerns pretty accurately. I would like to hear a veritable answer to it.
Re:Estimated cost of 2028 Los Angeles Olympics jumps to $6.9B by Rebelgecko on Wednesday May 01, 2019 @12:31PM (#19798788)
NASA doesn't make $2.5 billion a year from sponsors and ads like the Olympics is planning to. They're not even allowed to.

Brindenstine has talked about having corporations sponsor missions before (e.g. the Doritos® ISS Crew Resupply Mission or the Mars Candy Company Rover). However there hasn't been much movement on that front, and I doubt that NASA's sponsorships would be as profitable. Imagine if IBM sponsors a rocket that self destructs after a computer glitch— it would be awkward for them and not good marketing for Watson.

The Olympics are also planning on making a billion dollars or so from ticket sales. I think NASA charges $50 or so for tickets to watch a launch at the cape. At the Olympics, some tickets may be that cheap or cheaper (e.g. the Slovenia vs South Sudan handball match, no offense to either of those countries). However tickets for more popular events like the opening ceremonies are going to exceed $1000.

The Olympics also has more events within a single year than NASA. There may be a few dozen launches a year, and they're hard to sell tickets for since most launch attempts get scrubbed/rescheduled at least once and they're not always in accessible locations. Meanwhile, the Olympics will have hundreds of events and you can be reasonably confident that they will happen on the same day that's on your ticket.

Re:Estimated cost of 2028 Los Angeles Olympics jumps to $6.9B by tastygreenapple on Wednesday May 01, 2019 @06:56PM (#19802499)
I think you've just explained why the olympics has a better business model than a Government agency that's charged with atmospheric research and space exploration, however, the parent comment is about how it seems like a waste to put effort into the olympics that could be invested in expanding the frontiers of our knowledge.
Re:Estimated cost of 2028 Los Angeles Olympics jumps to $6.9B by adventured on Wednesday May 01, 2019 @12:39PM (#19798889)
I believe the Olympics every four years are more important for humanity than the existence of NASA. I also think we could be doing the Olympics for cheaper than ~$20b every four years.

We're not leaving this planet for a long time yet. Even if we do, it's not desirable to abandon Earth, it's vastly superior to all other practical options we have. We're going to have to continue to try to co-exist and avoid any further world wars. $4b or $5b per year for a large gathering of the sort the Olympics represents, is dirt cheap if it lends even a tiny boost to global peace between nations.

Keeping in mind this isn't actually an either or situation. It's obviously not either NASA's budget, or putting on the Olympics at a $20b cost. We - humanity - can in fact afford to do both.

I'd vote for reducing NASA's annual budget by 19% (~$4b per year) to pay for the Olympics, if that was the only option. That's a very easy decision.

It's one of the few things that most of humanity does together. Over a billion people watch some part of the Olympics globally. It's a modest, important pillar of peaceful co-existence between nations and peoples broadly. We shoud do more things together in that spirit. Maintaining peace between the 195 nations is more important than NASA's continued operation, by several orders of magnitude.

For another example, the UN is also more important than NASA (the UN has a core budget comparable to an annualized cost of the Olympics). I'm not much of a fan of the UN, and I still recognize that it serves an important purpose of promoting cooperation and discussion between nations and would be almost entirely impossible to replace today.

Competitive sport is critically important to humanity and arguably always has been in some form or another. Sometimes people that don't love sport generally, entirely fail to understand what it accomplishes and how important it is.

If NASA goes away (and yes, it would obviously be a huge loss), a dozen other countries will continue with various space efforts. How many things do that many nations cooperate together on in an overwhelmingly positive spirit other than the Olympics?

Re:Estimated cost of 2028 Los Angeles Olympics jumps to $6.9B by izzydata on Wednesday May 01, 2019 @12:48PM (#19798983)
I don't know that I personally believe sport competition is more important for humanity than NASA. To me sciences and space exploration could easily be 10 times as important as sport. I think the point is that there could be any number of better uses for our collective time and money than sport. Imagine what we could do as a species if we were actually committed to solving something at all costs whether that is curing cancer or stopping man made climate change.
Re:Estimated cost of 2028 Los Angeles Olympics jumps to $6.9B by Consultant32452 on Wednesday May 01, 2019 @01:39PM (#19799590)
Cross cultural humanitarian bonding is more important than any medical or technological breakthrough. It might be nice if regular people bonded over rockets, but they don't. They bond through sports. Because of this, international sports competitions go a long way towards softening some of humanity's worst tendencies: racism, sexism, and xenophobia.
Re:Estimated cost of 2028 Los Angeles Olympics jumps to $6.9B by moogly on Wednesday May 01, 2019 @06:14PM (#19802202)
In my eyes, sports reinforce/exacerbate those things. Hooliganism, violent riots, murdering players making own goals, murdering referees doing the wrong (or right) call... I really don't think sports brings out the best in humanity. At best it's a replacement for jingoism.

Rockets don't make people punch other people in the face. Sports really do.

Re:Estimated cost of 2028 Los Angeles Olympics jumps to $6.9B by Consultant32452 on Thursday May 02, 2019 @01:48AM (#19805090)
Rocket technology is a weapons delivery system.

Rank and file people seeing the world come together and work towards a common goal, even on something as "trivial" as a game, humanizes those different people. And yes, it sometimes results in an occasional fight, but it's much better than the kinds of fights that occur which involve rockets.

Re:Estimated cost of 2028 Los Angeles Olympics jumps to $6.9B by gspetr on Wednesday May 01, 2019 @08:49PM (#19803375)
> international sports competitions go a long way towards softening some of humanity's worst tendencies: sexism

Sexism? I hope you do realize that you are actually defeating your own argument here, since women are segregated and compete separately.

Trans-men, who were not even top athletes among biological men, already dominate biological women's competition.

Re:Estimated cost of 2028 Los Angeles Olympics jumps to $6.9B by tastygreenapple on Wednesday May 01, 2019 @07:02PM (#19802549)
Rank order these two by what would most benefit humanity:

* two people of different ethnicities holding hands

* cold fusion

Re:Estimated cost of 2028 Los Angeles Olympics jumps to $6.9B by Consultant32452 on Thursday May 02, 2019 @01:44AM (#19805078)
I think creating a world in which humans are less inclined to kill one another is more important than increasing our energy supply. We're not exactly lacking in energy as it stands.
Re:Estimated cost of 2028 Los Angeles Olympics jumps to $6.9B by tastygreenapple on Thursday May 02, 2019 @04:34PM (#19812579)
How do you propose we create a world in which humans are less inclined to kill one another?

Need I remind you we discovered fusion to kill people?

Re:Estimated cost of 2028 Los Angeles Olympics jumps to $6.9B by tastygreenapple on Wednesday May 01, 2019 @07:01PM (#19802539)
IF Nasa were able to dedicate the olympic's budget towards hitting the olympic KPIs, it'd be a much different organization.

$20B would put an American on the moon and maybe even put an American on mars, surely that would get the world's attention.

Want peace? Let's detonate a nuclear bomb in space and get people to recognize the destructive potential of our current arms.

The olympics is designed to get people to tune in, NASA is set up to create knowledge. Judging both organizations by outcomes that only the olmpyics is concerned about is a great way to obfuscate NASA's contributions.

Re:Estimated cost of 2028 Los Angeles Olympics jumps to $6.9B by gspetr on Wednesday May 01, 2019 @08:44PM (#19803338)
> We're not leaving this planet for a long time yet.

IMO, that's an argument against Olympics, not for it.

I'm far from calling myself an environmentalist, but consider all the waste and pollution produced by people flying in from all over the world. The negative impact is significant.