Re:SoftBank to invest over $1B in German payment company Wir...
by rapsey on Wednesday April 24, 2019 @10:47AM
(#19738849)
So many companies doing IPOs lately, seems to me we are reaching a top. Private money running out, lets go for public.
Re:SoftBank to invest over $1B in German payment company Wir...
by charlesdm on Wednesday April 24, 2019 @11:20AM
(#19739256)
For tech, yes. But does that mean the whole economy or tech sector goes into a recession? I.e. will the fact that Uber tanks after IPO have an effect on Apple?
Re:SoftBank to invest over $1B in German payment company Wir...
by rapsey on Wednesday April 24, 2019 @11:42AM
(#19739506)
2008 was a housing bubble and it cut everyone at the knees.
Re:SoftBank to invest over $1B in German payment company Wir...
by T-A on Wednesday April 24, 2019 @01:12PM
(#19740540)
Housing is a huge component of the US economy. Total value in 2018: $33.3 trillion [1], 1.6x GDP (20.9 trillion) [2].
Tech is about 5% of GDP [3].
[1] https://www.housingwire.com/articles/47847-us-housing-market...
[2] https://www.thebalance.com/u-s-gdp-5-latest-statistics-and-h...
[3] http://www.ianhathaway.org/blog/2017/5/31/how-big-is-the-tec...
Re:SoftBank to invest over $1B in German payment company Wir...
by opportune on Wednesday April 24, 2019 @04:14PM
(#19742174)
You're comparing the total value of all housing to GDP vs. an actual percent of GDP. That's not an apples to apples comparison.
A quick lookup tells me construction is about 4% of GDP. And financing/ancillary services for that construction, if I had to estimate, might make up another 2% at most. Which is pretty close to tech
Re:SoftBank to invest over $1B in German payment company Wir...
by T-A on Wednesday April 24, 2019 @07:07PM
(#19743406)
Yes, but what happened in 2008, and caused the crisis referred to by rapsey, was that housing lost a large fraction of its value. It was not a drop in construction, financing etc that tanked the economy; it was the loss of value, which left a giant hole in balance sheets.
The apples-to-oranges comparison was introduced by rapsey, I merely provided the numbers.
I won't make that bet, but it could very well be years before something major happens.